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ILL

Illinois 10 at Northwestern 28

NU
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+4.8NU 98.9%Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD(Charlie Kuhbander KICK)AWAY 3 - HOME 28 · Q3 4:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:02 · Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+11.8Home team on offense+32.0Garbage-time factor+10.1Score differential+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Blowout margin+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:24: Cam Porter run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +7.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:53: Cam Porter run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +7.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:53: Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 36 — ILL win probability +2.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:47: Isaiah Williams pass complete to Brian Hightower for 46 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +2.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40ILL 4th & 4 at NU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40NU 4th & 11 at NU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49ILL 4th & 18 at NU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 40, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36ILL 4th & 5 at NU 35, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:51NU 4th & 10 at ILL 26, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:13ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 20, down 4
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:26NU 4th & 1 at NU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:26NU 4th & 8 at ILL 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:11NU 4th & 1 at ILL 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−0.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:53ILL 4th & 9 at ILL 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:02NU 4th & 4 at ILL 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:56ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 13 at NU 48, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:45NU 4th & 4 at ILL 19, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:00ILL 4th & 9 at NU 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ILL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:56NU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:24NU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:53NU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:02NU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:47ILL Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
83.6%
Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
83.6%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+2
83.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington, broken up by Paddy FisherSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 52 yds, downed at the Nwest 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
83.0%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 21 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Jartavius Martin, recovered by Illin Devon Witherspoon ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Nwest 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5417% → 18%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
82.7%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+8
82.7%
Mike Epstein run for 8 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-1
82.7%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
82.2%
James McCourt 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
82.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 12 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
82.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
82.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
82.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
82.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Michael MarcheseSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 6
OPP 49
-5
82.4%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman) to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
82.3%
Derek Adams punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 7:2918% → 21%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
81.9%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
81.8%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
81.8%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
81.6%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
81.6%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 5
50
+15
81.6%
Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
81.5%
Brandon Peters run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
81.4%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
81.6%
Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
81.4%
Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
81.4%
Team run for no gain to the Nwest 20 Team fumbled, recovered by IllinSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 17
OPP 20
-1
79.1%
Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 18
OPP 21
0
79.6%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+39
78.8%
James McCourt 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5379% → 82%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.5%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
78.6%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+31
78.8%
Cam Porter run for 31 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
80.0%
Kyric McGowan run for 22 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
80.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Marquez Beason) to the Illin 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:1619% → 20%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
80.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
80.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.1%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
80.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
80.7%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny NavarroSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+20
81.2%
Blake Hayes run for 20 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
79.8%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
79.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+53
79.8%
James McCourt 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:4580% → 80%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
79.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
80.8%
Evan Hull run for 23 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
81.3%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
80.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-5
80.8%
Ramsey,Peyton pass complete to Mcgowan,Kyric for 29 yards to the ILL0, clock 09:51, PENALTY NU ineligible downfield on pass (Urban,Nik) 5 yards to the ILL34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+8
80.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
80.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Cam PorterSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 26
0
79.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Jake HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
79.5%
ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Derrick Smith) to the Illin 13Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
79.6%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 14Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
79.7%
Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
80.0%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Illin 20 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+17
80.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 36 , Riley Lees returns for 17 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10TD
19 plays · 64 yds · 7:0280% → 88%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
79.9%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
80.4%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
80.2%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
79.7%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
80.6%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
80.8%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
80.7%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
80.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-1
80.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
80.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+17
79.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 17 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
81.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
81.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
80.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+3
79.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Illin 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
80.9%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the Illin 7Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
80.9%
Ramsey,Peyton pass incomplete to Raine,John, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Martin,J.) 5 yards to the ILL2, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.4%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:1613% → 13%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
87.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0786% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.9%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
85.9%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
85.4%
Cam Porter run for 18 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.7%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
86.8%
Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
86.8%
Kyric McGowan run for 12 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
86.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Illin 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+4
86.8%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
93.6%
Cam Porter run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.7%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
90.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
91.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 6:0494% → 99%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
93.6%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
93.7%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+5
93.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
93.8%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+33
93.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 33 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
94.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Jordan Butler) to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+7
94.1%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
94.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+1
94.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+32
98.9%
Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny NavarroSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.9%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 26
-2
96.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 62 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:4699% → 99%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
98.8%
Evan Hull run for 11 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
98.8%
Evan Hull run for 20 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.1%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
99.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
50
-10
99.3%
Bowser,Isaiah rush for 1 yard to the ILL49 (Newton,JerZhan), PENALTY NU holding (Wiederkehr,E) 10 yards to the NU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+10
99.1%
Andrew Marty run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+1
99.2%
Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.3%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
99.3%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-3
99.2%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 47 Team fumbled, recovered by Nwest Andrew MartySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
-5
99.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Derek Adams punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 1:381% → 4%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Isaiah Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.0%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 6 yds to the Illin 20Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+20
99.0%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 20 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
98.9%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Brian Hightower for 14 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
96.3%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Brian Hightower for 46 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 56 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
97.4%
Evan Hull run for 50 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
97.7%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
97.7%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-10
97.7%
Hull,Evan rush for 5 yards to the ILL14 (Barnes,Bryce), PENALTY NU holding (Gordon,Thomas) 10 yards to the ILL29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+10
97.6%
Andrew Marty run for 10 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
97.5%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Illin 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
97.8%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+11
97.8%
Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
97.6%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+2
97.7%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+17
97.7%
Isaiah Williams run for 17 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
97.6%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 49Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
97.6%
Isaiah Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+3
97.6%
Conner Lillig run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+5
97.6%
Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.0%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
Cam Porter run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q3 10:53
Cam Porter run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q3 4:02
Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com