Try the model
NU

Northwestern 10 at Ohio State 22

OSU
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 19, 2020 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:12 · Zach Hoover punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+31.1Home team on offense−1.5Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:23: Blake Haubeil 43 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:41: Trey Sermon 9 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +17.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:07: Blake Haubeil 26 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:42: Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26 — OSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Trey Sermon 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — OSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 3:12OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:46OSU 4th & 8 at NU 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:46NU 4th & 15 at OSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:23OSU 4th & 11 at NU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:26NU 4th & 4 at NU 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:03NU 4th & 19 at NU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−4.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:27OSU 4th & 7 at NU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−9.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:04NU 4th & 13 at OSU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−10.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:01OSU 4th & 8 at NU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%−1.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:07OSU 4th & 7 at NU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−13.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:49NU 4th & 10 at OSU 46, down 6
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:16NU 4th & 3 at NU 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:24NU 4th & 4 at NU 38, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:02NU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:41OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:03OSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1FG
19 plays · 51 yds · 8:2287% → 85%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
86.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
86.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
86.5%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+11
86.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+7
86.1%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
86.0%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
85.9%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
85.7%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+5
85.6%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-10
85.5%
Fields, Justin rush for 7 yards to the NORTHWSTRN0, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Miller, Harry) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 0
OPP 17
+3
85.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 3 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
85.1%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
84.8%
Justin Fields sacked by Chris Bergin and Cameron Mitchell for a loss of 15 yards to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 0
OPP 24
+41
84.8%
Blake Haubeil 41 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2515% → 19%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
84.8%
Cam Porter run for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
84.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
84.2%
Kyric McGowan run for 7 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
84.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
83.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+34
83.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 34 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
81.1%
Cam Porter 9 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4582% → 81%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
81.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Earnest Brown IV for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
81.1%
Zach Hoover punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4919% → 20%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
81.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 16 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-16
80.8%
Riley Lees sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 16 yards to the OHIOST 39 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Riley Lees) to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
80.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Evan Hull for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+8
80.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 8 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
79.9%
Derek Adams punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:2281% → 80%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
80.5%
Master Teague III run for 27 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
81.3%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 42 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by OhSt Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+9
80.1%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
80.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
79.7%
Zach Hoover punt for 43 yds, downed at the Nwest 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:5420% → 28%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
79.8%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+3
79.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
79.5%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
78.9%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+22
78.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 22 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
76.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+12
76.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
75.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+9
74.7%
Kyric McGowan run for 9 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
74.1%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
74.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-5
74.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+47
72.4%
Charlie Kuhbander 47 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1772% → 73%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.8%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
71.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jameson Williams OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Touching (Jameson Williams) to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
70.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 21 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
72.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Julian Fleming for 23 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
72.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Jake Saunders for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+8
70.7%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
69.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson, broken up by A.J. HamptonSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
72.8%
Blake Haubeil 43 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5228% → 32%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
72.1%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
72.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cam Porter for 1 yd to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+18
72.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 18 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.2%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
67.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
67.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
68.3%
Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9INT
9 plays · 76 yds · 1:5170% → 73%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+21
69.9%
Trey Sermon run for 21 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+24
70.1%
Justin Fields run for 24 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
72.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
72.3%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Wilson, Garrett, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference (Hampton, A.J.) 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
73.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Julian Fleming, broken up by Cameron MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
73.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 11 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
73.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
73.2%
Justin Fields pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Joseph return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
67.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:4232% → 38%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+31
68.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 31 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
64.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 12 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
63.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 4 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
62.4%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+16
63.1%
Cam Porter run for 16 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
61.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 12Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+3
61.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
61.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Hilliard return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:3266% → 68%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
65.5%
Trey Sermon run for 13 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
65.9%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.8%
Justin Fields pass intercepted Cameron Mitchell return for no gain to the Nwest 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2839% → 35%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
61.3%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
61.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-8
62.7%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Tuf Borland and Taron Vincent for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 40Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 19
OWN 40
0
64.7%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds, downed at the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:2463% → 63%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+65
63.1%
Trey Sermon run for 65 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
69.0%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
67.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-5
65.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
65.3%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Trey Sermon, broken up by Adetomiwa AdebaworeSimilar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
62.9%
Blake Haubeil 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:1841% → 41%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Sevyn BanksSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
59.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 20 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
56.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Smith, Tyreke) 15 yards to the OHIOST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
55.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Jonathon Cooper) to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
53.6%
Riley Lees run for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+6
54.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 6 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
55.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
58.9%
Charlie Kuhbander 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:1558% → 79%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
58.1%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
57.9%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+6
58.8%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
58.1%
Trey Sermon run for 33 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
61.2%
Justin Fields run for 5 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+10
60.8%
Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
78.6%
Trey Sermon 9 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2326% → 27%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
73.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Josh Proctor return for no gain to the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0578% → 74%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
77.6%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+4
76.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
76.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
74.2%
Zach Hoover punt for 34 yds, downed at the Nwest 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:2826% → 27%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
74.5%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+12
73.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.3%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
73.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Nwest 40 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, forced by Pete Werner, recovered by OhSt Justin HilliardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:1280% → 84%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+28
79.7%
Trey Sermon run for 28 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
80.4%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 13Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+7
80.3%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-3
79.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 9Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
84.2%
Blake Haubeil 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1222% → 20%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 6 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
76.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
78.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 8 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
76.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 15 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
73.6%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
75.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-4
75.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Haskell Garrett for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
79.6%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3986% → 96%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.3%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+25
86.5%
Trey Sermon run for 25 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
88.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 12 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
89.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+8
89.7%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
90.2%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+12
90.5%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
91.0%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.4%
Trey Sermon 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
95.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Sevyn BanksSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+6
95.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 6 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
95.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
95.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John Raine, broken up by Lathan RansomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24Uncategorized
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:3497% → 98%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
96.9%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+23
97.5%
Trey Sermon run for 23 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
97.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.5%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:41
Trey Sermon 9 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+17.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:42
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26
+6.7
TD · Q4 4:03
Trey Sermon 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com