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PUR

Purdue 31 at Minnesota 34

MINN
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2020 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:25 · Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+2.9Pregame prior−6.2Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:54: David Bell 47 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick) — PUR win probability +15.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 8:57: Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick) — MINN win probability +15.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:35: David Bell 9 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick) — PUR win probability +17.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 14:15: Mohamed Ibrahim 5 Yd Run (Brock Walker PAT failed) — MINN win probability +11.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:31: Payne Durham 6 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick) — PUR win probability +28.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:47PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:25MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:05PUR 4th & 11 at MINN 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−5.6
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:22MINN 4th & 8 at PUR 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q4 9:55PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−2.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−9.2
    average punt
  6. Q4 6:16MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.7%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:08PUR 4th & 6 at MINN 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−7.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−19.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:58MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−6.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:52MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:37PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:09MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:12MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:54PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:35PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:15MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:31PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:5841% → 45%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
41.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
41.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Witham for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+9
41.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
42.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 24 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
42.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+7
42.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
43.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
44.6%
Cam Wiley 6 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:0356% → 58%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
44.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+6
44.8%
Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+6
45.1%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
45.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 33 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
44.7%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
45.0%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+16
45.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 16 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
45.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
45.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 5 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
42.2%
Rondale Moore 8 Yd Run (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 4:1344% → 51%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
43.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
43.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
44.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+42
44.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 42 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
45.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
45.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+20
45.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 20 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
46.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
47.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1451% → 49%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
49.7%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+1
50.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
51.0%
Zac Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1551% → 51%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
51.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+4
51.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
52.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
52.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
51.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
51.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:5848% → 51%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
51.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 29 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
50.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
49.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 23 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 14
OPP 33
+10
50.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+9
49.9%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
50.3%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-7
50.6%
King Doerue run for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+6
53.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds Rondale Moore fumbled, forced by Mariano Sori-Marin, recovered by Prdue Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
49.5%
J.D. Dellinger 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3352% → 68%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.6%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
52.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
54.9%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
55.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 5
50
+9
54.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
56.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 19 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
56.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+9
57.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
57.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
58.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
68.3%
Seth Green 3 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:0233% → 34%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
67.5%
Rondale Moore run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
68.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
68.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
68.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+39
69.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 39 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
64.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 16 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
66.5%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mariano Sori-MarinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
69.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:3931% → 48%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
69.0%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+11
69.7%
Rondale Moore run for 11 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
69.5%
Zander Horvath run for 24 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
67.6%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+47
51.9%
David Bell 47 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3656% → 76%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
56.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 17 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
58.3%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
58.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+20
57.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 20 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
63.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
64.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-1
63.4%
Preston Jelen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+33
60.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 33 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1427% → 47%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
73.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
72.7%
Zander Horvath run for 21 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for no gain to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
72.0%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+6
72.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
69.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
69.6%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Minn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
70.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
52.7%
David Bell 9 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5464% → 83%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
64.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+39
63.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 39 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
69.4%
Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+4
69.7%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
70.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+21
69.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 21 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
70.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim 5 Yd Run (Brock Walker PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3319% → 46%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.9%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
79.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
78.6%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+9
81.8%
Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
78.9%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+26
78.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the MINNESOTA 41 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
76.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
76.4%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
81.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
82.5%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
81.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+5
82.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the Minn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
54.2%
Payne Durham 6 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0569% → 69%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
69.2%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
69.2%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
68.9%
Seth Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0245% → 38%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
55.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
55.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
54.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
54.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+3
58.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 3 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
61.9%
J.D. Dellinger 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0077% → 82%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
76.6%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
77.1%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-1
78.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
82.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:1027% → 27%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
72.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
71.2%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
72.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+13
75.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
67.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
66.8%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+6
70.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
66.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 25
OPP 34
-5
72.9%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Josh Aune return for 5 yds to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0994% → 95%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
94.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 17Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-1
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:31
Payne Durham 6 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)
-28.7
TD · Q3 4:35
David Bell 9 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)
-17.3
TD · Q3 12:54
David Bell 47 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com