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RUTG

Rutgers 37 at Purdue 30

PUR
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:49 · Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for no gain to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+19.8Home team on offense+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score differential+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:59: Jack Plummer run for 1 yd for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:29: Johnny Langan pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 62 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +8.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 9:22: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 18 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:08: J.D. Dellinger kickoff for 65 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 100 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +10.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:42: Aaron Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +23.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:01PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:26PUR 4th & 2 at RUTG 3, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−5.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:19RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:11PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:49RUTG 4th & 3 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48PUR 4th & 1 at RUTG 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−1.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:11RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:42PUR 4th & 13 at RUTG 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:09RUTG 4th & 10 at PUR 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−2.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−16.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:09PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:12RUTG 4th & 1 at PUR 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−3.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:46PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:38RUTG Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:19PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:59PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:29RUTG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:22PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:42RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1481% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.4%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
81.4%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
81.4%
Jack Plummer run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
81.4%
Zander Horvath run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
81.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 17 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.4%
Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
81.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.4%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.4%
Rondale Moore run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 1 yd for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:4519% → 21%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
81.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
80.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 5 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
81.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 23 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
80.8%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+7
80.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+6
80.9%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
80.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+1
80.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
79.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.7%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+20
79.6%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
80.0%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
79.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
79.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
79.3%
Brooks Cormier punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:1021% → 27%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
79.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
78.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+9
79.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
78.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 6
50
+7
78.6%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
78.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+15
78.6%
Sitkowski, A. pass intercepted by Zac Collins at the PUR20, Zac Collins return to the PUR40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY PUR personal foul (D. Mitchell) 15 yards to the PUR27, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
78.3%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
78.3%
Aron Cruickshank run for 5 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+7
78.6%
Johnny Langan run for 7 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
78.3%
Avery Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
73.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:1275% → 73%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
74.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 18 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
75.6%
King Doerue run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
76.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 19 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
76.5%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
75.8%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
75.8%
King Doerue rush for 7 yards to the RU4 (Jones, Naijee), PENALTY PUR holding (Holstege) 10 yards to the RU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+2
75.7%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 19
0
75.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+16
74.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 16 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
72.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Payne Durham, broken up by Tyreek Maddox-WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6SF
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1628% → 26%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
71.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, substitution infraction (-1 Yards) to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
71.7%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
71.9%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 3
-3
73.8%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Branson Deen for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:4675% → 78%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
50
+8
74.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 8 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
74.9%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
74.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
75.5%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+19
75.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 19 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.5%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.5%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.5%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
76.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
76.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
76.3%
Jack Plummer run for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+12
76.9%
King Doerue run for 12 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
77.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
77.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Brendon WhiteSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
77.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
76.1%
Zac Collins punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0024% → 25%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
75.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
75.9%
Artur Sitkowski run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
75.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
76.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Christian Dremel for 14 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
74.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 17
OWN 36
+6
75.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+8
74.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 3
50
0
74.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 3
50
0
75.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:5777% → 85%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
50
+15
77.4%
Zander Horvath run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
78.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 10 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
78.0%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
78.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Zander HorvathSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
77.3%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+11
76.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
76.2%
Rondale Moore run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
77.8%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
78.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.4%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:4816% → 15%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
84.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 14 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
83.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
84.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Aron Cruickshank) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:3118% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
82.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
82.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+5
82.5%
Langan, Johnny rush for 3 yards to the RU30 (Cory Trice), PENALTY PUR offside (Cory Trice) 5 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
82.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
82.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
81.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+62
72.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 62 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:0775% → 85%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
74.8%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
75.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
77.0%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+10
77.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
77.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Garrett Miller for 8 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
77.5%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
77.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
77.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Tre AverySimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
85.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 18 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:2974% → 75%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.1%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
72.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 23 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
76.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Tyreem PowellSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-13
74.5%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Mohamed Toure return for 13 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:0833% → 58%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
67.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
67.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
68.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
67.5%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+11
65.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 11 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
65.8%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
65.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 2 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+7
67.3%
PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Derrick Barnes) to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.8%
PURDUE Penalty, player disqualification (Derrick Barnes) to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
65.8%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.3%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0055% → 50%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
54.8%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+18
55.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 18 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
58.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 13
OPP 38
0
54.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 13
OPP 38
0
52.7%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
49.5%
Brooks Cormier punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19FG
22 plays · 70 yds · 9:3854% → 78%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
45.6%
Johnny Langan run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
44.4%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
43.0%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
42.4%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
39.8%
Johnny Langan run for 7 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
38.4%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
39.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Bryan Felter) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
50
+3
40.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+20
39.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Shameen Jones for 20 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
36.8%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
36.8%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
35.5%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
34.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
34.5%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+6
35.5%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
34.5%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
29.0%
Langan, Johnny pass complete to Melton, Bo for 5 yards to the PUR0, clock 08:32, PENALTY RU pass interference (Jones, Shameen) 15 yards to the PUR20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+11
29.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 11 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
29.3%
Artur Sitkowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
22.4%
Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
28.6%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
29.7%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-5
28.8%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
26.1%
Brooks Cormier punt for 32 yds, downed at the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21END OF GAME
13 plays · 14 yds · 3:0485% → 95%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
15.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
50
+4
14.4%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
14.7%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+6
7.1%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
5.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
4.9%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
5.0%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 14
OPP 30
-5
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 19
OPP 35
-5
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:42
Aaron Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-23.5
TD · Q3 9:08
J.D. Dellinger kickoff for 65 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 100 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-10
TD · Q3 12:29
Johnny Langan pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 62 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com