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WYO

Wyoming 24 at Colorado State 34

CSU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2020 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+8.4CSU 67.8%Robert Liss 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q2 11:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:58 · Robert Liss 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense+9.8Pregame prior−7.1Garbage-time factor+3.7Score differential+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:58: Robert Liss 29 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:57: Trey Smith run for 13 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +7.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:38: Patrick O'Brien run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Liss KICK) — CSU win probability +16.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:18: Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Liss KICK) — CSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:18: Levi Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +15.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:13WYO 4th & 2 at CSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:07CSU 4th & 26 at WYO 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−4.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 36, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:58CSU 4th & 11 at WYO 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−7.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:34CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54WYO 4th & 26 at CSU 38, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    33.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37CSU 4th & 8 at WYO 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:24WYO 4th & 8 at CSU 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−10.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:18WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:16CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 5 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:33CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 11, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:46CSU 4th & 10 at WYO 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:11WYO 4th & 21 at WYO 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:48CSU 4th & 3 at WYO 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:44WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:03CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:13CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:57WYO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:38CSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:34WYO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:18CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
39.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
39.9%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
39.9%
Dante Wright run for 2 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
39.9%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
39.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
39.9%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2INT TD
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:5359% → 58%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
40.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
40.6%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-30
42.1%
Levi Williams pass intercepted for a TD Marshaun Cameron return for 30 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Robert Liss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:0058% → 57%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
41.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.8%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
41.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+3
43.4%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-6
43.4%
Levi Williams sacked by Marshaun Cameron for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 29 Levi Williams fumbled, recovered by ColSt Dequan Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
47.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 29 yds for a TD (Robert Liss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
47.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
47.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
47.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
47.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 21 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
47.3%
Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the ColSt 39Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
47.3%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+7
47.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 7 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-4
47.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:4952% → 56%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+42
51.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 42 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
52.3%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
52.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
52.1%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 4 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
52.3%
McELROY, M. rush for loss of 1 yard to the WYO12 (GODBOUT, Cole), PENALTY CSU holding (KORUTZ, A.) 10 yards to the WYO21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 20
OPP 21
-1
52.3%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Cameron Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 21
OPP 22
+4
52.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 4 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 17
OPP 18
-9
51.8%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Esaias Gandy for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 26
OPP 27
+45
55.6%
Robert Liss 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
54.4%
Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
54.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
54.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
54.5%
Nick Null punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:4058% → 68%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
57.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+15
58.1%
O'BRIEN, P. pass incomplete to SCOTT, E.J. (COLDON, C.J.), PENALTY WYO pass interference (COLDON, C.J.) 15 yards to the CSU48, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
58.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to A'Jon VivensSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+30
58.6%
A'Jon Vivens run for 30 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
59.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
59.8%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+15
59.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 15 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
59.8%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
59.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
59.5%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Braden Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
67.8%
Robert Liss 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:5635% → 43%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
64.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+12
65.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 12 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
66.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+33
66.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 33 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
64.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 21 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
56.8%
Trey Smith run for 13 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1958% → 77%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
57.3%
Patrick O'Brien run for 9 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
58.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 10 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
59.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+28
59.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 28 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
60.0%
WRIGHT, D. rush for 2 yards to the WYO23 (GLINTON, K.), PENALTY WYO face mask (GLINTON, K.) 13 yards to the WYO12, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
60.0%
McELROY, M. rush for loss of 3 yards to the WYO15, fumble by McELROY, M. recovered by CSU McELROY, M. at WYO14, PENALTY WYO offside defense 5 yards to the WYO7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 5
OPP 7
-2
60.0%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+8
60.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 8 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.7%
Patrick O'Brien run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Liss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0428% → 37%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+17
72.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 17 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
71.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+56
71.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 56 yds to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
68.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ColSt 2Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Elijah Johnson) to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+23
65.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to E.J. Scott for 8 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (Azizi Hearn) to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
67.3%
Patrick O'Brien run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
50
-10
67.7%
VIVENS, A. rush for 1 yard to the WYO49 (SMITH, Braden;BERTAGNOLE, J), PENALTY CSU holding (McBRIDE, Tr.) 10 yards to the CSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
66.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Marcus McElroy Jr.Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
65.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-Myers, broken up by C.J. ColdonSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+3
64.4%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:3833% → 32%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
67.2%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+26
67.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 26 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
66.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 15
OWN 33
-10
67.0%
WILLIAMS, Levi pass complete to EBERHARDT, A. for 18 yards to the CSU49 (FRANCIS, T.), PENALTY WYO holding (WATTS, Zach) 10 yards to the WYO23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 25
OWN 23
0
67.3%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xazavian Valladay, broken up by Brandon Hickerson-RooksSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 25
OWN 23
+3
67.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 22
OWN 26
+9
68.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
68.5%
NULL, Nick punt 42 yards to the CSU23, WRIGHT, D. return to the CSU45 (EKELER, Wyatt), PENALTY CSU roughing the kicker (SCOTT, E.J.) 0 yards to the WYO35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+11
68.5%
Nick Null punt for 51 yds , Dante Wright returns for 11 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FUMBLE
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
63.7%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
63.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+37
62.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
60.6%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Neyor) to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
61.0%
Trey Smith run for 11 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
60.6%
Levi Williams sacked by Mohamed Kamara and Scott Patchan for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 18
OPP 30
-8
62.3%
Levi Williams sacked by Scott Patchan and Manny Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 38 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 26
OPP 38
0
64.5%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 26
OPP 38
+6
65.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 48 TEAM fumbled, forced by Toby McBride, recovered by ColSt Cam'ron Carter , return for 6 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
71.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-4
71.8%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
70.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Trey McBride, broken up by Keyon BlankenbakerSimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
68.9%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17FG
11 plays · 80 yds · 6:0230% → 33%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
70.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+7
70.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Devin Jennings for 7 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
69.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+38
69.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 38 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
67.3%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
65.5%
Trey Smith run for no gain to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+25
67.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 25 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
65.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
65.5%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the ColSt 5Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
67.0%
Levi Williams sacked by Dequan Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 8Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
66.7%
John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:5975% → 87%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
74.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
50
+10
74.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 10 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
75.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+38
87.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Liss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
84.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Nick Null punt for 49 yds , Dante Wright returns for no gain to the ColSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3290% → 89%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
89.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 24Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
89.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+8
89.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 8 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Dontae Crow returns for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:2915% → 15%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.5%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
84.1%
WILLIAMS, Levi pass incomplete to BROWN, Alex (CAMERON, M.), PENALTY CSU pass interference (CAMERON, M.) 15 yards to the WYO45, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
83.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
84.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-4
84.0%
Levi Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
50
0
85.3%
Nick Null punt for 48 yds, downed at the ColSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
91.1%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 5Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
91.0%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
91.0%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 11Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+6
90.3%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Dontae Crow returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:2212% → 28%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
87.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 15 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ColSt 41Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
87.3%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
87.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 12 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
85.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 17 yds to the ColSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
87.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the ColSt 4Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
87.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ColSt 3Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
72.4%
Levi Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:3284% → 97%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
84.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
85.0%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+14
85.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 14 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
86.5%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
86.3%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+16
85.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 16 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
86.7%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-1
86.7%
A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
95.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+48
97.2%
Robert Liss 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:287% → 5%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.3%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+30
93.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 30 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.7%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
91.6%
Levi Williams sacked by Cam'ron Carter and Manny Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 16
OWN 42
-5
94.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor, broken up by Marshaun CameronSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5298% → 98%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.1%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
98.3%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+3
98.2%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
98.4%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
96.8%
Levi Williams sacked by Manny Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 20
OWN 19
0
97.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 20
OWN 19
+15
97.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Nate Weinman for 15 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+7
97.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:38
Patrick O'Brien run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Liss KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q4 8:18
Levi Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 3:18
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Liss KICK)
+12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com