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WYO

Wyoming 34 at Nevada 37

NEV
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:45 · Julian Diaz punt for 71 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 169Home team on offense+16.9Pregame prior−0.2Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:50: Levi Williams run for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +14.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:30: Levi Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Levi Williams pass to Treyton Welch for Two-Point Conversion) — WYO win probability +33.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 3:26: Brandon Talton 21 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +21.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:23: John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +30.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: John Hoyland 38 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +17.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 13:24WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:25WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:38WYO 4th & 4 at NEV 10, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:32NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57WYO 4th & 4 at NEV 19, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:16WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19NEV 4th & 1 at WYO 1, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:01WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:25WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 27, down 15
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:46NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 20, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:08NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−3.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:30NEV 4th & 21 at NEV 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−12.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:26NEV 4th & 4 at WYO 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%−3.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−30.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:26WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−3.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:45NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23WYO 4th & 10 at NEV 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−14.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−22.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:25NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:46NEV Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:30NEV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:47NEV Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:50WYO Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:13WYO Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:30WYO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    38.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:3659% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
41.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
41.1%
Sean Chambers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
41.7%
NULL, Nick punt 42 yards to the NEV26, DOUBS, Romeo return to the WYO0, clock 13:24, PENALTY NEV offside (HENLEY, Daiyan) 5 yards to the WYO37, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
41.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
41.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 2 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+3
41.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
41.6%
Nickolas Null punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:0942% → 47%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
42.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
42.4%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
42.2%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
42.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 6 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
42.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
42.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
42.7%
Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
42.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 4 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
42.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 7 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
48.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 26 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
47.1%
NEVADA Penalty, illegal participation (Emany Johnson) to the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
46.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
46.9%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
47.3%
Nickolas Null punt for 43 yds, downed at the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.2%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
48.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
47.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 1 yd Devonte Lee fumbled, forced by Chad Muma, recovered by Wyom Charles HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2353% → 55%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
46.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 10 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
46.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
46.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Nevad 10Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
47.5%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xazavian Valladay, broken up by Sam HammondSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
45.2%
John Hoyland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
46.5%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 21Similar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+13
46.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 13 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
46.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
46.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+14
45.8%
Julian Diaz punt for 50 yds , Dontae Crow returns for 14 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:4454% → 55%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+45
46.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 45 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.2%
Trey Smith run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
44.4%
Levi Williams pass complete to Trey Smith for 6 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
44.7%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
45.4%
John Hoyland 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 53 yds · 0:0046% → 49%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
46.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 17 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
46.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 6 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
47.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 5 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin Lockhart, broken up by Victor JonesSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
46.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
48.1%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+14
47.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 14 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
48.4%
Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 29
-6
48.7%
Carson Strong sacked by Mason Gallegos for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 38 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by Wyom Jordan Bertagnole , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
46.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
46.0%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
46.7%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
47.9%
Nickolas Null punt for 44 yds, downed at the Nevad 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 84 yds · 4:5848% → 52%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
48.1%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
47.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
48.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 23 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
50.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+15
48.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
50.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
50.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+29
50.0%
Devonte Lee run for 29 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
51.0%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
54.6%
STRONG, Carson pass complete to LOCKHART, J. for 9 yards to the WYO0, clock 05:19, PENALTY NEV personal foul (ORSINI, Tyler) 15 yards to the WYO24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+23
53.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 22 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, face mask (1 yards) (1 Yards) to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.6%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.6%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.6%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5649% → 47%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
51.3%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
51.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+2
52.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
53.4%
Nickolas Null punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+50
68.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 50 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
63.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+11
63.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
61.4%
Levi Williams sacked by Kameron Toomer for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:2666% → 81%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
66.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+36
66.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
50
-4
68.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 46Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+16
67.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
68.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 4 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+13
69.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 13 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
69.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for no gain to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
69.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 3 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
80.9%
Avery Morrow run for 18 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
78.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+9
79.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
78.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
79.4%
Nickolas Null punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 5:0583% → 96%
Q3 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+7
83.0%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
83.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Azizi HearnSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
83.0%
Melquan Stovall run for 1 yd to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
82.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
83.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
83.9%
AJ King run for 7 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-5
84.0%
Carson Strong sacked by Jordan Bertagnole for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+19
83.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 19 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
84.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
96.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 10 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:575% → 20%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
95.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 34 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
94.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Logan Harris) to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
95.2%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+15
95.3%
NEVADA Penalty, player disqualification (Tyson Williams) to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
80.4%
Levi Williams run for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
89.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-5
89.2%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Jermaine Ledbetter) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
88.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Azizi HearnSimilar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3214% → 24%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.3%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
86.1%
Levi Williams sacked by Lawson Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+15
87.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 15 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+10
87.9%
Levi Williams run for 10 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
87.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 24 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
85.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
85.1%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Jackson Marcotte, broken up by Emany JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
76.2%
Levi Williams pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 22 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
81.8%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+2
80.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
79.7%
Julian Diaz punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wyom 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:5621% → 60%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
78.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 12 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
76.8%
Levi Williams run for 8 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
76.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
76.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 23 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
74.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
40.5%
Levi Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Levi Williams pass to Treyton Welch for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0054% → 50%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.5%
AJ King run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
53.0%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Tyler Orsini) to the Nevad 26Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-12
51.3%
Carson Strong sacked by Victor Jones for a loss of 12 yards to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
49.9%
Julian Diaz punt for 76 yds, downed at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
48.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 7Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+2
49.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
51.4%
Levi Williams pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for no gain to the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4463% → 79%
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
62.7%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
61.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+10
57.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for 10 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
79.2%
Brandon Talton 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
64.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
67.0%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
64.2%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
66.7%
Nickolas Null punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0985% → 85%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
85.0%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
85.7%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 28Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
86.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Devonte Lee, broken up by Keyon BlankenbakerSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
85.2%
Julian Diaz punt for 71 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 1:0720% → 54%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+14
80.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 14 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
79.1%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
79.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 15 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.5%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
78.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 7 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+12
76.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Nate Weinman for 12 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
73.2%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 11 yds to the NEVADA 40 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (AJ King) to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
66.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
67.4%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
70.8%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
46.1%
John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
55.5%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
40.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
41.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for no gain to the Nevad 27Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+6
44.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 6 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
27.6%
John Hoyland 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+72.4
TD · Q4 8:30
Levi Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Levi Williams pass to Treyton Welch for Two-Point Conversion)
-33.9
FG · Q4 0:23
John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOOD
-30.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com