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USU

Utah State 13 at Boise State 42

BOIS
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+22.9Home team on offense+24.7Score differential+20.7Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin+10.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:58: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:23: Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 17 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:57: Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Nels Haltom PAT MISSED) — USU win probability +5.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:29: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49USU 4th & 19 at USU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28USU 4th & 1 at USU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 4 at USU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:58USU 4th & 11 at USU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:15BOIS 4th & 25 at BOIS 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:18USU 4th & 5 at USU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:32USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00USU 4th & 18 at USU 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:19BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 29, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:41USU 4th & 4 at BOIS 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BOIS 4th & 9 at USU 41, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:43USU 4th & 5 at USU 35, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:50USU 4th & 15 at USU 37, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:44BOIS 4th & 2 at USU 14, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:32USU 4th & 3 at USU 32, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:28BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:58BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:23BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:25BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:05USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:57USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:29BOIS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:37BOIS Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
89.6%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
89.6%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+4
89.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 4 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
89.6%
Joel Velazquez punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
88.9%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 49 Jason Shelley fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jaylen WarrenSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
89.0%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-6
89.0%
Jason Shelley sacked by Riley Whimpey for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
89.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:5689% → 89%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
88.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+14
88.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 14 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
88.8%
George Holani run for 10 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
88.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 12 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
88.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 16 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
88.9%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
88.9%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
88.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 7 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.6%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
88.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
88.6%
Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
88.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
88.4%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+7
88.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
88.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:4488% → 88%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.2%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
88.1%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Kevin Meitzenheimer and Cash Gilliam for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+11
88.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 11 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
87.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 12 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
88.1%
Jack Sears pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 3 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
88.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John BatesSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
87.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
87.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3813% → 12%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
87.3%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
87.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
87.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan, broken up by Markel ReedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
87.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
90.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
89.4%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
89.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Tyreque JonesSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
89.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Demytrick Ali'ifua) to the UthSt 15Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
89.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 9 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
89.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
90.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
90.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Garrett Curran) to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-3
90.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Elijah Shelton for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 18
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-7
89.9%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by AJ Vongphachanh for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
89.5%
George Holani punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
89.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
88.8%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+2
89.1%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
89.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4589% → 96%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
89.4%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+13
89.8%
Khalil Shakir run for 13 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
90.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 7 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
89.9%
Ct Thomas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
90.0%
Jack Sears run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+13
90.0%
George Holani run for 13 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
90.0%
Stefan Cobbs run for 9 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-1
90.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 6Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
96.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:515% → 5%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.0%
Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
94.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 28 Devonta'e Henry-Cole fumbled, forced by Avery Williams, recovered by UthSt Jordan NathanSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
95.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 6 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.0%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 34 yds , Avery Williams returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 1:5996% → 99%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.3%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+14
96.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ct Thomas for 14 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Ct ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Ct ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+13
96.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 7 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+11
96.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 11 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.4%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 17 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
98.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
98.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 10 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Bryce Mortenson for 1 yd to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
98.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+8
98.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
98.3%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+4
98.6%
Jason Shelley run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-7
98.4%
Jason Shelley sacked by Shane Irwin for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ct Thomas for 7 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Cam LampkinSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Joel Velazquez punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:421% → 2%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Jason Shelley run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-ColeSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.5%
Jason Shelley run for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-3
99.5%
Deven Thompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+13
99.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 13 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 3
50
+9
99.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+22
99.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 22 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
99.4%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+6
99.6%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd for a TD (Nels Haltom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.9%
Jack Sears pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Jack Sears pass incomplete to John BatesSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+10
98.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 10 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
98.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
98.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
99.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John BatesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for a loss of 38 yards, downed at the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:472% → 7%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
98.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
98.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
98.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Nels Haltom PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:2296% → 99%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
96.0%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+6
95.9%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
96.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 13 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+34
96.4%
George Holani run for 34 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
96.4%
Khalil Shakir run for 12 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
96.4%
Garrett Curran run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+18
99.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 19 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.0%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Derek Wright for 12 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+7
99.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 7 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.3%
Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-10
99.3%
SHELLEY, Jason pass complete to MCGRIFF, Justin for 8 yards to the USU49, out-of-bounds (Evan TYLER), PENALTY USU holding (SHAW, Karter) 10 yards to the USU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 21
OWN 31
+6
99.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Derek Wright for 6 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 15
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Jl SkinnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 15 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.7%
Jack Sears run for no gain to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+6
99.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+9
99.7%
Khalil Shakir run for 9 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff, broken up by Bruno DeRoseSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Bryce MortensonSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
100.0%
Jason Shelley sacked by Divine Obichere for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:23
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q4 11:57
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Nels Haltom PAT MISSED)
-5
TD · Q4 8:29
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com