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UCLA

UCLA 42 at Colorado 48

COLO
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:44 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:35: Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +16.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:24: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 65 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +15.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:10: Demetric Felton run for 15 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +15.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:41: Sam Noyer run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +17.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:19: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +17.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48COLO 4th & 4 at UCLA 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:33COLO 4th & 4 at UCLA 41, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−2.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:35UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:38COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:54UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03COLO 4th & 5 at UCLA 33, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36COLO 4th & 1 at UCLA 22, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−2.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:21COLO 4th & 8 at UCLA 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−8.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:19UCLA 4th & 1 at COLO 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−3.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:26COLO 4th & 8 at UCLA 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:26UCLA 4th & 11 at COLO 40, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:20COLO 4th & 1 at UCLA 26, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:00COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:01COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:12UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:56COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:35COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:46COLO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:44UCLA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:24UCLA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:10UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:41COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:19UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:45UCLA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
29.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for no gain to the Colo 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
29.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 8 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+4
29.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
29.6%
Sam Noyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
29.6%
Noyer, Sam pass incomplete to Bell, Maurice, PENALTY UCLA offside defense (Jackson, Datona) 5 yards to the COLO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
29.6%
Sam Noyer run for 5 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
29.6%
Josh Watts punt for 43 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 25 Kyle Philips fumbled, forced by Derrion Rakestraw, recovered by Colo Alec PellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:2732% → 34%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
31.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
31.7%
Sam Noyer run for 9 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
31.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
34.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
33.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 8Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+8
33.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 8 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+3
33.7%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
33.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-14
33.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Carson Wells return for 14 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.7%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
37.8%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
37.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
37.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric Felton, broken up by Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.0%
Luke Akers punt for 52 yds, downed at the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
40.1%
Sam Noyer run for 8 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-2
40.3%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
39.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 10 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
40.5%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Frank Fillip) to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-3
40.1%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+10
40.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 10 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+13
40.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 13 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
40.8%
Sam Noyer run for 8 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
40.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-3
40.5%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
40.1%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:2556% → 61%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
43.6%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
43.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 15 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
43.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 21 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
42.3%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the Colo 18 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 16
OPP 28
0
43.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+28
39.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 28 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:1141% → 53%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
40.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 2 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
40.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
41.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 21 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.2%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
43.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 15 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
43.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
43.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+11
42.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
43.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
53.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brady Russell for 12 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
49.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Mike Martinez for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
49.4%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+15
49.9%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Philips, Kyle (Miller, Chris), PENALTY COLO pass interference (Miller, Chris) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
50
+1
48.7%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-4
49.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 47 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by Colo Derrion RakestrawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
55.0%
Broussard,Jarek rush for 7 yards to the UCLA40 (Johnson, Caleb), PENALTY COLO OH (Sherman, Will) 10 yards to the COLO43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+3
54.4%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+1
54.3%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Matt Lynch for 1 yd to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+4
53.6%
Lytle, Tyler pass incomplete to Arias, Daniel, PENALTY UCLA offside defense (Jackson, Datona) 4 yards to the UCLA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+8
53.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
53.5%
Josh Watts punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
55.3%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7 Demetric Felton fumbled, forced by Jamar Montgomery, recovered by Colo Jamar MontgomerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3358% → 75%
Q2 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
58.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin UCLA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
71.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.5%
Luke Akers punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 30 , Dimitri Stanley returns for 6 yds to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:1674% → 89%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
74.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+37
74.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 37 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
74.7%
Sam Noyer run for 12 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
74.7%
Sam Noyer run for 6 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
74.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:0210% → 25%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.8%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
88.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 4 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
74.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 52 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
79.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
79.9%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
79.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
78.5%
Josh Watts punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
78.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
78.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for no gain to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
78.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
78.6%
Luke Akers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:3484% → 87%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
83.5%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Colby Pursell) to the Colo 36Similar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+8
82.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
83.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+17
85.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 17 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
86.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
86.5%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brady Russell for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
86.2%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley, broken up by Quentin LakeSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
86.9%
James Stefanou 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
83.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3617% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
68.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 65 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:4871% → 74%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 10 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
70.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brady Russell for 34 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
71.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
71.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for no gain to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
70.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 5 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
73.6%
James Stefanou 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jay Shaw Qwuantrezz Knight return for 17 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:2629% → 42%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Carson WellsSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
71.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+41
72.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 41 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
68.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
69.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
57.7%
Demetric Felton run for 15 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2963% → 84%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
62.2%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 20 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
65.0%
Sam Noyer run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+14
65.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 14 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
66.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+15
66.7%
Noyer, Sam pass incomplete to Bell, Maurice, PENALTY UCLA roughing passer (Manoa, Tyler) 15 yards to the UCLA15, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
66.7%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
66.7%
Sam Noyer run for 9 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
65.3%
Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.0%
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2220% → 41%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.6%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Cota, Chase, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Gonzalez,Christ) 15 yards to the UCLA40, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
79.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+18
78.0%
Demetric Felton run for 18 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
77.2%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete (Lewis, Isaiah), QB hurry by Lewis, Isaiah, PENALTY COLO holding (Jones, Akil) 10 yards to the COLO26, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
59.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 4:5870% → 81%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
70.4%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-8
70.1%
Sam Noyer sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 16 COLORADO Penalty, intentional grounding (Sam Noyer) to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+21
68.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brady Russell for 21 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
71.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
72.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
71.8%
Sam Noyer run for 6 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
73.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-4
73.2%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 12
50
+21
70.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 21 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
74.4%
Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
74.4%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brady Russell, broken up by Kain MedranoSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
72.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
80.9%
Evan Price 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:0219% → 20%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
81.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 22 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
79.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
78.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
78.2%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
78.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
79.6%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:4782% → 94%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
81.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+38
81.5%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Daniel Arias for 38 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
83.7%
Joe Davis run for 8 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+3
83.7%
Joe Davis run for 3 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
83.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-1
85.7%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
85.0%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
94.1%
Evan Price 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
91.9%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Dulcich, Greg, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Rakestraw,Derri) 15 yards to the UCLA44, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
91.9%
Thmpsn-Robinson rush for 21 yards to the COLO35, out-of-bounds (TEAM), PENALTY UCLA holding (Marrazzo, Sam) 10 yards to the UCLA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 20
OWN 34
-10
92.7%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Philips, Kyle, PENALTY UCLA holding (Marrazzo, Sam) 10 yards to the UCLA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 30
OWN 24
+11
92.8%
Keegan Jones run for 11 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+11
92.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+15
92.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 15 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
91.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+4
92.0%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
91.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
92.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29MISSED FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:4497% → 98%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
96.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 25 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
97.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+6
98.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+44
98.3%
Evan Price 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Quentin LakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:352% → 16%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 1 yd to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+17
98.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 17 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin, broken up by Derrion RakestrawSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
98.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Keegan JonesSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+22
98.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 22 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Keegan JonesSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
97.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 16 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
97.7%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Keegan Jones) to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
97.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
97.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Mike Martinez for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-2
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 14
OPP 45
-2
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:19
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q3 6:41
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Price KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q2 8:35
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)
+16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com