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STAN

Stanford 14 at Oregon 35

ORE
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:55 · Tom Snee punt for 51 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+24.8Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:03: Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34 — STAN win probability +5.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:05: Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +7.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:13: Travis Dye run for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +7.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:53: Tyler Shough run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:39: Austin Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +4.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:09STAN 4th & 7 at ORE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:45STAN 4th & 6 at ORE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:59STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06STAN 4th & 3 at ORE 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04STAN 4th & 13 at ORE 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:50STAN 4th & 6 at ORE 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:03STAN 4th & 9 at ORE 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:11ORE 4th & 19 at STAN 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:40STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:25STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:54ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:05ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:13ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:53ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:39STAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:37ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:4623% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
77.4%
Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.2%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
77.0%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 2
50
+17
76.8%
Austin Jones run for 17 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
76.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
76.3%
Jack West pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
76.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
76.2%
Jet Toner 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0976% → 76%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
76.4%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
76.5%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.5%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
76.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
76.3%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
75.9%
Tom Snee punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2424% → 31%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
75.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-2
75.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+38
75.4%
Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 38 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
74.4%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
74.1%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-5
74.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Walter Rouse) to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+6
74.4%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 6 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+27
74.2%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 27 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
72.9%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.3%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:2670% → 75%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+44
70.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 44 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
71.5%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
70.9%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to DJ JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+23
70.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 23 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
71.1%
OREGON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+9
70.7%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
70.8%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
74.9%
CJ Verdell run for 10 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4228% → 27%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.5%
Justus Woods run for no gain to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
72.5%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
72.8%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
73.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 40 yds, downed at the Oregn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.3%
Tyler Shough pass intercepted Levani Damuni return for no gain to the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4329% → 29%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
70.7%
Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
69.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
69.8%
Jack West pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
70.4%
Jack West pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
71.4%
Jet Toner 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:5274% → 76%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
73.7%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
73.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+25
72.9%
Tyler Shough run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
50
+2
74.9%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
74.9%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+15
74.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 15 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
75.6%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+15
75.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jonathan McGill) to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
75.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29 Cyrus Habibi-Likio fumbled, recovered by Stanf Levani Damuni , return for 12 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:5930% → 31%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
70.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+16
68.9%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
50
+15
67.0%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mykael Wright) to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.0%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
65.7%
Justus Woods run for 2 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
66.3%
Jack West pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-5
68.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
69.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 34 yds, downed at the Oregn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 3:5572% → 82%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
71.7%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Oregn 4Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+6
71.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the Oregn 10Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+4
70.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 4 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
71.6%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Jonathan McGill) to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
71.9%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
71.5%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+22
72.6%
Tyler Shough run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Stephen Herron) to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+38
73.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 38 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
74.4%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 5Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5020% → 20%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.0%
Jack West pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
80.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+9
80.4%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-5
80.2%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4279% → 89%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.7%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
78.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 7 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
78.9%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
80.3%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
80.4%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
80.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
79.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 9 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
81.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ethan Bonner) to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
81.1%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
88.6%
Travis Dye run for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 6:1813% → 12%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
87.2%
Jack West pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 33 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
85.7%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+1
85.8%
Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 1 yd to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+7
86.2%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.4%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
85.6%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+5
86.2%
Jack West pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 5 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
85.4%
Jack West pass complete to Jay Symonds for 2 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
85.6%
Justus Woods run for 2 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
87.2%
Jack West pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
88.2%
Jet Toner 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4991% → 98%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.8%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
91.1%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
91.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 9 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
91.9%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+9
91.5%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
50
+8
93.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
93.4%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
93.5%
Tyler Shough run for 15 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
94.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.3%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 3:432% → 1%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
97.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 46 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
97.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Foster Sarell) to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
98.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+6
98.0%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+15
98.4%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Daewood Davis) to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
98.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 9 yds Tucker Fisk fumbled, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
98.3%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Verone McKinley III) to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.3%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (1 Yards) to the Oregn 1Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
98.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Simi Fehoko) to the Oregn 16Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+7
98.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 7 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
98.7%
Jet Toner 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:4899% → 99%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.9%
Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Thomas Schaffer) to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+40
99.0%
Travis Dye run for 40 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+16
99.1%
CJ Verdell run for 16 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.1%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.1%
Sean Dollars run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
-5
99.0%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Sam Poutasi) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+37
99.0%
Camden Lewis 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:181% → 6%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+73
99.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 73 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.8%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.5%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:4996% → 100%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+19
96.4%
CJ Verdell run for 19 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
96.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 26 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
97.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 5 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
97.4%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.6%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+8
97.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.5%
Simi Fehoko run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+9
99.5%
Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 9 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
99.5%
Jack West run for 1 yd to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+13
99.5%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.5%
Jack West pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 9 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
99.5%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 6 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:13
Travis Dye run for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 1:05
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
+7.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:03
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com