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UNM

New Mexico 27 at Utah State 41

USU
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2020 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2USU 36.6%Connor Coles 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 6 · Q2 13:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:54 · Connor Coles 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior−16.6Home team on offense+1.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:20: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +17.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:52: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +17.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:54: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +13.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:50: Bryson Carroll pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 28 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK) — UNM win probability +13.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Andrew Peasley run for 62 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +10.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54USU 4th & 3 at UNM 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:39UNM 4th & 9 at USU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:54USU 4th & 12 at UNM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:54USU 4th & 1 at USU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.5%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:14UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−4.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:47UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:40USU 4th & 10 at USU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:16UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:14USU 4th & 4 at USU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 8:10UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:20USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:52USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:54USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:50UNM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:08UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:03USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
28.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-2
28.3%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
28.3%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
28.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 6:4129% → 33%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
29.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
29.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
29.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole for 3 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
29.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 6 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
29.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 7 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
29.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+22
29.1%
Andrew Peasley run for 7 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Donte Martin) to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
29.2%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
29.2%
John Gentry pass complete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole for 4 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
29.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
33.1%
Connor Coles 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FG
20 plays · 55 yds · 6:1067% → 66%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
33.1%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-5
33.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+4
33.2%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NMex 23 Trae Hall fumbled,Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+12
33.4%
Trae Hall run for 12 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
32.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
32.5%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
32.5%
Bobby Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
32.4%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 8
50
+3
32.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+5
32.4%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 5 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
32.3%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
32.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
32.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-5
32.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+15
32.8%
HALL, Trae pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Mar., PENALTY USU pass interference (TATUM, Dominic) 15 yards to the USU23, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
32.0%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Bryson Carroll, broken up by Elijah SheltonSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
32.1%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
32.4%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
33.8%
Donovan Murphree 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:4235% → 37%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
35.2%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 7 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+30
35.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 15 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
36.7%
Pailate Makakona run for 15 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
37.4%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek Wright, broken up by Jerrick Reed IISimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
37.4%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Donte Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
36.4%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
36.6%
Connor Coles 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 5:3862% → 68%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
37.6%
Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 6 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
37.6%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by AJ VongphachanhSimilar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+16
38.2%
Trae Hall run for 16 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
37.1%
Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 13 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
36.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for 10 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
35.9%
Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for 15 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
35.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
35.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+5
35.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Justus Te'i) to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
35.2%
Trae Hall run for 12 yds to the UthSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
35.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 5Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
35.2%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
36.1%
Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.6%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 71 yds · 0:0034% → 37%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
33.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 9 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+7
35.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.5%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
34.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 6 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+31
35.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 31 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
36.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-2
36.9%
John Gentry run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+8
35.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 8 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
36.9%
John Gentry run for 5 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
36.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds Andrew Peasley fumbled, forced by Brandon Shook, recovered by NMexSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:2167% → 75%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
33.2%
Trae Hall run for 17 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
32.4%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
32.0%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
33.0%
Trae Hall pass complete to Cedric Patterson III to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+9
31.1%
Trae Hall pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 9 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-6
30.8%
Trae Hall sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 43 Trae Hall fumbled, recovered by NMex Marcus Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
31.8%
Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for 4 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
31.2%
HALL, Trae pass incomplete to LOGAN-GREENE, E, PENALTY USU pass interference (LAMPKIN, Cam) 15 yards to the USU24, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
30.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
30.9%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Chad AlexanderSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+31
25.0%
Donovan Murphree 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
30.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:3430% → 48%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
30.0%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
29.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 9 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
31.2%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+16
30.4%
Savon Scarver run for 1 yd to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
47.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
41.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for 7 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-3
39.4%
Trae Hall pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-7
41.6%
Trae Hall sacked by AJ Vongphachanh for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
43.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 48 yds, downed at the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:3545% → 67%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
45.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Carson TerrellSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+29
45.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 29 yds Derek Wright fumbled, forced by Nico Bolden, recovered by UthSt Devonta'e Henry-Cole for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
49.8%
Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+26
66.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
59.9%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
60.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
61.0%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by Jared ReedSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
62.2%
Tyson Dyer puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:1469% → 82%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
68.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+14
68.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 14 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
81.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3723% → 7%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.2%
Trae Hall run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
76.9%
Trae Hall sacked by Jakob Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
92.9%
Trae Hall sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 10 yards Trae Hall fumbled, recovered by UthSt Kina Maile , return for 0 yards , return for 16 yds (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:278% → 22%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.4%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by Cam LampkinSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
92.4%
Bryson Carroll run for 14 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.4%
Trae Hall run for 7 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
92.0%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+16
92.3%
Trae Hall run for 16 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
78.5%
Bryson Carroll pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 28 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
87.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-ColeSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
87.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek WrightSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds , Emmanuel Logan-Greene returns for 1 yd to the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4316% → 14%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
83.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
84.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
83.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Hale Motu'apuaka) to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
82.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
82.2%
Connor Genal run for 4 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for no gain to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+10
86.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 39 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 10 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
50
-10
91.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for a loss of 10 yards Justin McGriff fumbled, forced by Connor Genal, recovered by NMex Jake SaltonstallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 13:16
4TH & 18
OWN 19
+3
88.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
87.1%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
87.8%
Connor Genal pass incomplete to Elijah QueenSimilar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 18
OWN 19
0
88.0%
Connor Genal pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
92.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+2
91.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Quinton Hadnot for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+9
91.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 9 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
91.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 38 yds, downed at the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:3111% → 23%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
89.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+7
89.2%
Connor Genal pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 7 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
89.2%
Connor Genal pass complete to Marcus Williams for 24 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+37
87.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 37 yds to the UthSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
86.4%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
86.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
87.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Dominic Tatum) to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
86.4%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.4%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:5886% → 97%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
86.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
86.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.5%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
86.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+62
96.6%
Andrew Peasley run for 62 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.0%
Connor Genal pass complete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
94.6%
Connor Genal pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
95.1%
Connor Genal pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.4%
Connor Genal pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
94.3%
GENAL, Connor pass incomplete to UMEH, Anselem, PENALTY USU pass interference (ANYANWU, M.) 11 yards to the USU45, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
94.2%
Connor Genal pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
93.8%
Connor Genal pass intercepted Luke Marion return for no gain to the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24Uncategorized
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:1497% → 98%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
97.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+8
97.7%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 8 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
98.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
97.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 10 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-1
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 12
OWN 32
-1
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:20
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)
+17.4
TD · Q3 8:52
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 2:50
Bryson Carroll pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 28 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com