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WCU

Western Carolina 9 at North Carolina 49

UNC
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:08 · Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Daquan Patten at the WCaro 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+36.3Home team on offense+28.4Score differential+25.2Blowout margin+12.5Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:05: Michael Carter run for 17 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — WCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:22: Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 22 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:52: Michael Carter run for 22 yds for a TD WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:39: Javonte Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:36: Michael Carter run for 5 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:27WCU 4th & 7 at UNC 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16WCU 4th & 8 at WCU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:26WCU 4th & 13 at UNC 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:39UNC 4th & 3 at WCU 3, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:06WCU 4th & 9 at WCU 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:51WCU 4th & 4 at UNC 9, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:08UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 18, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:22WCU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WCU 4th & 10 at WCU 44, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:51UNC 4th & 7 at WCU 45, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:05UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:22UNC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:52UNC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:39UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:36UNC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:49UNC Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:18UNC Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Mikai Stanley run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Donnavan Spencer run for 6 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the WCaro 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
99.7%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the WCaro 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Will Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+10
99.7%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 29 , Dazz Newsome returns for 10 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.6%
Michael Carter run for 11 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 6 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+10
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 10 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
99.6%
Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 39 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 46Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+4
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 16
50
+17
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 17 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.6%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+13
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 13 yds to the WCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.6%
Michael Carter run for 17 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:380% → 1%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Mikai Stanley run for 11 yds to the WCaro 40 Mikai Stanley fumbled, forced by Kevin Hester Jr., for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.6%
Donnavan Spencer run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.6%
Donnavan Spencer run for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.6%
Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 41Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+10
99.6%
Will Jones pass complete to Reggie Jones for 10 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+5
99.6%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Donnavan SpencerSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.6%
Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 3 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
99.6%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Jakobe QuillenSimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
99.3%
Paxton Robertson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami BrownSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.3%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+30
99.3%
Sam Howell run for 30 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.4%
Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 22 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 33Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Will Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Donnavan SpencerSimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+22
99.4%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 22 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.3%
Howell, S sideline pass complete to Walston, G for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Ronald Kent Jr.), PENALTY WCU offside defense (C. Geffrard) 5 yards to the WCU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+11
99.3%
Sam Howell run for 11 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.3%
Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 16 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.5%
Michael Carter run for 22 yds for a TD WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Syheam McQueen run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Mikai Stanley run for 1 yd to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Syheam McQueen run for 1 yd to the WCaro 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.4%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 16 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 7 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 5 yds to the WCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
99.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 17 yds Rontavius Groves fumbled, forced by A.J. Rogers, recovered by WCaro Curtis RoachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+40
99.4%
Reggie Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 40 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.3%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 36Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+2
99.3%
Kason Lincke run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-2
99.3%
Mikai Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 36 Mikai Stanley fumbled, recovered by WCaro Mikai StanleySimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+2
99.4%
Kason Lincke run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 3:4599% → 100%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.3%
Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 20Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+4
99.3%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.3%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+17
99.3%
Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 17 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+32
99.4%
Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 32 yds to the WCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.3%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 15 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.3%
Javonte Williams run for no gain to the WCaro 9Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.3%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.2%
Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 6 yds to the WCaro 3Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Javonte Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Kason Lincke run for 3 yds to the WCaro 28Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.0%
Syheam McQueen run for 2 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.0%
Kason Lincke pass complete to Calvin Jones for 12 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.9%
Kason Lincke run for 5 yds to the WCaro 47Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
98.7%
Syheam McQueen run for 1 yd to the WCaro 47 Syheam McQueen fumbled, forced by Cam'Ron Kelly, recovered by NCaro Kevin Hester Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.6%
Dazz Newsome run for 15 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Sam Howell pass incomplete, broken up by Nigel MannsSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 17 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds to the WCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Michael Carter run for 5 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 20Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Kason Lincke pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 8 yds to the WCaro 28Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.9%
Kason Lincke sacked by Raymond Vohasek for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 26Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+24
99.9%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 35 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+24
99.8%
Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 24 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 26 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Mikai Stanley run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Caleb Ferguson run for 4 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for 11 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 8 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-39
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass intercepted Ronald Kent return for 24 yds to the NCaro 24 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Darrius Smith) to the NCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Donnavan Spencer run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Donnavan Spencer run for 3 yds to the NCaro 43Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 8 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
99.8%
Donnavan Spencer run for 20 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Donnavan Spencer run for no gain to the NCaro 15Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the NCaro 13Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Donnavan Spencer run for 4 yds to the NCaro 9Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 4
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Cade Snotherly pass incomplete to Clayton BardallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.9%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 14Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 16Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Daquan Patten at the WCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 41Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Daquan Patten for 6 yards to the WCU47 (Grimes, T;Collins, C), PENALTY WCU ineligible downfield on pass (Owen Cosenke) 5 yards to the WCU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 17
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 3
50
0
99.9%
Will Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 47Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 5 yds to the WCaro 42Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 3 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.9%
Criswell, J deep pass incomplete to Green, A, PENALTY WCU pass interference (Aaron Gethers) 15 yards to the WCU24, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for no gain to the WCaro 24Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 11 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for 12 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 6Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 3Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the WCaro 2 Jacolby Criswell fumbled, forced by Ty Harris, recovered by NCaro D.J. JonesSimilar
Q3 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for 1 yd to the WCaro 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+13
100.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 13 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for 6 yds to the WCaro 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for 2 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 4 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for no gain to the WCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Jakobe Quillen for 3 yds to the WCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 48 yds, downed at the NCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22FUMBLE TD
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:06100% → 100%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 12 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Austyn Chestnut for 3 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Jace Ruder run for 4 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 15 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
100.0%
Jace Ruder sacked by Trevor Childers for a loss of 9 yards Jace Ruder fumbled, recovered by WCaro Nigel Manns , return for 0 yards , return for 42 yds (Richard McCollum PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Jefferson Boaz pass complete to Kendall Karr for 3 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
British Brooks run for 5 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
100.0%
British Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the WCaro 49Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the WCaro 45Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds, downed at the WCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+16
100.0%
Mikai Stanley run for 16 yds to the WCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
Kason Lincke run for 3 yds to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Kason Lincke pass complete to Caleb Ferguson for 1 yd to the WCaro 21Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Kason Lincke run for 9 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
100.0%
Kason Lincke run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:39
Javonte Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 0:52
Michael Carter run for 22 yds for a TD WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 1:36
Michael Carter run for 5 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com