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NEB

Nebraska 20 at Iowa 26

IOWA
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2020 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+21.7Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+1.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:48: Keith Duncan 33 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +4.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:29: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +13.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:05: Rahmir Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +15.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:47: Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:21: Keith Duncan 37 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +8.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:06IOWA 4th & 10 at NEB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06NEB 4th & 22 at NEB 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:53IOWA 4th & 8 at NEB 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:08NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at IOWA 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:35NEB 4th & 5 at IOWA 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:42NEB 4th & 11 at IOWA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:48IOWA 4th & 3 at NEB 15, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:05IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−1.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−12.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:47NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55IOWA 4th & 5 at NEB 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:55NEB 4th & 8 at IOWA 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:45IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 19, up 3
    Close callPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:21IOWA 4th & 7 at NEB 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−15.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:02IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 32, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:09IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:29NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:05NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:47IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:5478% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
78.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+22
78.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 22 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
78.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 14 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
78.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+2
78.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
78.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
77.8%
Keith Duncan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
77.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
77.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-7
77.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-10
77.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 22
OWN 25
+8
78.0%
William Przystup punt for 39 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
77.6%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+18
77.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 18 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
77.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
77.8%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
77.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
77.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, downed at the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
77.1%
Marvin Scott III run for no gain to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+7
77.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 7 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+18
77.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 18 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
77.0%
Marvin Scott III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+8
77.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+3
77.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+31
77.2%
William Przystup punt for 42 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 31 yds to the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:5377% → 80%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
77.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 13 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
77.3%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+14
77.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 14 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
77.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
77.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 4 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:3421% → 23%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
78.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
78.5%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+21
78.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 21 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
78.1%
Marvin Scott III run for 8 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
77.9%
Marvin Scott III run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+9
78.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
77.4%
Marvin Scott III run for 1 yd to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
77.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Marvin Scott III for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+1
77.9%
Marvin Scott III run for 1 yd to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
77.2%
Connor Culp 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
78.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
78.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-2
77.8%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Dicaprio Bootle return for 2 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0224% → 26%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
76.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 5 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+18
76.3%
Alante Brown run for 18 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
75.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+3
76.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
76.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+39
74.0%
Connor Culp 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:5475% → 79%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
74.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
75.8%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
75.2%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
75.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 13 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
76.2%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+16
75.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 16 yds Ihmir Smith-Marsette fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Iowa Ihmir Smith-Marsette for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
76.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-15
76.5%
Sargent,Mekhi rush R for no gain to the NEB29 (Rogers, Casey), PENALTY IOWA clipping (53) 15 yards to the NEB44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+11
75.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 11 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
75.7%
[SG], Petras,Spencer pass incomplete to LaPorta,Sam, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Williams, D.) 11 yards to the NEB22, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
76.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
76.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+5
75.9%
Spencer Petras run for 5 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
78.9%
Keith Duncan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:1922% → 38%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+28
79.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 28 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
77.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+22
77.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 22 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-19
75.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Iowa 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian Martinez NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 29
OPP 45
+6
78.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+23
78.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 23 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
75.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 13 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
75.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:1971% → 72%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
70.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 11 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
71.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 2
50
-8
71.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Casey Rogers for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:5534% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
65.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 10 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
64.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
63.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
63.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+13
63.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 13 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
62.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 15 yds to the Iowa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
62.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
46.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:1853% → 70%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
52.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
55.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
54.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
53.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+16
53.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 16 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
56.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+6
57.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
57.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
57.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+2
55.8%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+5
54.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
57.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
57.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
69.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
62.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-1
62.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+1
63.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
65.2%
William Przystup punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:0367% → 71%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
67.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
68.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 10 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
69.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
69.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
70.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
70.2%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
68.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
71.4%
Keith Duncan 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
67.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
68.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 14 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
65.5%
[SG], Martinez, A. rush right for no gain to the IOWA47, out-of-bounds (Hankins,Matt), PENALTY NEB holding (Benhart, Bryce) 10 yards to the NEB43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 43
-2
69.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 22
OWN 41
+5
69.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+9
70.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
70.0%
William Przystup punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
73.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
73.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+4
71.6%
Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
71.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for no gain to the Neb 38 Cam Taylor-Britt fumbled, recovered by Iowa Terry RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5478% → 86%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+12
78.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
78.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta, broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
78.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+3
77.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 3 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
85.9%
Keith Duncan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
77.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
77.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
77.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
79.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Ethan Piper) to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
79.6%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
80.4%
William Przystup punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:3588% → 94%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
87.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
89.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
89.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+15
88.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
89.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
89.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
94.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+51
94.1%
Keith Duncan 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 18%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
86.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
84.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 18 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-9
82.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Chauncey Golston for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 48 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Iowa Zach VanValkenburg , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0296% → 95%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-2
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:05
Rahmir Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q2 0:29
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q3 5:47
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com