Try the model
MD

Maryland 11 at Indiana 27

IU
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.6IU 95.8%Charles Campbell 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 20 · Q4 13:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:27 · Charles Campbell 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+6.5Home team on offense+24.3Score differential+12.8Garbage-time factor+11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:02: Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +2.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:06: Joseph Petrino 38 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +3.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:00: Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Mary 46 — IU win probability +4.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:44: Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Tuttle pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +11.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:32: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 43 yds for a TD (Taulia Tagovailoa pass to Carlos Carriere for Two-Point Conversion) — MD win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:50MD 4th & 9 at IU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59IU 4th & 12 at IU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13MD 4th & 20 at MD 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:01IU 4th & 4 at IU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:43MD 4th & 12 at IU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:11IU 4th & 2 at IU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:40MD 4th & 1 at MD 40, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:19IU 4th & 5 at IU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:06MD 4th & 10 at IU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:40IU 4th & 10 at IU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:34MD 4th & 4 at MD 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:21IU 4th & 9 at IU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:14IU 4th & 2 at MD 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−1.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−8.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:19MD 4th & 6 at MD 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:27IU 4th & 11 at MD 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:22IU 4th & 2 at MD 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:25MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:06IU 4th & 4 at IU 28, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:02IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:44IU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:22IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:32MD Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 3:5523% → 24%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 13 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
77.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
77.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
77.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 11 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
76.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
76.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 13 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
76.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
76.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 9 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
76.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
76.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
76.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
76.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
76.2%
Joseph Petrino 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4976% → 76%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
76.4%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
76.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
76.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
75.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Baylor at the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4224% → 24%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
76.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-10
76.1%
Tagovailoa, Taulia rush for 16 yards to the INDIANA46, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the MARYLAND28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 20
OWN 28
0
76.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Isaiah JacobsSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
76.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:0876% → 79%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
76.1%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+37
75.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 37 yds to the INDIANA 38 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
76.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
76.2%
David Ellis run for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
76.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
76.1%
David Ellis run for 7 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+1
76.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+13
75.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Mary 10 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Sideline Interference (5 Yards) to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
75.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1122% → 23%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
77.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+22
77.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 22 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
76.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for 21 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
75.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-5
75.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
75.8%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-5
76.3%
Tagovailoa, Taulia pass complete to Cobbs, Brian for 7 yards to the INDIANA17, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal shift 5 yards to the INDIANA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
77.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Tiawan Mullen return for no gain to the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1978% → 76%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
77.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
77.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
76.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
76.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DeJuan Ellis at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:3824% → 24%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
75.6%
Peny Boone run for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
75.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 14 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
74.7%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
74.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-43
75.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Jaylin Williams return for 43 yds to the Mary 45 Jaylin Williams fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1724% → 23%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
75.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Peny Boone for 12 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
75.3%
Peny Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
75.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
76.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Isaiah JacobsSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
77.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2977% → 76%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+17
76.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 17 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
77.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
77.1%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 8 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
76.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David Ellis, broken up by Jordan MosleySimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
76.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Baylor at the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2023% → 23%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
76.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
75.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
76.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
77.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1678% → 77%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
77.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for no gain to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
77.7%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
77.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
76.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0723% → 28%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+35
77.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 35 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
75.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
75.5%
Peny Boone run for 15 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
74.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
74.3%
Boone, Peny rush for 11 yards to the INDIANA10, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal formation 5 yards to the INDIANA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+5
75.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
75.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
71.8%
Joseph Petrino 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2074% → 72%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
73.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
72.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
71.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeJuan Ellis at the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0129% → 29%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
70.9%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
70.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
69.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
71.4%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:5874% → 73%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
73.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
74.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.7%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+24
73.3%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 24 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
75.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
74.5%
David Ellis run for 1 yd to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
74.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
72.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:1028% → 29%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
72.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for 8 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
71.1%
Challen Faamatau run for 4 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:4173% → 76%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
73.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 17 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
75.0%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 4
50
+3
75.4%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+19
74.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 19 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
75.8%
David Ellis run for 3 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
75.8%
David Ellis run for 1 yd to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+11
77.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 11 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
78.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mary 12Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-1
78.0%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
76.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 8 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+1
75.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mary 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18SF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-4
75.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:1680% → 92%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
79.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
79.8%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
78.9%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY MARYLAND offside 5 yards to the MARYLAND41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.8%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
79.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 11 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
80.2%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
80.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+21
80.6%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 21 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Tuttle pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1111% → 10%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
89.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 19
OWN 21
+8
90.3%
Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+5
90.6%
Tagovailoa, Taulia pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA substitution infraction 5 yards to the MARYLAND34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
89.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+2
90.5%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 44 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 2 yds to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:3393% → 96%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
92.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 22 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
93.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 23 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
94.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Miles Marshall for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+15
94.2%
Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Ellis, David, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 15 yards to the MARYLAND14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
94.3%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+1
94.2%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 1 yd to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+2
94.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
95.8%
Charles Campbell 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:305% → 4%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
95.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jonathan King for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
95.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Micah McFadden return for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:2297% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
96.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+26
96.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 26 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
96.8%
Baldwin Jr., Tim rush for no gain to the MARYLAND6, PENALTY INDIANA illegal formation 5 yards to the MARYLAND11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
97.1%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
97.1%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 9Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
97.1%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-6
98.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeJuan Ellis at the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:281% → 4%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-3
99.3%
Peny Boone run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+19
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 19 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 8 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Peny Boone run for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
96.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 43 yds for a TD (Taulia Tagovailoa pass to Carlos Carriere for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4099% → 99%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.1%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 8
50
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:44
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Tuttle pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion)
+11.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:00
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Mary 46
+4.4
FG · Q2 4:06
Joseph Petrino 38 yd FG GOOD
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com