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NEV

Nevada 37 at UNLV 19

UNLV
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameTD+7.4UNLV 30.4%Max Gilliam pass complete to TyleekCollins for 1 yd for a TD (Two-PointConversion failed )AWAY 17 - HOME 12 · Q2 2:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:20 · Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior−17.6Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:55: Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 65 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +5.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:20: Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UNLV win probability +7.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +7.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:06: Max Gilliam pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 5 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +9.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:37: Toa Taua run for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 10 of 11NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:47NEV 4th & 7 at UNLV 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37UNLV 4th & 11 at NEV 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33UNLV 4th & 4 at NEV 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06UNLV 4th & 9 at NEV 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:50UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:39NEV 4th & 20 at UNLV 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:20UNLV 4th & 1 at NEV 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:36NEV 4th & 9 at UNLV 9, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:31UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:37UNLV 4th & 2 at NEV 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−2.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:37UNLV 4th & 7 at NEV 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:22UNLV 4th & 12 at NEV 19, down 15
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:27NEV 4th & 17 at UNLV 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:20UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:33NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:55NEV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:20UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15NEV Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:06UNLV Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:37NEV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:1379% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
20.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 36 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
20.9%
Jamaal Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+15
20.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 15 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
20.9%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
20.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+4
20.9%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
20.9%
Carson Strong run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
20.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
20.9%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
22.7%
Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:0423% → 25%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
22.9%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
23.1%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+12
22.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 12 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
23.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 26 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
23.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-15
23.3%
GILLIAM,Max pass incomplete to GASSER,Jacob, PENALTY UNLV clipping (OLUWASEUN,J.) 15 yards to the UNR31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 23
OPP 31
+12
23.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 12 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
23.1%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
24.7%
Daniel Gutierrez 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
24.5%
BROWN,Tanner kickoff 62 yards to the UNR3, BELL, Jamaal return to the UNR25 (WINDMON,Jacoby;EGBASE,Ose), PENALTY UNLV offside (WINDMON,Jacoby) 5 yards to the UNLV30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:4676% → 78%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
24.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+13
24.0%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
23.8%
STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to STOVALL, M., PENALTY UNR pass interference (STOVALL, M.) 15 yards to the UNLV43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 25
OPP 43
-10
24.2%
TAUA, Toa rush for 20 yards to the UNLV23 (JACKSON,Bryce), PENALTY UNR holding (GARDNER, Jacob) 10 yards to the UNR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 35
OWN 47
+52
24.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 52 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.5%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 5:2724% → 28%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
23.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Courtney Reese for 4 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
23.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
23.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 2 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+20
24.0%
Charles Williams run for 20 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.4%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
24.4%
Max Gilliam run for 6 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
24.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Jacob GasserSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+20
24.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 20 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
24.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Nevad 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
26.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Jacob Gasser, broken up by Kieran ClarkSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-5
25.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+5
24.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 5 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
28.0%
Daniel Gutierrez 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
22.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 65 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
22.6%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
22.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
21.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+1
21.7%
Tanner Brown punt for 49 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
22.0%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
22.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Charles Ross for 10 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
21.8%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
21.9%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
21.4%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
21.5%
Toa Taua run for 14 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
21.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Kieran Clark) to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+4
21.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
21.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+12
21.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 12 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
21.3%
Carson Strong run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-2
21.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-10
21.4%
Carson Strong sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
22.1%
Julian Diaz punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:1922% → 30%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
21.5%
Charles Williams run for 17 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
22.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 16 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
22.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+14
22.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 14 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
23.9%
GILLIAM,Max pass incomplete to WILLIAMS,Kyle, PENALTY UNR pass interference (DEDMAN, Jaden) 15 yards to the UNR19, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
23.9%
GILLIAM,Max rush for 19 yards to the UNR0, clock 04:49, PENALTY UNLV holding (OLUWASEUN,J.) 10 yards to the UNR29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+14
23.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 14 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
24.5%
Max Gilliam run for 8 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
24.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.5%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
23.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 5 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5972% → 85%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
28.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 21 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
26.4%
Toa Taua run for 10 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
25.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+15
25.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
25.0%
Carson Strong sacked by Eliel Ehimare for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+26
22.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 26 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.0%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
19.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
19.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 5 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
19.2%
Max Gilliam run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
19.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by AJ KingSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
19.5%
Max Gilliam run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-8
19.2%
Max Gilliam sacked by Lamin Touray for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 15
OWN 28
+3
18.5%
Tanner Brown punt for 39 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 3 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0682% → 88%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
17.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
17.8%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+22
17.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 22 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+35
16.9%
Toa Taua run for 33 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Bryce Jackson) to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.5%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
16.7%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Tyler Orsini) to the UNLV 6Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
16.7%
Carson Strong sacked by Eliel Ehimare for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall, broken up by Tre CaineSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
11.8%
Brandon Talton 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
16 plays · 86 yds · 6:2513% → 24%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
13.1%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
13.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Courtney Reese for 3 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+8
13.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.3%
Courtney Reese run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
13.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.0%
Max Gilliam run for 9 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+11
13.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 11 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
14.7%
Kyle Williams pass complete to Noah Bean for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
15.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 11 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
15.7%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
15.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
15.7%
Tyleek Collins run for 2 yds to the Nevad 11Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+6
15.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the Nevad 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 5 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:1982% → 94%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
17.8%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
18.5%
STRONG, Carson sacked for no gain to the UNR30 (EHIMARE,Eliel;WINDMON,Jacoby), PENALTY UNLV offside (UASIKE,Kolo) 5 yards to the UNR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+35
17.6%
Devonte Lee run for 35 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
15.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 17 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
14.9%
Justin Lockhart run for 9 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
14.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
6.1%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15DOWNS
19 plays · 46 yds · 5:1511% → 6%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
10.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 9 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
11.7%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
11.6%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 8
50
+6
11.4%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
11.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+5
11.7%
Max Gilliam run for 5 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
11.9%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
11.9%
Max Gilliam run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
12.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-5
11.9%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Julio Garcia) to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+8
11.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
12.6%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
12.6%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
12.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
12.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Jacob Gasser, broken up by Tyson WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-2
6.0%
Max Gilliam sacked by Sam Hammond for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 19Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 12
OPP 19
0
5.5%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:0695% → 99%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
4.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 27 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+29
4.2%
Avery Morrow run for 29 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
4.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
4.0%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
2.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
2.7%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
2.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-2
2.8%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
1.3%
Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
1.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 2 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-8
1.6%
Max Gilliam sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+5
1.5%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 11
+9
1.6%
Tanner Brown punt for 54 yds , Charles Ross returns for 9 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
0.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the Nevad 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:06
Max Gilliam pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 5 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q4 13:37
Toa Taua run for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q2 2:20
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com