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RUTG

Rutgers 27 at Maryland 24

MD
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:25 · Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rutgr 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore differential
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 150Home team on offense+5.9Pregame prior+1.4Garbage-time factor+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Time remaining−0.3Score differential+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:21: Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 20 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +24.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:38: Eric Najarian pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +26.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:59: Bo Melton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +32.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:57: Eric Najarian pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 52 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +32.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Valentino Ambrosio 39 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +37.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 9RUTG made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 14:08RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50MD 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:59MD 4th & 6 at MD 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:12RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:02RUTG 4th & 10 at MD 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:36RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:40MD 4th & 6 at MD 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:34RUTG 4th & 7 at MD 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:44MD 4th & 4 at MD 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:43RUTG 4th & 5 at MD 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:01RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:44MD 4th & 13 at RUTG 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:26MD 4th & 14 at MD 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:58MD 4th & 12 at RUTG 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:07RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−5.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:57RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−4.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:25MD 4th & 7 at MD 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−2.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:14RUTG 4th & 7 at MD 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−4.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:56MD 4th & 5 at MD 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%−1.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:18RUTG 4th & 1 at MD 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−6.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−12.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:00RUTG 4th & 5 at MD 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−15.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−25.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q3 11:07RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:56MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:21RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:38MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:59RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:57MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3743% → 42%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
57.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
57.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Avery YoungSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-10
57.5%
Noah Vedral sacked by Durell Nchami for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 24 Noah Vedral fumbled, forced by Durell Nchami, recovered by RutgrSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
57.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds , Jeshaun Jones returns for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1058% → 58%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
57.6%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Jake Funk for 4 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
57.7%
Jake Funk run for 15 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
57.9%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Jake Funk for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Lance LeGendre pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+8
57.7%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 8 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
57.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3142% → 42%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
57.7%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
57.6%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
57.8%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
58.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, downed at the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4658% → 58%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
58.0%
Lance LeGendre run for 1 yd to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-2
58.0%
Lance LeGendre run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
57.4%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+49
57.5%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the MARYLAND 11 RUTGERS Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Piotr Partyla) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3342% → 42%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
57.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
57.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
57.9%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
58.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 59 yds, downed at the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:2658% → 58%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
57.7%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+17
57.7%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 17 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-11
58.6%
Lance LeGendre run for 4 yds to the Mary 43 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Rakim Jarrett) to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 21
OWN 28
+3
57.7%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
57.7%
Lance LeGendre pass intercepted Naijee Jones return for no gain to the Rutgr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5043% → 43%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
56.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 10 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
56.4%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-4
56.2%
Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
56.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 3:02
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
57.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:3558% → 57%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
57.6%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+7
57.8%
Jake Funk run for 7 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
58.0%
Lance LeGendre sacked by Aaron Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 8Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+1
57.8%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+4
57.2%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:1944% → 42%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
56.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
56.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 10
OWN 41
-5
57.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
58.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4558% → 57%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
58.3%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
58.5%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to DeaJaun McDougleSimilar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
57.8%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+10
57.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds , Avery Young returns for 10 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1043% → 43%
Q2 12:44
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+16
57.1%
Noah Vedral run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
55.7%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
55.8%
Noah Vedral sacked by Durell Nchami for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 30 Noah Vedral fumbled, recovered by RutgrSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
55.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
55.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for no gain to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
55.7%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
57.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2759% → 58%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
59.1%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
59.3%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
58.5%
Eric Najarian pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+49
57.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 49 yds , Avery Young returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:5443% → 45%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
56.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
56.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+15
57.2%
Noah Vedral run for 15 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
54.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+11
54.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
53.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+9
53.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
52.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
53.0%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
53.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
55.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3059% → 59%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
59.4%
Rakim Jarrett run for 5 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
59.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
58.9%
Lance LeGendre run for 3 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
59.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 11 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
61.3%
Lance LeGendre sacked by Olakunle Fatukasi for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+6
59.4%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
59.1%
Lance LeGendre pass intercepted Christian Izien return for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1945% → 43%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
55.5%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+4
55.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+1
56.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
56.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 1:1059% → 61%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
59.2%
Eric Najarian pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
59.1%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Jake Funk for 10 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+35
61.9%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 20 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Dwumfour) to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
62.4%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
62.4%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+20
61.5%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Jake Funk for 20 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
63.7%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
63.7%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-5
61.0%
Eric Najarian sacked by Mike Tverdov for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
60.6%
Joseph Petrino 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:1039% → 39%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
61.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
60.8%
Noah Vedral run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2562% → 61%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
61.8%
Jake Funk run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
50
0
65.6%
Jake Funk run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
50
+7
65.3%
Jake Funk run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-1
65.6%
Eric Najarian run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-10
63.7%
Najarian, Eric rush for 6 yards to the RUTGERS38, PENALTY MARYLAND holding (Branch, Johari) 10 yards to the MARYLAND46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 14
OWN 46
+8
61.1%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 46 yds , Avery Young returns for 8 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:0838% → 55%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
61.7%
Noah Vedral run for 25 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
59.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 13 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
58.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
44.7%
Bo Melton run for 44 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:4549% → 47%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
48.4%
Eric Najarian run for 11 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
49.1%
Eric Najarian run for 7 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
52.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+20
51.1%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Malik Jackson for 20 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
52.8%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Rakim Jarrett MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 25
OWN 49
+6
49.4%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+7
48.8%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
47.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:5153% → 53%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
47.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sam Okuayinonu) to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+2
47.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+2
45.9%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+7
46.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
44.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-5
45.0%
Noah Vedral sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+2
46.2%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
47.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5249% → 68%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
49.1%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+7
46.2%
Jake Funk run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+44
67.7%
Jake Funk run for 44 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:2138% → 67%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
62.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
60.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Fa'Najae Gotay) to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
59.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 7 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-10
59.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+9
62.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 9 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+9
60.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 9 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
58.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
33.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 20 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:1942% → 75%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
41.7%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+52
41.5%
Jake Funk run for 52 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
48.6%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
48.5%
Najarian, Eric pass complete to Jackson, Malik for 6 yards to the RUTGERS2, PENALTY MARYLAND personal foul (Jones, Jeshaun) 15 yards to the RUTGERS23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 0
OPP 23
+23
74.8%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3334% → 30%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
66.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-6
67.9%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
69.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 56 yds, downed at the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0070% → 67%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
69.6%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
69.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
67.8%
Eric Najarian pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
66.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:1036% → 73%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
64.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 7 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
61.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
62.5%
Avery, Tre rush for no gain to the RUTGERS48, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal participation 5 yards to the MARYLAND47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
61.3%
Sitkowski, Artur pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 15 yards to the MARYLAND32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
59.6%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 33Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-10
59.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 21
OPP 43
+14
64.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 14 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+14
61.5%
Artur Sitkowski run for 14 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
58.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 13
OPP 18
0
59.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+18
27.1%
Bo Melton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3638% → 72%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.2%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
39.0%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 20 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
42.7%
Eric Najarian sacked by Elorm Lumor for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 15
OPP 48
-4
39.1%
Eric Najarian sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 19
OWN 48
+52
71.9%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 52 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 30DOWNS
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:3035% → 33%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
65.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
65.0%
Artur Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41 Artur Sitkowski fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Brendan BordnerSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
66.3%
Sitkowski, Artur pass incomplete to Melton, Bo, PENALTY MARYLAND offside 5 yards to the RUTGERS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
63.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
61.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
61.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
61.0%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-5
64.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+3
66.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Shameen Jones for 3 yds to the Mary 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1583% → 86%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
83.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
85.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-1
85.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
86.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 32END OF GAME
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:3013% → 55%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for no gain to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+15
87.2%
Sitkowski, Artur pass incomplete to Young, Aaron, PENALTY MARYLAND personal foul 15 yards to the RUTGERS33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
86.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 14 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
81.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-4
82.2%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 44 Artur Sitkowski fumbled, recovered by RutgrSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+12
85.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+18
82.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 18 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
78.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+3
82.4%
Artur Sitkowski run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
45.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 33FG
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 73%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
41.1%
Sitkowski, Artur pass incomplete to Cruickshank, Aron, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 5 yards to the MARYLAND20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 1 yd to the Mary 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+10
40.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 10 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-12
40.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Mary 6 RUTGERS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaih Pacheco) to the Mary 21Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
0
40.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
-3
42.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
0
46.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 24
+42
27.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 34MISSED FG
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0041% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-12
41.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 22 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 37Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 22
OPP 37
+9
28.8%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 9 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
32.8%
Eric Najarian pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
-5
28.1%
Eric Najarian sacked by Mike Tverdov for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 33
+50
22.9%
Joseph Petrino 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Valentino Ambrosio 39 yd FG GOOD
-37.1
TD · Q4 5:57
Eric Najarian pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 52 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+32.8
TD · Q4 7:59
Bo Melton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-32.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com