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WYO

Wyoming 16 at New Mexico 17

UNM
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:27 · TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:56: Trey Smith run for 58 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +7.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:11: Donovan Murphree 40 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +5.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:08: John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +6.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:22: Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Cole for 44 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK) — UNM win probability +36.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10: Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 8 — UNM win probability +17.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:42WYO 4th & 7 at UNM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47WYO 4th & 2 at UNM 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:21UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:11UNM 4th & 8 at WYO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:31WYO 4th & 6 at UNM 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:49UNM 4th & 4 at WYO 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:14UNM 4th & 13 at WYO 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:54WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:29UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 24, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:24WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:07UNM 4th & 1 at WYO 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−4.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−15.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:08WYO 4th & 8 at UNM 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−14.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:00UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:09WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 19, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:13WYO 4th & 2 at UNM 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−5.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−3.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:43UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−7.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:38WYO 4th & 10 at UNM 44, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%
    27% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:53UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:56WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:22UNM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
14.9%
Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 5 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
14.9%
Connor Genal pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
14.9%
Isaiah Chavez run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
14.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+28
14.9%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 15 Bobby Cole fumbled, recovered by Wyom Charles Hicks , return for 28 yds to the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5584% → 84%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
15.8%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
15.8%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
15.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
16.3%
John Hoyland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4916% → 19%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.3%
Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
16.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
16.2%
Connor Genal pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 14 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
16.5%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+11
16.5%
Bobby Cole run for 11 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
16.5%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
16.5%
Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+13
18.6%
Bobby Cole run for 13 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
18.8%
Connor Genal pass intercepted C.J. Coldon return for no gain to the Wyom 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:0581% → 81%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
18.6%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+13
18.6%
Trey Smith run for 13 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
19.3%
Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
19.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+1
19.3%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Nick Null punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:3921% → 26%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
21.0%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
21.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
21.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
21.3%
Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 6 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
21.3%
Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
21.7%
Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
21.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+4
21.7%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+21
26.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 21 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
26.7%
Trey Smith run for 7 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+12
26.0%
Trey Smith run for 12 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
25.8%
Levi Williams run for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
25.4%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
25.4%
Parker Christensen run for 5 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
25.4%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+1
26.1%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
28.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-3
28.7%
Connor Genal pass complete to Austin Erickson for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
27.6%
Connor Genal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
27.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:5869% → 77%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
31.2%
WILLIAMS, Levi pass complete to WELCH, Treyton for 10 yards to the WYO36 (MILLER, Kameron), PENALTY NM pass interference (MILLER, Kameron) 10 yards to the WYO36, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
30.6%
Trey Smith run for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+58
23.4%
Trey Smith run for 58 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:3528% → 31%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.2%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-6
28.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (Teton Saltes) to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 16
OPP 31
-1
26.9%
Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+9
25.9%
Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Cole for 9 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
31.2%
Donovan Murphree 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3272% → 74%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
27.7%
Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
27.3%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+4
27.6%
Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+54
27.2%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 54 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
24.7%
Trey Smith run for no gain to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
24.7%
Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
25.4%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
26.2%
John Hoyland 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:3628% → 30%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
28.2%
Bobby Wooden run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 0
0
27.7%
CHAVEZ, Isaiah pass incomplete to ERICKSON, Andre, PENALTY WYO roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY NM intentional grounding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
28.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
27.8%
CHAVEZ, Isaiah pass intercepted by SMITH, Braden at the NM40, SMITH, Braden return to the NM0, clock 00:49, PENALTY WYO personal foul (MUMA, Chad) 15 yards to the NM49, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
30.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
30.4%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
30.9%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Bobby ColeSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
29.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wyom 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
27.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
26.4%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-5
26.4%
Levi Williams pass intercepted Jerrick Reed II return for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0031% → 27%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
31.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
31.0%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
30.4%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-5
28.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (Tyson Dyer) to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+17
26.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 10 NEW MEXICO Penalty, kick catching interference (Troy Sicaeros) to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
28.2%
Levi Williams run for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
26.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 7 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
26.4%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
26.5%
Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
28.1%
Nick Null punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
29.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for 8 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
30.4%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
29.2%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
28.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
28.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 3 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
27.9%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
27.7%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
29.9%
Nick Null punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 72 yds · 0:0032% → 34%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
31.7%
Bobby Cole run for 17 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
33.4%
Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
35.2%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+3
34.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.5%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+36
35.0%
Bobby Cole run for 36 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
37.6%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
37.6%
Bryson Carroll run for 7 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
35.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
34.0%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FG
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:2868% → 78%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
31.9%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+58
32.3%
Isaiah Neyor run for 58 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
27.0%
Trey Smith run for 6 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+9
27.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 9 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
27.1%
Trey Smith run for 11 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
27.1%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
27.1%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Patrick PeekSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
28.6%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton Welch, broken up by Tavian CombsSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
22.4%
John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
27.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 8 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
28.7%
Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
28.5%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
26.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for 10 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
29.6%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
31.3%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
30.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
27.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
21.6%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
21.9%
Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
22.6%
Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
23.3%
Nick Null punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:5431% → 64%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
31.1%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
63.6%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Cole for 44 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:0052% → 55%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
48.4%
WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (Levi Williams) to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
52.4%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-6
53.0%
Levi Williams sacked by Ben Gansallo for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+18
56.0%
Gavin Beerup pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 18 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+38
51.1%
Gavin Beerup run for 38 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
45.0%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
45.0%
Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 5 Trey Smith fumbled, forced by Brandon Shook, recovered by NMex Jake SaltonstallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2762% → 63%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
62.2%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
61.2%
Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 11
-2
60.6%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 9
0
62.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 38%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
54.0%
Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
55.1%
Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
58.1%
Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Donte MartinSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
62.1%
Gavin Beerup pass intercepted Brandon Shook return for no gain to the NMex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4676% → 84%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
75.8%
Bobby Cole run for 21 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
78.7%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-6
82.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 19
OPP 49
-6
83.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:22
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Cole for 44 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK)
+36.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 8
+17.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com