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NEV

Nevada 27 at New Mexico 20

UNM
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.2UNM 36.4%Brandon Talton 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 10 · Q2 3:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:41 · Brandon Talton 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior−26.5Home team on offense+4.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:08: Bryson Carroll pass complete to Trae Hall for 16 yds for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK) — UNM win probability +4.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:21: Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 33 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +15.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:36: Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +16.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:47: Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 59 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +10.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:02: Bobby Cole run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK) — UNM win probability +18.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:15NEV 4th & 19 at NEV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:58UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:39NEV 4th & 6 at UNM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09UNM 4th & 8 at NEV 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:05NEV 4th & 19 at NEV 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:41NEV 4th & 7 at UNM 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:33UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04UNM 4th & 11 at NEV 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:09NEV 4th & 10 at UNM 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:04UNM 4th & 8 at NEV 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:36UNM 4th & 1 at NEV 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−3.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−5.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00NEV 4th & 7 at UNM 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:04UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:47NEV 4th & 19 at NEV 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−4.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:34UNM 4th & 3 at NEV 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−4.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−10.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:08UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:21NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:36NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:47NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:02UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
12.0%
Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
12.0%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
12.0%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 7 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
12.0%
Chad Alexander run for 9 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
12.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
12.0%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
12.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+2
12.0%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 2 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
12.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
13.7%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
13.7%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+41
13.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 41 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
13.5%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
13.5%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-11
13.5%
Carson Strong sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 11 yards to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
13.8%
Matt Freem punt for 50 yds, downed at the NMex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
14.7%
Trae Hall run for 3 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+15
14.7%
Trae Hall pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 15 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
14.8%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bobby Cole for 7 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
14.9%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
14.7%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
14.8%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
15.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
14.9%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+2
14.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 2 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
16.4%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
16.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+15
16.4%
STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to DOUBS, Romeo, PENALTY NM pass interference (MARTIN, Donte) 15 yards to the NEV43, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
16.0%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
15.8%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
15.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 6 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-2
15.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-4
16.2%
Carson Strong sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3719% → 24%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
18.8%
Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
19.3%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
19.1%
Trae Hall run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
19.4%
Trae Hall run for 11 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
19.5%
Bobby Cole run for 17 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
24.4%
Bryson Carroll pass complete to Trae Hall for 16 yds for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5724% → 27%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
24.2%
Trae Hall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
-1
24.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+40
23.7%
Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 40 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
24.5%
Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-3
24.5%
Trae Hall sacked by Zak Mahannah and Sam Hammond for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
24.1%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-GreeneSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
27.0%
George Steinkamp 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
27.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the Nevad 12Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+14
27.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 14 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
27.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Jerrick Reed IISimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
27.4%
LEE, Devonte rush for 2 yards to the NEV28 (SANDERS, Devin), PENALTY NEV holding (WEYNAND, Adam) 10 yards to the NEV16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+1
27.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 1 yd to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 19
OWN 17
0
28.1%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
28.4%
Matt Freem punt for 56 yds, downed at the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
30.2%
Trae Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
29.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-7
29.3%
Trae Hall sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
28.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:1369% → 64%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
31.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 7 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+10
30.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 10 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
30.2%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+4
30.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+15
31.3%
STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to LOCKHART, J. (COLLIER, Tony), PENALTY NM pass interference (COLLIER, Tony) 15 yards to the NM14, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
29.9%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
29.9%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-3
36.6%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
36.4%
Brandon Talton 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
37.9%
Trae Hall pass intercepted Tyson Williams return for no gain to the NMex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
22.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 33 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4828% → 29%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
28.4%
Trae Hall run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
28.4%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
29.8%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+21
29.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 21 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
25.8%
Carson Strong pass intercepted Jerrick Reed II return for 25 yds to the NEWMEXICO 37 NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:5933% → 33%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
33.2%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bryson Carroll for no gain to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Dom Peterson) to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
34.2%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-GreeneSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
34.1%
Trae Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
32.4%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
33.3%
George Steinkamp 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
35.2%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-2
35.5%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 14Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+7
35.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 7 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+10
36.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 10 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:4467% → 69%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
33.4%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
32.0%
Toa Taua pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 4 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
31.9%
Carson Strong run for 4 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
31.3%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
31.3%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
30.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+30
31.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 30 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
29.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
29.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
31.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
31.0%
Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
34.1%
Trae Hall run for 1 yd to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+15
33.9%
Bobby Cole run for 15 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
34.5%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
35.2%
Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
34.2%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bobby Cole for 9 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
36.6%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 15 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
38.3%
Bobby Wooden run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
38.3%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
37.3%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
34.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:2465% → 82%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
34.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 18Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
35.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 10 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
34.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
18.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0022% → 24%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
21.8%
Bobby Cole run for 13 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
22.9%
Trae Hall pass complete to Bobby Cole for 6 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
24.5%
Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
24.5%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
25.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 7 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
25.3%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 18
OPP 49
-1
23.3%
Trae Hall pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 19
50
+18
21.9%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 18 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-8
23.7%
Trae Hall run for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
17.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 6 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
17.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
18.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 5 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
17.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin Lockhart, broken up by Tony CollierSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
17.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
50
+4
17.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
19.2%
Carson Strong punt for 26 yds, downed at the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
21.4%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
21.8%
Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 10 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
22.0%
Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+11
24.1%
Bobby Cole run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
50
-1
25.3%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
23.3%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
22.0%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan Kress, broken up by Berdale RobinsSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+9
20.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 9 yds to the Nevad 19 Romeo Doubs fumbled, forced by Letayveon Beaton, recovered by Nevad Peter MontiniSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:2383% → 96%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
16.8%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
16.2%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
16.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
14.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
4.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 59 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:376% → 25%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+42
5.9%
Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 42 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
7.0%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
7.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+10
6.8%
Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 10 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
7.0%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.0%
Trae Hall run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.2%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · -9 yds · 1:1588% → 89%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
12.5%
TAUA, Toa rush for no gain to the NEV25 (SHOOK, Brandon), PENALTY NEV holding (FROST, Aaron) 10 yards to the NEV15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
12.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
12.9%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
12.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-1
13.9%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 16Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+14
11.1%
Matt Freem punt for 41 yds , Emmanuel Logan-Greene returns for 14 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
22.8%
Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
23.7%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
25.6%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
25.1%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
20.8%
Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 7 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 3
OPP 24
0
21.0%
Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-GreeneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:1195% → 95%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
5.5%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 21Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+8
5.8%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+16
5.2%
Toa Taua run for 16 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:02
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)
+18.2
TD · Q3 4:36
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
-16.5
TD · Q2 3:21
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 33 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com