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IU

Indiana 14 at Wisconsin 6

WIS
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:12 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:03: Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +5.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:03: Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +13.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:00: Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 — WIS win probability +4.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:25: Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down — IU win probability +4.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:46: Graham Mertz pass incomplete — WIS win probability +4.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:09WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21IU 4th & 10 at IU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:35WIS 4th & 3 at IU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:09IU 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:03WIS 4th & 6 at IU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−6.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:20IU 4th & 10 at WIS 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:21WIS 4th & 4 at IU 10, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−10.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:36IU 4th & 9 at IU 44, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:50WIS 4th & 7 at IU 46, down 8
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−2.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:48IU 4th & 10 at IU 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:46WIS 4th & 10 at IU 21, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:03IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:03IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4683% → 83%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.4%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
83.3%
Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
83.2%
Mason Stokke run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
83.2%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
83.0%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+5
82.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 47 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 5 yds to the Ind 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3918% → 18%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
82.5%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
82.5%
Jack Tuttle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
82.5%
Jack Tuttle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
82.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4583% → 82%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
82.6%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
82.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
82.5%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
82.3%
Conor Schlichting punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacolby Hewitt at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:2118% → 20%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
82.1%
David Ellis run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+15
82.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 15 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
81.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-1
81.7%
David Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+15
81.7%
Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 15 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
81.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
80.9%
Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
80.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 3
50
0
80.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 5:0981% → 80%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
80.6%
Graham Mertz sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+5
80.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 5 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+13
80.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 13 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
80.1%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
80.0%
Jalen Berger run for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
80.3%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-5
80.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
80.1%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
79.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 15 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
80.1%
Graham Mertz sacked by Tiawan Mullen for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 47 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by IndSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:4223% → 30%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
77.5%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
77.6%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
77.0%
Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
76.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
76.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
76.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
75.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
76.1%
Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
75.4%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
75.4%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 16 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
75.1%
Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.7%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 6:5272% → 71%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
71.5%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+10
71.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
70.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 4 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
70.1%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+16
68.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
69.2%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
68.9%
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Pryor, Kendric, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Williams, Jaylin) 15 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
69.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+19
70.1%
Jalen Berger run for 19 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
69.9%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
69.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
67.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+29
71.4%
Collin Larsh 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:3031% → 35%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
68.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 19 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
65.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+5
64.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.5%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
63.7%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
64.0%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
65.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5067% → 66%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
67.3%
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
66.8%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-1
65.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5236% → 55%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
63.3%
Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Bjorson, Matt, PENALTY WISCONSIN roughing passer 15 yards to the INDIANA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+35
61.8%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 35 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
59.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
59.4%
David Ellis run for 7 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
58.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Wisc 9Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
58.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
44.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1347% → 44%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
47.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
46.8%
Jalen Berger run for 20 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
46.9%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
46.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-20
44.1%
Graham Mertz pass intercepted Jamar Johnson return for 20 yds to the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:3060% → 63%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
40.2%
David Ellis run for 11 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
38.5%
David Ellis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
38.1%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 6 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
37.3%
Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick HerbigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 6:3942% → 37%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 1 yd to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+25
41.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
42.3%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+7
43.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 7 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+2
39.2%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
40.4%
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 1
OPP 17
-2
39.6%
Jalen Berger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+3
36.9%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
37.8%
Graham Mertz run for 5 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
36.6%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
33.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
37.2%
Collin Larsh 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3967% → 71%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
32.2%
Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Williams, Caesar) 15 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.0%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
29.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-1
28.8%
Jack Tuttle sacked by Scott Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
29.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:4531% → 25%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
30.6%
Berger, Jalen rush for 22 yards to the WISCONSIN38, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 8 yards to the WISCONSIN8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+6
29.7%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+14
29.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 14 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
29.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
30.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+17
26.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 17 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
31.4%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
30.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
28.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
24.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:4279% → 87%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
21.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
17.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+6
17.5%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
14.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
12.6%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 5 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
11.1%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
10.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
11.8%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
13.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 3:5415% → 6%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
14.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 9 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+8
15.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 8 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
14.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 22 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
16.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 2 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
16.3%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+18
13.1%
Graham Mertz run for 18 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
14.5%
Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
14.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
12.9%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
14.6%
Graham Mertz run for 4 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-4
11.5%
Graham Mertz sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
7.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 10
OPP 21
0
6.3%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike, broken up by Reese TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2896% → 96%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 12
OWN 19
-1
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:03
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q2 11:03
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
-5.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:46
Graham Mertz pass incomplete
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com