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MINN

Minnesota 24 at Nebraska 17

NEB
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:55 · Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+12.7Home team on offense−4.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:57: Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +6.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:23: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK) — MINN win probability +14.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:26: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK) — MINN win probability +20.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:42: Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +12.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:42: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +8.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:14MINN 4th & 10 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    25.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.2%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:14MINN 4th & 4 at NEB 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 27, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:22NEB 4th & 4 at MINN 14, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−10.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:22MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:35NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:24MINN 4th & 3 at NEB 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−3.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−6.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−24.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:20NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:10MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:42NEB 4th & 8 at MINN 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:26MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:12NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:57NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:23MINN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:26MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
75.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 16 Wan'Dale Robinson fumbled, recovered by Neb Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
75.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+4
75.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-2
75.0%
Tyler Crawford punt for 41 yds , Phillip Howard returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
74.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+16
74.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
74.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
74.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
74.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
74.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
74.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 11
0
74.2%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+9
74.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
74.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted Tyler Nubin return for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 2:1327% → 30%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
73.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
73.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
73.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+26
70.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 26 yds for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:0471% → 70%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
70.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 6 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
70.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
70.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
70.4%
Tyler Crawford punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:3731% → 35%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
68.6%
Cam Wiley run for 8 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+12
68.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 12 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.4%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
68.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+10
68.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for 10 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
68.4%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
68.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-2
68.6%
Seth Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
65.1%
Anders Gelecinskyj 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0265% → 72%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+47
65.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 47 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
66.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+2
66.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
65.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
71.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 1:3231% → 31%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
68.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.5%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
68.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for 4 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+26
68.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 26 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
67.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
67.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Deontai WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+1
67.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 8
OPP 27
0
68.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Casey RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:0067% → 77%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
67.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
68.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
67.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
68.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
68.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
69.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 8 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
70.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
69.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
70.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+16
70.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
70.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:3425% → 43%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+61
75.1%
Cam Wiley run for 61 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
71.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-5
71.4%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 14
OPP 18
0
72.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Deontai WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+11
74.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Cam Taylor-Britt) to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:3962% → 58%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
62.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
62.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
63.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+4
58.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 4 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
58.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
57.6%
Tyler Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
59.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
59.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
59.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Seth Green, broken up by Marquel DismukeSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
61.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 9 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
59.6%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+9
59.0%
Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
58.3%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 37Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+10
60.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
59.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:1958% → 59%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
58.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 8 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+11
58.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
58.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+24
58.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 24 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
62.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 22 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
63.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
63.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Minn 14Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
62.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin, broken up by Rashad Cheney Jr.Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
58.5%
Connor Culp 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.4%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the Minn 20Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+19
54.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
52.1%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+10
54.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 10 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
52.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Casey RogersSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
54.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
54.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
54.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
52.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
51.5%
Tyler Crawford punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
50.0%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+20
49.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 20 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
47.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
46.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
47.5%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
50.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Pheldarius PayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
52.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
50.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 40 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Boye Mafe, recovered by Minn Thomas RushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:5555% → 76%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
45.2%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+14
45.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
43.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
43.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 14 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
43.0%
Treyson Potts run for 11 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
43.1%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.0%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.8%
Seth Green run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
23.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
24.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin, broken up by Coney DurrSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
23.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-6
21.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Boye Mafe for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
20.4%
Tyler Crawford punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 8 , Phillip Howard returns for no gain to the Minn 8 Phillip Howard fumbled, recovered by Minn Phillip HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
18.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-1
18.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 12Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
19.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Treyson PottsSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
19.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:5119% → 26%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
18.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
19.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
21.2%
Martinez, A. pass complete to Mills, Dedrick for 8 yards to the MINN27, PENALTY MINN holding (Durr, Coney) 10 yards to the MINN25, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
21.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
21.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+6
19.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+5
18.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (Benjamin St-Juste) to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
21.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Minn 12 Dedrick Mills fumbled, forced by Mariano Sori-Marin, recovered by NebSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-10
16.2%
Martinez, A. rush up middle for 12 yards to the MINN0, clock 05:15, PENALTY NEB holding (Piper, Ethan) 10 yards to the MINN22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 18
OPP 22
+10
13.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
26.0%
Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 70 yds · 3:3185% → 96%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
15.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
15.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
13.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
13.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 31 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
12.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
4.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+12
4.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
4.5%
TEAM run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:26
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK)
-20.8
TD · Q2 1:23
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Gelecinskyj KICK)
-14.1
FG · Q4 4:42
Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOOD
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com