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UCLA

UCLA 35 at Oregon 38

ORE
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:24: Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 32 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Chase Griffin pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Happle return for 58 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +10.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 7:39: Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 1:24: Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +10.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:43: Demetric Felton run for 11 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +28.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:33UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:28UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:14ORE 4th & 5 at UCLA 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:50ORE 4th & 18 at UCLA 39, down 4
    Close callPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:28UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:03ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:43UCLA 4th & 4 at ORE 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%−1.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:24ORE 4th & 12 at UCLA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:06UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:16ORE 4th & 13 at UCLA 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:05UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:19UCLA 4th & 12 at ORE 41, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.6 ptsWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%−5.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−9.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:39ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:23ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:15UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:24UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00ORE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:48ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:39UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:24ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:43UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1513% → 14%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
86.6%
Demetric Felton run for 14 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
86.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Mike Martinez) to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+5
86.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
86.2%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+2
86.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Matt Sykes for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
85.9%
Luke Akers punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:5386% → 85%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.9%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+16
85.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 16 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
85.8%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 44Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-7
85.4%
Tyler Shough sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 37Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+12
85.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 12 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
85.0%
Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3415% → 17%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
85.0%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
84.8%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+7
84.7%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
84.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for 7 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-2
84.0%
Chase Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
84.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
83.7%
Chase Griffin run for 8 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
83.5%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
83.2%
Chase Griffin run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19 Chase Griffin fumbled, forced by Noah Sewell, recovered by Oregn Verone McKinley III , return for 35 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
86.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 19 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:0886% → 88%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
86.4%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+32
88.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 32 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:3513% → 16%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.5%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 8
50
+29
87.4%
Kyle Philips run for 29 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
87.1%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+13
87.3%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 13 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
87.3%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.2%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5686% → 85%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.5%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.4%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
85.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
84.9%
Tom Snee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3215% → 15%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
85.2%
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
84.9%
Philips, Kyle rush for loss of 1 yard to the UCLA33, PENALTY UCLA holding (Dulcich, Greg) 10 yards to the UCLA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+5
85.1%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 15
OWN 29
-5
85.1%
Chase Griffin sacked by Noah Sewell for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 20
OWN 24
+11
85.3%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+19
85.2%
Luke Akers punt for 61 yds , Travis Dye returns for 19 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FUMBLE TD
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
81.7%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 3 yards CJ Verdell fumbled, forced by Bo Calvert, recovered by UCLA Qwuantrezz Knight , return for 20 yds (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:4382% → 81%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
81.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 31 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
82.5%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-5
82.4%
Tyler Shough sacked by Carl Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+12
81.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 12 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
82.5%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
82.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
82.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
82.3%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
81.7%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
81.3%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.0%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.2%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
80.9%
Camden Lewis 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:3120% → 31%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
79.9%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
78.8%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
78.8%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
78.5%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 18
OWN 34
0
79.8%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+19
80.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 19 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
77.4%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
77.0%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
77.0%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
68.6%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 32 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12PUNT
14 plays · 42 yds · 2:2871% → 67%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
71.4%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul, Targeteing (JonJon Vaughns) to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down. Vaughns ejected.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.5%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
70.8%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
69.6%
Tyler Shough run for 12 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.2%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
71.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
72.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hutson for 11 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
74.0%
Tyler Shough sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
70.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-5
68.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Jaylon Redd) to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 18
OPP 39
0
68.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 18
OPP 39
0
66.5%
Tom Snee punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13END OF HALF TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:4132% → 25%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
67.6%
Demetric Felton run for 18 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
66.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 12 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.4%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.0%
Chase Griffin sacked by Adrian Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 39 OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (Adrian Jackson) to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-58
75.0%
Chase Griffin pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Happle return for 58 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0778% → 88%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.0%
Tyler Shough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+23
78.5%
Tyler Shough run for 23 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
80.1%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+8
80.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 8 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
80.3%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+30
79.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 30 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
80.3%
Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Williams, Devon, PENALTY UCLA offside (Manoa, Tyler) 5 yards to the UCLA4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.5%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:5614% → 30%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.9%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
85.1%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
85.6%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.3%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.7%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
85.1%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
85.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 5 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
84.9%
Chase Griffin run for 11 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
84.6%
Demetric Felton run for 16 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
83.4%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+12
83.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Chase Cota for 12 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
83.4%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.2%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1176% → 75%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
76.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 5 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
75.9%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 18Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
74.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
75.3%
Tom Snee punt for 35 yds, downed at the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5728% → 26%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
72.1%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 7
50
+4
71.7%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
72.0%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
71.0%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
71.0%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+5
72.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 4
OPP 33
-9
73.8%
Chase Griffin pass intercepted Verone McKinley III return for 9 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:0676% → 90%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
75.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 19 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
77.6%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+49
75.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 49 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
79.8%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
90.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5911% → 9%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
88.8%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
89.9%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
90.3%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 4
OWN 18
-5
90.7%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 13
+15
90.8%
Luke Akers punt for 62 yds , Travis Dye returns for 15 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3090% → 90%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.4%
Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Williams, Devon, PENALTY UCLA offside (Odighizuwa, Osa) 5 yards to the OREGON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+3
90.6%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
90.3%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
90.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 26 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
91.0%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
91.1%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Bryan AddisonSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
89.7%
Camden Lewis 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0510% → 9%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
90.2%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
89.9%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
91.0%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds, downed at the Oregn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:3990% → 92%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
90.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 20 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
91.0%
Tyler Shough run for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
91.2%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-6
91.6%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Johnny Johnson III) to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-9
92.7%
Tyler Shough sacked by Leni Toailoa for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+8
92.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
91.8%
Tom Snee punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 3:177% → 37%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
93.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Mike Martinez for 7 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
93.2%
Chase Griffin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
93.6%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
92.9%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+24
93.3%
Brittain Brown run for 24 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+19
91.9%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 19 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.1%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
91.5%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Chase Cota for 9 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+7
91.9%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
63.4%
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1882% → 90%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.7%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
88.5%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
89.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 1 yd to the Oregn 43Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:5218% → 17%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
82.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 14 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
80.3%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 13 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
78.6%
Griffin, Chase pass complete to Felton, Demetric for loss of 3 yards to the UCLA43, PENALTY OREGON roughing passer (Dorlus, Brandon) 15 yards to the OREGON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.1%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
77.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Alec Anderson) to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
80.3%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+3
81.6%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:43
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-28.5
TD · Q3 7:39
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q3 1:24
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com