Try the model
WSU

Washington State 38 at Oregon State 28

ORST
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Reser Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:47 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:10: Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 7 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +11.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:39: Jermar Jefferson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tristan Gebbia pass to Trevon Bradford for Two-Point Conversion) — ORST win probability +23.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 2:29: Travell Harris run for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +25.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:47ORST 4th & 12 at ORST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:14WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:55ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:42ORST 4th & 16 at ORST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 8 at WSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33WSU 4th & 6 at ORST 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:10ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WSU 4th & 5 at ORST 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:39WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:50WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:10ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:37WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:10WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:20WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:27ORST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:32ORST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:39ORST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    17.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:29WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell Harris, broken up by Isaiah DunnSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
56.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Liam Ryan) to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+2
56.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
56.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 42 yds, downed at the OrgSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-2
56.5%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
56.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
56.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Jayden de Laura) to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
56.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+16
56.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 16 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
56.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
56.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 7 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
56.3%
Jayden de Laura run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
56.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-4
56.3%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+2
56.6%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 48 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 2 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
56.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
56.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
56.4%
Tristan Gebbia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
56.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:4444% → 49%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
56.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 12 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
55.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
55.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 8 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
55.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
55.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
51.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 29 yds for a TD OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
52.8%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
52.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
52.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 15
OWN 27
-1
52.0%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Ron Stone Jr. and Brennan Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
51.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 23 yds, downed at the OrgSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
50.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
50.5%
Jayden de Laura pass intercepted, touchback. Jaydon Grant return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:5152% → 51%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
51.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 13 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
51.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 18 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
53.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
-15
53.2%
Jefferson, J. rush for 23 yards to the WSU17 (Hector, Ayden), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Kipper, Brandon) 15 yards to the OSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
51.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+8
50.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 8 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
50.8%
Tristan Gebbia punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:5249% → 50%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
50.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+28
50.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 28 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
50.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
50.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 14 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
49.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
49.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
49.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
50.0%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
16 plays · 93 yds · 7:2750% → 63%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
50.1%
Tristan Gebbia run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+6
50.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
49.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 3 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
50.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+14
51.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
51.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
51.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 2
50
+4
50.4%
Jack Colletto run for 4 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
50.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 12 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
52.1%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
52.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+9
50.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 9 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
52.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 11 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the WshSt 7Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 7 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 3:2744% → 62%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
56.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 8 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+18
55.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 18 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
54.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 6 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
53.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
52.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+14
52.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
51.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+15
51.9%
De Laura,Jayden pass incomplete to Jackson, Calvin, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Austin, Alex) 15 yards to the OSU3, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:3644% → 44%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
44.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 19 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
46.4%
Gebbia, Tristan pass incomplete to Taylor, Kolby, PENALTY WSU roughing passer (Jackson,Brennan) 15 yards to the WSU41, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
47.8%
Gebbia, Tristan sacked for loss of 9 yards to the 50 yardline (Stone, Ron), PENALTY OSU holding (Kipper, Brandon) 10 yards to the OSU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
44.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave, broken up by Jaylen WatsonSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+6
43.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 6 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
43.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave, broken up by Daniel IsomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
42.4%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Zeriah BeasonSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
42.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
41.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
40.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:5261% → 76%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
38.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
38.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard Bell, broken up by Simon SandbergSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+49
38.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 49 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.4%
Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.6%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Ahmir Crowder for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
27.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby TaylorSimilar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
27.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 18 yds, downed at the OrgSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:2077% → 91%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
23.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+9
22.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
22.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-5
19.5%
De Laura,Jayden pass complete to Jackson, Calvin for 23 yards to the OSU0, clock 08:29, PENALTY WSU ineligible downfield on pass (Mathers, Cooper) 5 yards to the OSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+28
9.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 28 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:4712% → 23%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
12.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 16 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
12.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Zeriah Beason for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+1
12.4%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+13
12.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 13 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+8
13.4%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
13.7%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 22 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
15.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 29 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.0%
Jack Colletto run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 6:2283% → 92%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
16.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 17 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
16.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+23
15.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 23 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
15.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-2
14.8%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
15.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+10
14.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Renard Bell for 10 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
12.1%
Jayden de Laura run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
12.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
12.1%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Kitan Oladapo for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
12.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
8.5%
Blake Mazza 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:218% → 19%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
8.2%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 14 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
8.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
8.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
9.6%
Gebbia, Tristan rush for no gain to the WSU49 (Crowder, Ahmir), PENALTY WSU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WSU44, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
9.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 16 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
9.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke MusgraveSimilar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+15
9.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 15 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
9.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
19.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:5387% → 92%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.0%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
13.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 23 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
11.7%
Travell Harris run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-8
11.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WshSt Jayden de LauraSimilar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+4
8.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
8.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 2:529% → 38%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-8
9.2%
Tristan Gebbia sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 2 Tristan Gebbia fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Kelsen Hennessy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 18
OWN 2
+6
8.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+13
8.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 13 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
9.3%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+20
9.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 20 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
10.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 8 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
12.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
12.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
12.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
12.7%
Tristan Gebbia run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
12.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 13 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
14.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Armani MarshSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
14.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 8 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
37.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tristan Gebbia pass to Trevon Bradford for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
5.6%
Travell Harris run for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 1:576% → 5%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
6.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 7 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
6.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
6.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+8
7.3%
Tristan Gebbia run for 8 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
4.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 2 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
4.6%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Teagan Quitoriano, broken up by Dillon ShermanSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
4.5%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 5 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+6
5.0%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
5.9%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
4.6%
Everett Hayes 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:29
Travell Harris run for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
-25.5
TD · Q4 2:39
Jermar Jefferson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tristan Gebbia pass to Trevon Bradford for Two-Point Conversion)
+23.6
TD · Q3 12:10
Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com