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ARIZ

Arizona 27 at Washington 44

WASH
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:54 · Tyler Loop punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+33.6Score differential+27.2Pregame prior+10.8Garbage-time factor+8.5Blowout margin+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:48: Sean McGrew run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +3.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:49: Richard Newton run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +7.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:31: Kamari Pleasant run for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WASH win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:54: Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:33: Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 24 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58WASH 4th & 2 at ARIZ 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:48ARIZ 4th & 18 at ARIZ 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:49ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:04WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:04WASH 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, up 24
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55ARIZ 4th & 21 at ARIZ 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:27ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 48, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:54ARIZ 4th & 21 at ARIZ 9, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:58WASH 4th & 6 at ARIZ 29, up 37
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:28WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:54WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:27WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:48WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:49WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:31WASH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:02WASH Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:54ARIZ Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:34WASH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:28ARIZ Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:54ARIZ Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:33ARIZ Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:3380% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
80.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
80.3%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
80.3%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
80.3%
Jackson Sirmon punt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.3%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
80.3%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+65
80.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Puka Nacua for 65 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
80.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
80.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.3%
Tyler Loop punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:2080% → 81%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
80.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 11 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
80.3%
Morris, Dylan pass incomplete to McMillan, Jalen, PENALTY ARIZ holding (Turner,J.) 10 yards to the WASH42, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
80.5%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+18
80.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 18 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
80.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 29 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
80.6%
Sean McGrew run for 9 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
80.6%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.6%
Dylan Morris run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
80.6%
Dylan Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 4Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
80.4%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
80.9%
Peyton Henry 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
79.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-10
79.8%
Brightwell,G. rush for 3 yards to the ARIZ26 (Sirmon, Jackson), PENALTY ARIZ holding (Morgan,J.) 10 yards to the ARIZ13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+7
80.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-11
80.2%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Edefuan Ulofoshio for a loss of 11 yards to the Ariz 9 Grant Gunnell fumbled, recovered by Wash Josiah Bronson , return for 0 yards ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4381% → 85%
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
81.1%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.9%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
84.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 20 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
84.0%
Gary Brightwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
84.2%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-7
84.4%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
84.6%
Tyler Loop punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:3986% → 94%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
85.6%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+20
85.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 20 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
86.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 8 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
86.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
86.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
86.2%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+18
85.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ty Jones for 18 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
86.3%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
86.3%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
86.0%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.5%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 24 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
91.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 14 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
91.0%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
91.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
91.1%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+5
91.1%
Loop,T. punt 45 yards to the WASH11, fair catch by McDuffie, Trent, PENALTY WASH roughing the kicker (Jones, Ty) 5 yards to the ARIZ49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
90.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.6%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Bryce Wolma for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
90.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
91.0%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 10
OPP 46
-5
91.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
91.5%
Tyler Loop punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 53 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
93.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 5
OWN 13
+10
93.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 10 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
93.8%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
93.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 8 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
93.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 3 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
93.9%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
94.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
93.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+1
93.6%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
94.2%
Cameron Davis run for 17 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
94.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
93.7%
Race Porter punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ariz 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:126% → 6%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
93.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
93.8%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+1
93.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
94.0%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 18
OWN 20
+4
94.3%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 24
-7
94.3%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 21
OWN 17
0
94.4%
Tyler Loop punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:3596% → 99%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
95.8%
Terrell Bynum run for 13 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
95.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 2 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+8
95.8%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
95.8%
Jalen McMillan run for 7 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
99.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+17
99.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 17 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
99.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 1 yd to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
99.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 2 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-1
99.1%
Gary Brightwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jordan Chin for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+7
99.5%
Richard Newton run for 7 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.5%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
99.5%
Cameron Davis run for 8 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.5%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 20 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-11
99.7%
Grant Gunnell sacked by MJ Tafisi for a loss of 11 yards to the Ariz 9 ARIZONA Penalty, intentional grounding (Grant Gunnell) to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 21
OWN 9
0
99.7%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 21
OWN 9
0
99.7%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 21
OWN 9
0
99.7%
Tyler Loop punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+15
99.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ty Jones for 15 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-5
99.7%
Morris, Dylan pass complete to Jones, Ty for 9 yards to the ARIZ21 (Johnson,I.), PENALTY WASH illegal formation 5 yards to the ARIZ35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+8
99.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 8 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-2
99.7%
Dylan Morris sacked by Paris Shand for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
99.8%
Peyton Henry 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Ma'jon Wright for 6 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 4 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Brian Casteel for 9 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Brian CasteelSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Drew DixonSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Gunnell,G. pass incomplete to Cunningham,T. (Turner, Asa), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Turner, Asa) 15 yards to the WASH30, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 30 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jack Westover for 9 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 54 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Brian Casteel for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Jamarye Joiner, broken up by Cooper McDonaldSimilar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Loop,T. punt 44 yards to the WASH25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WASH roughing the kicker (Tuputala, A.) 5 yards to the ARIZ36, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Jalen John run for 9 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
99.9%
Jalen John run for 11 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+15
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Ma'jon Wright for 15 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 12 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Brandon McKinney) to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Ma'jon Wright for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Race Porter punt for 47 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for no gain to the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:140% → 1%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Thomas Reid IIISimilar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+16
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Zach Williams for 16 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.9%
Grant Gunnell run for 15 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Race Porter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:561% → 3%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Brian Casteel for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.5%
Grant Gunnell run for 6 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
99.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Jalen John for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
50
+26
99.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Ma'jon Wright for 26 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 24 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:49
Richard Newton run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q1 2:48
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q3 10:31
Kamari Pleasant run for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com