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SJSU

San José State 38 at New Mexico 21

UNM
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:21 · Elijah Fischer punt for 45 yds, downed at the NMex 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+3.0Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:10: Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — UNM win probability +5.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:06: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 4 yds for a TD SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declined (George Steinkamp KICK) — SJSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:55: Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. FG · Q3 8:00: Matt Mercurio 35 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +7.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 69 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNM win probability +11.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 9SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 11:17SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:32UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:35UNM 4th & 1 at SJSU 30, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−0.8
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:06UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 4, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%−0.9
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:40SJSU 4th & 9 at UNM 26, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%
    64% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:17UNM 4th & 4 at SJSU 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:36SJSU 4th & 2 at UNM 13, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.9 ptsPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%
    85% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:10SJSU 4th & 4 at UNM 35, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−1.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:40UNM 4th & 4 at SJSU 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−2.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:21SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:09UNM 4th & 5 at SJSU 20, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 10.7 ptsPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%
    75% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:39SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−<0.1
    66% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:08UNM 4th & 26 at SJSU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:36SJSU 4th & 3 at UNM 30, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:42UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 21, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:31UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:36UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:33SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:10UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:06SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:55SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00UNM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:39UNM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:3883% → 81%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
82.5%
Jordan Kress run for 5 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
82.5%
Bryson Carroll run for 5 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
82.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
82.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 13 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
82.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
82.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+14
82.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 14 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
81.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
81.9%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+10
81.7%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 10 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+46
81.3%
George Steinkamp 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+10
81.1%
Shamar Garrett run for 10 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
81.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
81.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 14 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
81.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 5 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
81.3%
Shamar Garrett run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
81.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Shamar Garrett, broken up by Brandon ShookSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
81.5%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1081% → 80%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
81.2%
Bryson Carroll run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+14
81.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 14 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
81.1%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+9
80.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 9 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+2
80.3%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
80.1%
Tyson Dyer punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 5:0121% → 19%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
78.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 6 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
78.6%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
78.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 5 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
78.2%
Isaiah Holiness run for 4 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
78.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
78.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
77.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
78.0%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+5
78.3%
FISCHER,Elijah punt 58 yards to the NM0, touchback, PENALTY NM illegal formation (PAUNI, Elmer) 5 yards to the SJSU47, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
77.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for no gain to the SJSt 47 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SJSt 47Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
77.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+9
77.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
77.5%
Isaiah Holiness run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+37
81.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 37 yds for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:5282% → 82%
Q1 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress, broken up by Hadari DardenSimilar
Q1 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+13
82.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 13 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
82.4%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
82.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 5 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
82.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
81.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:1621% → 15%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
79.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Tre Walker) to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+19
79.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 19 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
79.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
79.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for 7 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
79.9%
STARKEL, Nick pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey, dropped pass, PENALTY NM offside (SALTONSTALL, Ja) 5 yards to the SJSU42, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
79.9%
Isaiah Holiness run for 4 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
79.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 8 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
80.0%
Nick Starkel sacked by Ben Bertram for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+8
80.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 8 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+43
84.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 43 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 0:5987% → 82%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
86.9%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+21
87.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 21 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
87.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 21 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
82.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Patterson Iii for 39 yds for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2321% → 13%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
79.5%
Isaiah Holiness run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+20
79.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 20 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
80.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
81.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+4
81.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 4 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-15
81.7%
STARKEL, Nick pass complete to DEESE, JR, Derr for 29 yards to the NM0, clock 07:16, PENALTY SJSU pass interference (WALKER, Tre) 15 yards to the NM44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+10
81.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 10 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-5
81.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+13
81.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 13 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+26
86.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0488% → 81%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
88.0%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+11
88.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 11 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+46
87.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 46 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
87.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 8 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 8
-2
87.0%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+5
86.9%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Marcu (MATAU, Alii), PENALTY SJSU personal foul (FEHOKO, Viliami) 5 yards to the SJSU5, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 5
OWN 5
0
87.1%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the SJSt 5Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 5
+1
87.0%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 1 yd to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 4
OWN 4
0
88.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for no gain to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 4
OWN 4
+4
80.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 4 yds for a TD SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declined (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2621% → 19%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
79.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
79.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
79.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 9
OPP 26
0
81.4%
Elijah Fischer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1484% → 82%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Daevon VigilantSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
83.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 6 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
83.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Daevon VigilantSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
82.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 5 , Bailey Gaither returns for no gain to the SJSt 40 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the SJSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3122% → 20%
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+7
78.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 7 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+1
78.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
79.6%
Elijah Fischer punt for 43 yds, downed at the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
83.6%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4423% → 20%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
77.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Jesse Chamberlain) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+3
77.9%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
77.3%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+8
79.3%
Nick Nash run for 8 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
79.7%
Elijah Fischer punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0283% → 68%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
83.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 9 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
82.8%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+19
82.3%
Bobby Cole run for 19 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.5%
Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
82.4%
VIGILANT, Daevo rush for loss of 1 yard to the SJSU39 (PARKER, Tysyn;DARDEN, Hadari), PENALTY SJSU holding (TOIA, Soane) 10 yards to the SJSU28, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
81.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 20 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 8
OWN 8
+3
80.8%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 5
+4
80.6%
Jordan Kress run for 4 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 1
+1
68.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:4636% → 25%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
64.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
63.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+14
63.7%
Nick Nash pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 14 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
64.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
64.9%
Isaiah Holiness run for 8 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 5 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+2
66.6%
Isaiah Holiness run for 2 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
67.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Letayveon BeatonSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+35
74.9%
Matt Mercurio 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1578% → 75%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
77.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+10
77.8%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 10 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
77.8%
Daevon Vigilant run for 9 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-4
76.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
76.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
74.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:3834% → 26%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
66.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 13 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
66.2%
Isaiah Holiness run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+21
67.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
69.9%
ROBINSON,Kairee rush for 9 yards to the NM34 (PEEK, Patrick;HIGHTOWER, Core), PENALTY SJSU holding (ROBBINS, Trevor) 10 yards to the SJSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+6
69.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 6 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
72.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Devin SandersSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
73.8%
Elijah Fischer punt for 45 yds, downed at the NMex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0477% → 73%
Q3 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+7
76.8%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 7 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+6
76.7%
Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
76.7%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+1
76.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
75.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
72.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+69
83.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 69 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2590% → 89%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
90.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 22 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
89.9%
Daevon Vigilant run for 5 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
89.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+2
88.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 2 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
88.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted Tre Jenkins return for no gain to the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:5014% → 3%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
85.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+55
86.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 55 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+9
89.6%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 9 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
89.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+6
90.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 1
0
91.9%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 1
OWN 1
+1
97.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Sam Olson for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:2697% → 97%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 12 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 26 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 20
OWN 48
-6
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Alii Matau and Cade Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 26
OPP 46
0
97.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:424% → 2%
Q4 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
96.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+6
97.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
97.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-1
97.6%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-5
97.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Trevor Robbins) to the SJSt 22Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+8
98.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 8 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Elijah Fischer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 6 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+9
99.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 9 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 12 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 13 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 15 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Patterson IiiSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress, broken up by Nehemiah SheltonSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-97.7
TD · Q3 10:55
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd for a TD (George Steinkamp KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q3 0:00
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 69 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com