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NEB

Nebraska 37 at Purdue 27

PUR
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-3.2PUR 45.7%Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q1 5:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:59 · Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense−5.7Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−1.3Pregame prior+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:13: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +15.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:05: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +16.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:29: Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 20 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +12.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:16: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 89 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +15.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:04: Connor Culp 32 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +9.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:04PUR 4th & 18 at PUR 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:59NEB 4th & 4 at PUR 6, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:02PUR 4th & 14 at NEB 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:22NEB 4th & 7 at PUR 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:13PUR 4th & 16 at NEB 38, down 17
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:59NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:19PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−1.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:05PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.2%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:05PUR 4th & 13 at NEB 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−1.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:37NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 20, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:04NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−9.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:04PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:25NEB 4th & 2 at PUR 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−4.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:21PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 31, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:30NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:04NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:13NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:05NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:29PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:16PUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
54.7%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
54.7%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
54.7%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+14
54.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 14 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
54.7%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-2
54.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
54.7%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
54.7%
Brendan Cropsey punt blocked by Levi Falck blocked by Levi FalckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
53.9%
Jack Plummer sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+27
53.8%
Zac Collins punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 17 , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 27 yds to the 50 yard line PURDUE Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0547% → 49%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
53.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+7
53.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
51.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) PURDUE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.5%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
51.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-6
51.4%
Jack Plummer sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
51.4%
Zac Collins punt for 26 yds, downed at the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:4051% → 54%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
48.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+13
48.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 13 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
48.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+8
48.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
48.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+1
48.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
48.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+25
45.7%
Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 4:5746% → 45%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
45.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 10 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marquel Dismuke) to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+13
45.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
46.4%
Rondale Moore run for 7 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+7
46.7%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
46.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-11
46.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Zander Horvath, PENALTY PUR holding (Greg Long) 11 yards to the NEB33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 19
OPP 33
0
46.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Deontai WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 19
OPP 33
+5
46.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 5 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
46.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-10
46.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 18 yards to the NEB31 (Dismuke, M.), PENALTY PUR holding (Greg Long) 10 yards to the PUR41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+8
45.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 8 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
46.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 18 yards to the NEB31 (Dismuke, M.), PENALTY PUR holding (Greg Long) 10 yards to the PUR41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+8
45.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 8 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+45
44.8%
J.D. Dellinger 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:4056% → 65%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
43.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
43.1%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
42.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 2 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+25
42.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 25 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
42.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+4
42.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-6
42.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
42.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
35.1%
Connor Culp 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:1840% → 47%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
39.5%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
39.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
39.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+22
39.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 22 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
40.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
47.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 20 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:5155% → 72%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.1%
Cooper Jewett run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
44.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
46.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
44.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
44.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
44.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 5 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+22
44.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 22 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
28.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
33.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
33.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Deontai Williams) to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
35.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
35.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
35.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-10
35.1%
Jack Plummer sacked by Ben Stille and Garrett Nelson for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 16
OPP 38
0
33.6%
Jack Plummer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2273% → 75%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
27.4%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-3
27.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+8
28.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+25
24.6%
William Przystup punt for 40 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, kick catching interference (Cam Taylor-Britt) to the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3231% → 30%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
30.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
31.8%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
29.9%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
29.5%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1978% → 75%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
22.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
22.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by DaMarcus MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
22.6%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
25.5%
William Przystup punt blocked by Jackson Anthrop blocked by Jackson AnthropSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FG
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1937% → 30%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
36.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 9 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
31.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
36.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
29.5%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5571% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
28.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 10 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
27.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
27.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+15
27.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 15 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
26.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
26.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 11 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
26.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+6
26.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
26.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.3%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
15.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
15.6%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
16.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
16.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+16
16.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
17.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 38 yards to the NEB3 (Honas, Will), PENALTY PUR holding (Sam Garvin) 10 yards to the PUR49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+1
16.2%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 19
50
0
15.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 19
50
+6
15.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
15.8%
Jack Plummer punt for 33 yds, downed at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
5.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-5
5.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 11 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+9
5.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
5.9%
William Przystup punt for 41 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the Prdue 39 TJ Sheffield fumbled, recovered by Prdue TJ SheffieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:597% → 20%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
7.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
7.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
7.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 19 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
8.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+6
8.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
20.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 20 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:2985% → 86%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.9%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
14.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
15.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Levi Falck for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
12.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-1
12.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
13.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
13.9%
William Przystup punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
2 plays · 86 yds · 0:4614% → 29%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
14.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+89
29.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 89 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:1273% → 86%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
27.1%
PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (DaMarcus Mitchell) to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
26.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-10
25.1%
Robinson, W. rush for 5 yards to the NEB36 (B. Thieneman), PENALTY NEB holding (Benhart, Bryce) 10 yards to the NEB21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-10
26.8%
Martinez, A. pass complete to Robinson, W. for 27 yards to the NEB48 (Derrick Barnes;Tyler Coyle), PENALTY NEB holding (Farniok, Matt) 10 yards to the NEB11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 21
OWN 11
+15
27.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier Betts for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Dedrick Mackey) to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
26.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+15
25.5%
Martinez, A. pass incomplete to Betts, Zavier, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Cam Allen) 15 yards to the NEB45, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
23.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 37 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
22.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-15
22.1%
Mills, Dedrick rush for 14 yards to the PUR1 (B. Thieneman), PENALTY NEB illegal block (Allen, Austin) 15 yards to the PUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 22
OPP 30
+8
22.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+8
23.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
14.5%
Connor Culp 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
14.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell (Domann, JoJo), PENALTY PUR holding (Sam Garvin) 10 yards to the PUR12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
14.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+7
13.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 13
OWN 19
0
12.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
12.2%
Zac Collins punt for 38 yds, downed at the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 30 yds · 3:0789% → 95%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
10.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 10 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
9.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
9.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
8.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
8.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Travis Vokolek) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-2
8.3%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+12
6.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
5.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
5.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
4.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
4.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-9
3.9%
Eric Miller run for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 13
OPP 25
-3
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 16
OPP 28
-3
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:05
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-16.7
TD · Q2 6:13
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q4 12:16
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 89 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com