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IU

Indiana 35 at Ohio State 42

OSU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:34 · Haydon Whitehead punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+30.9Home team on offense+3.6Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:03: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +3.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:14: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 33 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +6.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:49: Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Shaun Wade return for 36 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK) — OSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:26: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 16 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +5.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:26: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 56 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +9.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:05IU 4th & 16 at IU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32IU 4th & 18 at IU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22IU 4th & 2 at OSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:02OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:46IU 4th & 8 at IU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:54IU 4th & 11 at IU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:08OSU 4th & 22 at OSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:34IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:13OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:04OSU 4th & 13 at IU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:26IU 4th & 10 at OSU 16, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:40OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:39OSU 4th & 1 at IU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−6.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:10IU 4th & 15 at IU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:38OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:32OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:03IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:57OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:32OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:10OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:48IU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:14IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:49OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:26IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:26IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:507% → 8%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
92.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 19 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.5%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-6
92.3%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2392% → 92%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
92.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 65 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:588% → 8%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
92.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 6 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
92.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-16
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Ind 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IndSimilar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 18
OWN 10
0
92.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-33
92.1%
Justin Fields pass intercepted Jamar Johnson return for 33 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:558% → 8%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
91.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+8
91.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5892% → 91%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.7%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-15
91.7%
Fields, Justin pass complete to Olave, Chris for 5 yards to the OHIOST45, PENALTY OHIOST unnecessary roughness 15 yards to the OHIOST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 21
OWN 25
-2
91.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Cam Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+12
91.4%
Justin Fields run for 12 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
91.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:149% → 9%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
91.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 15 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.0%
David Ellis run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot, broken up by Zach HarrisonSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
91.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:4691% → 91%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
91.0%
Master Teague III run for 9 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
91.1%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+19
90.8%
Master Teague III run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
50
0
91.1%
Justin Fields pass intercepted Jerome Johnson return for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5610% → 10%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
90.3%
Sampson James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Stevie Scott IIISimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Shaun WadeSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
90.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:3290% → 90%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
90.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
90.7%
Trey Sermon run for 15 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
90.7%
Justin Fields sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 18
50
-10
90.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 28
OWN 40
0
90.2%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 28
OWN 40
+6
89.8%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 22
OWN 46
0
89.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ind 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:5710% → 16%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
89.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
89.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 2 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+10
89.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 10 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+68
89.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 68 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
87.8%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 4Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0386% → 90%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.2%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
85.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 16 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
86.8%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
86.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
89.7%
Master Teague III run for 41 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1611% → 11%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
88.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5889% → 92%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
88.9%
Trey Sermon run for 16 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
89.5%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-2
89.5%
Justin Fields sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
89.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
89.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+11
89.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+30
89.7%
Justin Fields run for 30 yds to the Ind 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:148% → 9%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.0%
Sampson James run for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
91.5%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+51
91.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 51 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
90.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 6 yds David Ellis fumbled, recovered by OhSt Baron BrowningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 2:4392% → 98%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
92.0%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
92.2%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+31
92.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 31 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.9%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
92.9%
Justin Fields run for 10 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
92.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 13 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
93.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+13
93.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.5%
Justin Fields run for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4597% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.3%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+39
97.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 39 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
97.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 4 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+11
97.5%
Justin Fields run for 11 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:121% → 3%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 11 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
96.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 63 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1898% → 98%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-24
97.6%
Justin Fields pass intercepted Jamar Johnson return for 24 yds to the OhSt 16 Jamar Johnson fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4798% → 98%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.6%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
97.7%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+1
97.6%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+6
97.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 45 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 6 yds to the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:533% → 10%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
97.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+15
97.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 15 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
90.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 33 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:5694% → 95%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
93.9%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
94.2%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+32
94.4%
Master Teague III run for 32 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.4%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-8
95.5%
Justin Fields sacked by Jamar Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
95.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
95.0%
Jake Seibert 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:097% → 2%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-36
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Shaun Wade return for 36 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:142% → 7%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
98.6%
Penix Jr., Michael pass complete to Philyor, Whop for 8 yards to the INDIANA45, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference 15 yards to the INDIANA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+11
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 11 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+14
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 14 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 12 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 25 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+16
93.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 16 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3096% → 96%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
95.6%
Master Teague III run for 10 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
95.7%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
95.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+16
95.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 49 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 16 yds to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:107% → 16%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
83.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 56 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:4189% → 91%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.5%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
88.6%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
88.2%
Justin Fields run for 15 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.9%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 9
50
+10
89.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 10 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
90.7%
Justin Fields sacked by Jaylin Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+27
90.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 27 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
91.5%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
91.9%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
91.8%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
91.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2512% → 11%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
87.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 11 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
87.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-5
88.6%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Pete Werner for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
89.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 55 yds, downed at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 2:2693% → 96%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.4%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
93.3%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
94.5%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.3%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-4
95.8%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+1
95.6%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
96.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 31Uncategorized
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:297% → 7%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
93.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 7 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+9
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 9 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
93.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:26
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 56 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q3 5:14
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 33 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
-6.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com