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AF

Air Force 35 at Utah State 7

USU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2020 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:37 · Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Pailate Makakona
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense−55.5Pregame prior−2.3Score differential−42.5Garbage-time factor−22.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 7:00: Timeout UTAH ST, clock 07:00 — USU win probability +4.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:39: Kadin Remsberg run for 21 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) — AF win probability +5.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:32: Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Ben Peterson for 49 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) — AF win probability +4.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:52: Haaziq Daniels run for 37 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) — AF win probability +7.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:43: Matthew Murla run for 1 yd for a TD AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8 (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — AF win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 2:02AF 4th & 9 at USU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 8 at USU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:16USU 4th & 5 at AF 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00AF 4th & 25 at AF 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:37USU 4th & 4 at AF 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:32USU 4th & 1 at USU 43, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:01AF 4th & 1 at USU 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:01AF 4th & 3 at USU 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:37USU 4th & 3 at USU 28, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:53AF 4th & 6 at USU 24, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1AF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:56USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:39AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:32AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:52AF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:43AF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:12AF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
17 plays · 65 yds · 8:0417% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
17.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 7 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+14
17.1%
Andrew Peasley run for 14 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
17.1%
Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the AFA 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
17.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+10
17.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 10 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the AFA 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
17.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the AFA 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+9
17.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 9 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
17.1%
Pailate Makakona run for 5 yds to the AFA 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
17.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
23.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1777% → 78%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
23.0%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 30Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
23.2%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Jake Spiewak for 7 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
23.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 15 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
22.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
22.5%
Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
22.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
22.3%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-3
26.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+14
27.7%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 14 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
22.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 21 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 0:3325% → 25%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
25.0%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
25.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 8 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
25.7%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
26.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
25.4%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek WrightSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
25.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 12 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
25.9%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
26.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
25.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
24.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 3:0374% → 80%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
25.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the AFA 19Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+12
25.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dalton King for 12 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
25.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 6 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
24.9%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 38Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+13
25.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
20.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Ben Peterson for 49 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
21.4%
Pailate Makakona run for 5 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
21.5%
Pailate Makakona run for 4 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+27
21.2%
Andrew Peasley run for 27 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
22.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
22.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 7 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-5
23.2%
NOA, Elelyon rush for no gain to the AF44 (NOREN, Parker), PENALTY USU illegal motion 5 yards to the AF49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+2
22.6%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
21.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 46 yds, downed at the AFA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 3:3378% → 87%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
22.3%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 3Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+16
22.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 16 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
22.0%
Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+15
21.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
20.5%
Joshua Stoner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 3
50
+11
20.1%
Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
20.2%
Matthew Murla run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
20.2%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Jake SpiewakSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+37
13.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 37 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7INT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:2915% → 18%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
14.8%
Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
15.8%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Matthew Malloy for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+11
15.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 11 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
16.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 6 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-11
17.2%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Brandon Gooding for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 21
OWN 48
+19
16.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 4 yds to the UTAHST 48 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Matthew Malloy) to the AFA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
17.6%
Andrew Peasley pass intercepted Demani Hansford return for no gain to the AFA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -15 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
14.4%
REMSBERG, Kadin rush for 12 yards to the AF37 (VONGPHACHANH, A;HENINGER, Nick), PENALTY AF illegal block 11 yards to the AF14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 14
-7
14.5%
DANIELS, Haaziq pass complete to SPIEWAK, Jake for 31 yards to the AF45, PENALTY AF pass interference 7 yards to the AF7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 28
OWN 7
-2
14.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 30
OWN 5
+12
14.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the AFA 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-7
15.0%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Justus Te'i for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 10Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+3
15.2%
Joseph Carlson punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
15.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek WrightSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
15.6%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass complete to MCGRIFF, Justin for 13 yards to the AF38, out-of-bounds (HANSFORD, Daman), PENALTY USU holding (EDWARDS, Alfred) 10 yards to the USU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 20
OWN 39
0
14.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff, broken up by Demani HansfordSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+26
14.3%
Andrew Peasley run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Grant Donaldson) to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
16.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
16.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
15.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
15.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:5787% → 97%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
13.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
12.6%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
12.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 4
50
+4
12.0%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
12.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
12.0%
Joshua Stoner run for 14 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
11.8%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+20
11.8%
Brad Roberts run for 20 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-14
11.8%
ROBERTS, Brad rush for 2 yards to the USU3 (MAILE, Kina), PENALTY AF illegal block 14 yards to the USU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+14
11.9%
Kadin Remsberg run for 14 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
11.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.8%
Matthew Murla run for 1 yd for a TD AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8 (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
4.5%
John Gentry run for 7 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
4.8%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
4.7%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+5
4.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 45 yds , Ben Peterson returns for 5 yds to the AFA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 5:0498% → 100%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
2.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 23Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+5
2.5%
Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
2.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
2.5%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
2.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
2.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Ben Peterson for 24 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
2.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+12
2.0%
Brad Roberts run for 12 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.5%
Brad Roberts run for 15 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
0.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 4 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+6
0.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 6 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
0.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 15 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 4 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-6
0.5%
Andrew Peasley pass intercepted Matthew Malloy return for 6 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 6 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+10
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 10 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
0.4%
Ben Brittain run for 2 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.3%
Jorden Gidrey run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
0.3%
Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+2
0.4%
Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+1
0.4%
Ben Brittain run for 1 yd to the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
0.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Tim Patrick Jr.Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
0.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 11 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
0.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 5 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
0.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 2 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Quinton HadnotSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Pailate MakakonaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16END OF GAME
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+5
0.1%
Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+1
0.1%
Elijah Robinson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+7
0.1%
Jensen Jones run for 7 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
0.1%
Jensen Jones run for 6 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:43
Matthew Murla run for 1 yd for a TD AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8 (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-9
TD · Q2 0:52
Haaziq Daniels run for 37 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)
-7
TD · Q1 0:39
Kadin Remsberg run for 21 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com