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ACU

Abilene Christian 15 at Virginia 55

UVA
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadACU aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreACU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Peyton Mansell pass intercepted for a TD D'Sean Perry return for 84 yds for a TD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 90 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:53: Shane Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:30: Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 2 yds for a TD (Oscar Hernandez KICK) — ACU win probability +1.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ACU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Shane Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:18: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 56 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ACU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UVA 4th & 5 at ACU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01ACU 4th & 3 at UVA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:20UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:23ACU 4th & 12 at ACU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:40ACU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ACU 4th & 16 at ACU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:28UVA 4th & 1 at ACU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ACU 4th & 18 at ACU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:18ACU 4th & 2 at UVA 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06ACU 4th & 1 at UVA 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:29UVA 4th & 10 at UVA 34, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:25ACU 4th & 23 at ACU 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:57ACU 4th & 2 at UVA 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ACU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:40UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:53UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30ACU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:18UVA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:06UVA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:57UVA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:26ACU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Shane Simpson for 8 yds to the AblCh 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
98.4%
Shane Simpson run for 6 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 5 yds to the AblCh 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Keytaon Thompson run for no gain to the AblCh 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:002% → 2%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.2%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the AblCh 38Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
98.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+13
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 13 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 10 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 9 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
98.2%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.2%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
98.2%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Darius LewisSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+5
97.9%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 5 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 3
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
97.8%
Shane Simpson run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Nash Griffin punt for 35 yds, downed at the AblCh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
97.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Remington Lutz for 10 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe ClarkSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
97.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 46Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+14
97.7%
Logan Burke punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 14 yds to the Virg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
97.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 33 yds to the AblCh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
97.6%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jack Gibbens for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+24
97.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 24 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.6%
Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the AblCh 28Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
97.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 28 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Jermiah DobbinsSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the AblCh 29Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
97.5%
Stone Earle pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 14 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.4%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the AblCh 47Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
97.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Robert McKnight for 8 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.4%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe ClarkSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
97.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Remington Lutz for 6 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-6
97.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-5
97.5%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 15
50
0
97.5%
Logan Burke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 90 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.6%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Kobe Clark) to the AblCh 20Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-9
97.6%
Stone Earle sacked by Matt Gahm for a loss of 9 yards to the AblCh 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
97.6%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark, broken up by Elliott BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+8
97.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 8 yds to the AblCh 19 ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
97.6%
Logan Burke punt for 44 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
16 plays · 61 yds · 5:5198% → 99%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+14
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the AblCh 42Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
97.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the AblCh 41Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 11 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
97.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr., PENALTY ACU offside (Titre, Quent) 5 yards to the ACU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
97.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the AblCh 21Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
97.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the AblCh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 10 yds to the AblCh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
97.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the AblCh 3Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the AblCh 1Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Shane Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 10TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:232% → 3%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 6 yds to the AblCh 31Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.4%
Earle, Stone pass incomplete to Hohenstein, Branden, PENALTY ACU ineligible downfield on pass (Hendrix, Kage) 5 yards to the ACU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.4%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the AblCh 28Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
98.4%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 23Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
98.5%
Earle, Stone pass intercepted by D'Angelo Amos at the ACU35, D'Angelo Amos return to the ACU0, clock 06:19, PENALTY VA pass interference (D'Angelo Amos) 15 yards to the ACU38, 1ST DOWN ACU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.3%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the AblCh 40Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
98.3%
Stone Earle run for 7 yds to the AblCh 47Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
98.3%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the AblCh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.3%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+6
98.3%
Stone Earle run for 6 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 6 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+12
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 12 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
98.2%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+16
98.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 16 yds to the Virg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.2%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the Virg 4Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.2%
Tyrese White run for 2 yds to the Virg 2Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 2 yds for a TD (Oscar Hernandez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 0:3097% → 99%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 9 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+21
97.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 21 yds to the AblCh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
97.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 19 yds to the AblCh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
97.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Shane Simpson for 14 yds to the AblCh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Tony Poljan, PENALTY ACU pass interference (Bullock, Brian) 0 yards to the ACU1, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Shane Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Robert McKnight run for 4 yds to the AblCh 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
98.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 11 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
98.3%
Stone Earle sacked by Zane Zandier and Noah Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the AblCh 30 ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Stone Earle) to the AblCh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+2
98.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 2 yds to the AblCh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Branden HohensteinSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 32
-5
98.5%
Logan Burke punt for 46 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:4099% → 100%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
98.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 10 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Tony PoljanSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.7%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 25Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+19
98.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 19 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 56 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Darius Lewis, broken up by Matt GahmSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 20 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.7%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the AblCh 49Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Robert McKnight run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Rece StaffordSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-1
99.7%
Robert McKnight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 52 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Robert McKnight run for no gain to the AblCh 16Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+16
99.8%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Remington Lutz for 16 yds to the AblCh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.8%
Peyton Mansell run for 13 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.8%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jordan Brooks-Wess for 12 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Tyrese White run for 4 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-10
99.8%
Peyton Mansell sacked by Rob Snyder for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 49Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+15
99.8%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Darius Lewis for 15 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Peyton Mansell run for no gain to the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Lindell Stone run for no gain to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Lindell Stone pass complete to Perris Jones for 5 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Nash Griffin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Davion Johnson, broken up by Josh AhernSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 28Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-14
99.9%
Mansell, Peyton rush for 39 yards to the VA33 (Elijah Gaines), PENALTY ACU illegal block (White, Tyrese) 14 yards to the ACU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 23
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Tyrese WhiteSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 23
OWN 14
+54
99.9%
Logan Burke punt for 44 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 13 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Ra'Shaun Henry) to the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19TD
22 plays · 69 yds · 10:57100% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the Virg 39Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson run for 6 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the AblCh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Lindell Stone run for 5 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the AblCh 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Lindell Stone pass complete to Demick Starling for 9 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the AblCh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
Lindell Stone pass complete to Hayden Mitchell for 9 yds to the AblCh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 23Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the AblCh 18Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+14
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 14 yds to the AblCh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the AblCh 3Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Hayden Mitchell) to the AblCh 8Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 10Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
Lindell Stone pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson (Stokes, Kam), PENALTY ACU pass interference (Stokes, Kam) 8 yards to the ACU2, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the AblCh 2Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the AblCh 2Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Lindell Stone pass complete to Demick Starling for 2 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 25 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 4 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Kobe Clark, broken up by Darren KleinSimilar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Robert McKnight run for 4 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+12
100.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 12 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
100.0%
Peyton Mansell sacked by Elijah Gaines for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Davion Johnson for 5 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+11
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 11 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
100.0%
Mansell, Peyton pass incomplete to Clark, Kobe, PENALTY VA pass interference (Darren Klein) 13 yards to the VA4, 1ST DOWN ACU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
100.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 2 yds to the Virg 2Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 2 yds for a TD ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Virg 18 Hernandez, Oscar kick attempt failed (blocked), PENALTY VA offside (Elijah Gaines) 5 yards to the VA13, NO PLAY. (Brock Thompson PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+5
100.0%
Thompson, Brock kick attempt failed (blocked), PENALTY VA offside (Elijah Gaines) 5 yards to the VA13, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21SF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
100.0%
Lindell Stone pass complete to Perris Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 3Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 12
OWN 3
-3
100.0%
Keytaon Thompson pass complete for a SAFETY to Lindell Stone for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY VIRGINIA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 22INT TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:340% → 0%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 32 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 4 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+8
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 8 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-84
100.0%
Peyton Mansell pass intercepted for a TD D'Sean Perry return for 84 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:30
Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 2 yds for a TD (Oscar Hernandez KICK)
-1.6
TD · Q2 0:00
Shane Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q3 11:18
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 56 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com