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ORST

Oregon State 21 at Washington 27

WASH
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:11 · Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+19.0Home team on offense+6.3Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+2.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:31: B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +5.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:19: Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +5.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:18: Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +10.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:22: Timeout OREGON ST, clock 03:22 — WASH win probability +7.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:45: Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +5.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:46WASH 4th & 6 at ORST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:10WASH 4th & 5 at ORST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:27WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 30, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:26ORST 4th & 18 at ORST 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12WASH 4th & 1 at ORST 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:11ORST 4th & 1 at WASH 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:52ORST 4th & 8 at WASH 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:42WASH 4th & 9 at ORST 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ORST 4th & 1 at WASH 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%−4.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−15.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:38WASH 4th & 12 at ORST 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:21ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:09WASH 4th & 1 at ORST 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−6.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:45WASH 4th & 5 at ORST 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−21.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:03ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:44WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:15WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:31ORST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:19WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18ORST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT TD
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:1483% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
83.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Puka Nacua for 6 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
83.1%
Jack Westover run for 7 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
83.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
83.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
83.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 9 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
83.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
83.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
83.1%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell Bynum, broken up by Alex AustinSimilar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+11
80.5%
Race Porter punt blocked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. blocked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. Jaydon Grant return for 11 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0280% → 82%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.4%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
80.3%
Morris, Dylan pass incomplete to Nacua, Puka, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Wright, Nahshon) 15 yards to the WASH44, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
80.7%
Terrell Bynum run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
80.8%
Sean McGrew run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
80.9%
McGrew, Sean rush for 2 yards to the OSU24 (Roberts, Avery;Skelton, A.), PENALTY OSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the OSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+21
81.5%
Sean McGrew run for 21 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
80.8%
Gebbia, Tristan rush for 7 yards to the OSU32 (Tupuola-Fetui,Z), PENALTY OSU holding (Quitoriano, T.) 10 yards to the OSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
80.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
80.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
81.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to John McCartan, broken up by Edefuan UlofoshioSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+11
81.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 50 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for 11 yds to the Wash 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:2381% → 80%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
80.9%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+27
81.1%
Sean McGrew run for 27 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
81.3%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
81.3%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+7
81.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Richard Newton for 7 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
81.3%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
81.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 3 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
79.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
79.9%
Peyton Henry 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
79.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
79.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
79.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-8
79.3%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 32 Tristan Gebbia fumbled, recovered by Wash Edefuan Ulofoshio , return for 0 yards OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:5880% → 83%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
80.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 8 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+9
80.3%
Sean McGrew run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
82.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:3818% → 25%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
82.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
81.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+16
81.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 16 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
81.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
81.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+9
81.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 9 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
80.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 5 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+10
80.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 10 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
80.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
75.5%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
77.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 7 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
77.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
76.6%
Race Porter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
76.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-1
76.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-6
77.2%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 24 Tristan Gebbia fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Nathan Eldridge , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 13
OWN 24
-5
78.2%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Junior Walling) to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 18
OWN 19
+45
78.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for 45 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:4979% → 85%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
79.2%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 9 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (Ty Jones) to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 14
OPP 19
0
79.1%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 14
OPP 19
0
78.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Rome Odunze, broken up by Evan BennettSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+13
77.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Puka Nacua for 13 yds Puka Nacua fumbled, forced by Akili Arnold, recovered by Wash Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
77.6%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
79.1%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.1%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.5%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 1:5317% → 29%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
83.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 15 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
82.6%
B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
81.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
81.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
81.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke MusgraveSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+9
82.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 9 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
83.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
81.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1175% → 76%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.4%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
72.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
72.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Champ FlemingsSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+1
73.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+42
75.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 5 WASHINGTON Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14MISSED FG
17 plays · 85 yds · 7:3576% → 75%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
75.7%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 7 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
75.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Ty Jones, broken up by Simon SandbergSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+14
74.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ty Jones for 14 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
76.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
76.8%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
76.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 6 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
77.7%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
76.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
77.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
78.2%
Jack Westover run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+18
77.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Nahshon Wright) to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
78.7%
Jalen McMillan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
78.7%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
78.7%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
78.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Rome Odunze, broken up by Nahshon WrightSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
77.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Ty Jones, broken up by Alex AustinSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
74.8%
Peyton Henry 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4228% → 31%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
72.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
71.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
69.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
69.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 10 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
68.6%
Champ Flemings run for 8 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
68.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+11
68.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
67.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+7
67.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
67.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
67.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
67.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
68.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
74.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 12 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+42
75.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 42 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
78.5%
Jack Westover run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-10
78.5%
Davis, Cameron rush for 14 yards to the OSU23, out-of-bounds (Grant, Jaydon), PENALTY WASH holding (Wattenberg, L.) 10 yards to the OSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+9
76.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 9 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
77.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Puka Nacua, broken up by Simon SandbergSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 7
OPP 38
-5
75.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
73.8%
Race Porter punt for 42 yds, downed at the OrgSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
72.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+5
73.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+6
74.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
72.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Teagan QuitorianoSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
72.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
74.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
75.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FG
20 plays · 52 yds · 7:2477% → 95%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
77.3%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-5
77.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
76.5%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
77.7%
Dylan Morris run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
78.5%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
78.5%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
77.9%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
76.2%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
79.4%
Terrell Bynum run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
79.4%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-6
86.9%
Rome Odunze run for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 13
OPP 19
-5
85.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Terrell Bynum) to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 18
OPP 24
+19
84.6%
Dylan Morris run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Kitan Oladapo) to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.1%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
89.9%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 5 WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
95.2%
Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:3710% → 9%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
90.4%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 11 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
89.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Edefuan UlofoshioSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
89.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave, broken up by Edefuan UlofoshioSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
90.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass intercepted Asa Turner return for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:18
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-10.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:22
Timeout OREGON ST, clock 03:22
+7.5
TD · Q2 2:19
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com