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Oregon 43 at Washington State 29

WSU
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:25 · Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 78 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior−9.4Home team on offense−2.8Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:03: CJ Verdell run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +18.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  2. TD · Q3 3:26: Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 16 yds for a TD OREGON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 8 (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +17.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:19: Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +13.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:25: Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 71 yds for a TD (T. Shough Run For Two-point Conversion) — ORE win probability +16.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:40: Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +19.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:38WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40ORE 4th & 2 at WSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:09WSU 4th & 11 at ORE 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:38WSU 4th & 16 at ORE 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:39ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 46, down 9
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:20WSU 4th & 23 at ORE 31, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45ORE 4th & 1 at WSU 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−3.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−12.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47ORE 4th & 11 at WSU 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−11.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:35WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−6.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:25WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 22, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:59WSU 4th & 4 at ORE 7, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:31WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:48ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:00WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:48WSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03ORE Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:26ORE Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19ORE Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:25ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:40WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:40ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1721% → 23%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
21.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
22.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Jamire Calvin) to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
22.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 5 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
22.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
22.5%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 56 yds, downed at the Oregn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 5:4777% → 78%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
22.6%
Jaylon Redd run for 5 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+10
22.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 10 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
23.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
23.1%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Josh Delgado, broken up by Jahad WoodsSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+16
23.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 16 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
23.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 8 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
23.2%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
23.4%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
23.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 15 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
23.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Josh Delgado for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
24.1%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+9
24.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
24.3%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
22.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:4023% → 28%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
23.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 9 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+11
23.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 11 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
24.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 10 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
24.6%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+29
24.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 29 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
28.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lucas Bacon for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2974% → 74%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
26.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-1
25.7%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47 Travis Dye fumbled, recovered by WshSt Ayden HectorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:1228% → 33%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
28.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 44 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
29.3%
Travell Harris run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
29.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Lucas BaconSimilar
Q1 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:2968% → 68%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
31.8%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
31.5%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
31.7%
Tyler Shough pass intercepted Ayden Hector return for no gain to the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5235% → 33%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
34.5%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Noah Sewell for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
34.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+1
33.6%
Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
33.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:2767% → 68%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
33.1%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+24
32.2%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
32.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 19 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
31.7%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 44 CJ Verdell fumbled, recovered by WshSt Ayden Hector , return for 12 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:5737% → 40%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
37.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 17 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
37.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+20
38.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 20 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
39.5%
Jouvensly Bazil run for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
40.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
39.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Lucas BaconSimilar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
40.1%
Blake Mazza 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5158% → 54%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
41.7%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
41.7%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
42.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
42.6%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
43.6%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
43.8%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Josh DelgadoSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
45.6%
Tom Snee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:1045% → 58%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
45.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 15 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.2%
Jayden de Laura run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
46.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
47.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 13 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
50.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
51.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+20
51.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 20 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
54.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+6
54.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 6 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
55.6%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 13
OPP 21
0
54.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
53.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 13
OPP 21
-10
51.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 23
OPP 31
+49
58.0%
Blake Mazza 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:0944% → 63%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+57
56.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 57 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.5%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
47.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:1356% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.4%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
45.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 4 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
46.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Josh Delgado for 11 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
44.7%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+24
43.6%
Tyler Shough run for 24 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
41.8%
Tyler Shough sacked by Jahad Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
44.4%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kris Hutson, broken up by Chau Smith-WadeSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+11
46.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 11 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+7
45.6%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
43.3%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
43.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-3
45.4%
Tyler Shough run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
49.6%
Camden Lewis 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:0153% → 53%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.9%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
53.3%
Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
52.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 14 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 5 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-10
58.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
53.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+6
53.3%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 42 yds , Travis Dye returns for 6 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:0448% → 69%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+40
51.9%
CJ Verdell run for 40 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
47.2%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+6
48.6%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
30.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 16 yds for a TD OREGON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 8 (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5239% → 36%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
38.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+8
38.3%
Jayden de Laura run for 8 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
37.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
36.2%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 78 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4164% → 84%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
36.3%
Tyler Shough run for 33 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
31.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 16 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
30.3%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
30.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+10
31.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 10 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
30.4%
Jaylon Redd run for 11 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:1620% → 30%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
19.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 6 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+24
20.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 24 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
21.7%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bennett Williams) to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
23.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 28 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
24.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-3
24.7%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 10Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
22.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
30.3%
Blake Mazza 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2577% → 95%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.6%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
21.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
4.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 71 yds for a TD (T. Shough Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:317% → 26%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
6.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for no gain to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
6.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 6
50
+35
6.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Targeting (Nick Pickett) to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down. Pickett ejected.Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
7.3%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+8
6.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+23
6.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 23 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
7.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
6.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5586% → 99%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
13.6%
CJ Verdell run for 22 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
11.8%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
10.0%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+24
10.1%
Travis Dye run for 24 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
7.4%
Travis Dye run for 21 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 15 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
2.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lucas Bacon for 8 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
2.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
2.5%
Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-2
2.4%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:40
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+19.6
TD · Q2 0:03
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 3:26
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 16 yds for a TD OREGON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 8 (Camden Lewis KICK)
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com