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USC

USC 33 at Utah 17

UTAH
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:34 · Ben Lennon punt for 33 yds, downed at the USC 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense−3.6Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8One-score game−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:04: Vavae Malepeai 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick) — USC win probability +5.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:53: Nephi Sewell 23 Yd Fumble Return (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +8.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:28: Tyler Vaughns 8 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Parker Lewis Kick) — USC win probability +7.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:45: Erik Krommenhoek 10 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Parker Lewis Kick) — USC win probability +6.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:49: Samson Nacua 7 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +12.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:11UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13USC 4th & 7 at USC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07UTAH 4th & 5 at USC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:17USC 4th & 3 at UTAH 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51USC 4th & 3 at USC 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:34UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:32USC 4th & 6 at UTAH 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−9.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:47USC 4th & 11 at UTAH 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:21UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:54USC 4th & 9 at USC 46, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:01UTAH 4th & 6 at USC 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:12UTAH 4th & 4 at USC 10, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%−0.6
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:39USC 4th & 6 at USC 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:29UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:03USC 4th & 13 at UTAH 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:04USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:53UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:28USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:45USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:49UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4849% → 49%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
48.9%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-4
49.0%
Ben Lennon punt for 46 yds , Tyler Vaughns returns for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5851% → 51%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.1%
Kedon Slovis run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
49.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
49.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
49.5%
Ben Griffiths punt for 50 yds , Samson Nacua returns for 18 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0550% → 51%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
49.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 9 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+15
49.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 15 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
50.1%
Ty Jordan run for 13 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
50.3%
Ty Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+1
50.5%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd to the USC 18Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
50.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
50.9%
Jadon Redding 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:4949% → 50%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
50.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 9 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
50.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
50.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
50.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 9 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
50.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mika Tafua) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
50.4%
Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the Utah 47 Kenan Christon fumbled, recovered by USC Kenan ChristonSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+22
50.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 22 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
50.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jude WolfeSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
50.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
50.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jude WolfeSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
49.7%
Parker Lewis 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2550% → 53%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
50.4%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+21
50.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Ty Jordan for 21 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
51.5%
Ty Jordan run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
52.0%
Ty Jordan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 2
50
+22
51.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 22 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
53.0%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Drake Jackson return for 10 yds to the USC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5950% → 50%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
49.8%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Hauati Pututau for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 35Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+8
50.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for 8 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+1
49.4%
Kedon Slovis run for 1 yd to the USC 44Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
50.4%
Ben Griffiths punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Samson Nacua at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-11
51.5%
Cameron Rising sacked by Marlon Tuipulotu for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 4 Cameron Rising fumbled, forced by Marlon Tuipulotu, recovered by USC Connor Murphy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4152% → 57%
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
48.3%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (Hauati Pututau) to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
48.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.8%
Vavae Malepeai 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2945% → 43%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
44.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
43.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
43.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 33 yds, downed at the USC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:4157% → 49%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
42.8%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 37Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+23
50.8%
Nephi Sewell 23 Yd Fumble Return (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2449% → 58%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
50.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 4 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+42
51.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 42 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
48.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 14 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
47.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
48.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kenan ChristonSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+5
49.4%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Maxs Tupai) to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
42.0%
Tyler Vaughns 8 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Parker Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:1244% → 44%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.0%
Ty Jordan run for 2 yds to the Utah 27 Ty Jordan fumbled, recovered by USC Isaiah Pola-MaoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5759% → 59%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
41.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 8 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-10
40.7%
Malepeai, Vavae rush for 19 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY USC holding (Neilon, Brett) 10 yards to the UTAH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
40.8%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Nephi Sewell return for no gain to the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0244% → 42%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
44.1%
Devin Brumfield run for no gain to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
43.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
42.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
41.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 27 yds, downed at the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:2961% → 68%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
39.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
38.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
38.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 19 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.4%
Erik Krommenhoek 10 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Parker Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5533% → 45%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.3%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
33.2%
Bentley, Jake pass complete to Jordan, Ty for 8 yards to the UTAH40, PENALTY UTAH holding (Bills, Keaton) 10 yards to the UTAH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+33
31.7%
Jake Bentley run for 33 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
34.5%
UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Simi Moala) to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
33.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Kana'i Mauga for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+8
31.7%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+9
32.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+32
33.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 18 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Greg Johnson) to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
33.0%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
45.2%
Samson Nacua 7 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:4862% → 61%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the USC 26Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
38.0%
Malepeai, Vavae rush for 6 yards to the USC32, PENALTY USC holding (Jimmons, Liam) 10 yards to the USC16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+1
38.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:1963% → 69%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
37.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 2 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+11
37.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 11 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
35.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-5
34.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Jalen McKenzie) to the USC 32Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
35.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+11
35.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 11 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
33.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 19 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
32.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 23 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
32.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+8
32.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
32.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
31.1%
Parker Lewis 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:4830% → 32%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
30.0%
Jordan Wilmore run for 21 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
31.8%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Talanoa Hufanga return for no gain to the USC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:5669% → 81%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
31.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 12 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.7%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
29.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 9 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
27.9%
Slovis, Kedon pass complete to London, Drake for 4 yards to the USC43, PENALTY USC holding (Vera-Tucker, Alijah) 10 yards to the USC29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+47
29.5%
Kenan Christon run for 47 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
25.4%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
25.3%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
24.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
18.7%
Parker Lewis 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2523% → 21%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.8%
Ty Jordan run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
23.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-12
22.1%
Jake Bentley sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 12 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
20.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 38 yds, downed at the USC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2785% → 84%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
15.3%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 36 Kedon Slovis fumbled, recovered by USC Kedon Slovis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 19
OWN 36
0
16.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+10
16.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for 10 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
16.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Samson Nacua at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4220% → 15%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
20.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
20.7%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+30
20.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 30 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
21.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
21.1%
Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-10
19.7%
Bentley, Jake rush for 5 yards to the USC35, PENALTY UTAH holding (Umana, Orlando) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 19
50
+13
17.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+8
18.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 8 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
22.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Micah Bernard for 8 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
22.1%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
22.0%
Jordan Wilmore run for 3 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
19.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+1
17.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the USC 10Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 4
OPP 10
0
15.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:3392% → 97%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
8.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
8.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
7.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 1 yd to the USC 22Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
7.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+12
6.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
5.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 35Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
5.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 34Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+6
5.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 6 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
3.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Gardner at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:105% → 4%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
5.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+6
5.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Devin Brumfield for 6 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
5.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Devin Brumfield for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
5.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-10
4.8%
Bentley, Jake rush for 3 yards to the UTAH32, PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the UTAH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+8
4.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
3.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26FG
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:2698% → 99%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
1.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
1.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 12
OPP 29
-1
1.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
1.0%
Parker Lewis 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
50
0
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Thomas YassminSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
50
+14
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 14 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Chris Steele return for 3 yds to the USC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:49
Samson Nacua 7 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Jadon Redding Kick)
+12.5
TD · Q2 11:53
Nephi Sewell 23 Yd Fumble Return (Jadon Redding Kick)
+8
TD · Q2 9:28
Tyler Vaughns 8 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Parker Lewis Kick)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com