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MICH

Michigan 48 at Rutgers 42

RUTG
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:16 · Joe Milton run for no gain to the Rutgr 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remainingDefense timeouts
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3Play 25Pregame prior−25.3Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.4Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 5:07: Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +22.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 0:27: Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds for a TD Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:27 (N. Vedral Run For Two-point Conversion) — RUTG win probability +52.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · OT2 0:00: Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 25 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +31.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · OT2 0:00: Cade McNamara run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +33.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT3 0:00: Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MICH win probability +30.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:07RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:10RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:54MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:43RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:58MICH 4th & 6 at RUTG 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:37MICH 4th & 21 at MICH 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:23RUTG 4th & 10 at MICH 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:58RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:00RUTG 4th & 7 at MICH 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:22MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:57RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54MICH 4th & 5 at RUTG 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−2.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:17RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:27RUTG 4th & 9 at MICH 11, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−2.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:33RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:45RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:26MICH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:48RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:07MICH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:38MICH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:07MICH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:27RUTG Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    16.1%−13.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3922% → 22%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
21.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
22.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Jovani HaskinsSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
22.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
22.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:5478% → 77%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
22.2%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
22.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
22.7%
Joe Milton pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 16 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
22.8%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
23.0%
Joe Milton pass complete to Chris Evans for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
23.3%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 18 yds Cornelius Johnson fumbled, forced by Brendon White, recovered by Rutgr Christian Izien , return for 9 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:5224% → 25%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
23.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
23.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 9 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
24.3%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for 1 yard to the RUTGERS41, PENALTY RUTGERS holding (Paillant, Cedrice) 10 yards to the RUTGERS30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+6
24.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 14
OWN 36
-7
24.6%
Noah Vedral sacked by Christopher Hinton for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+9
24.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 12
OWN 38
-5
24.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
24.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:4875% → 74%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
25.1%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 22 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
24.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
24.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
25.3%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+5
25.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
25.7%
Joe Milton run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:3527% → 31%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+43
26.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 43 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
27.5%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds to the Mich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
27.8%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Mich 3Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.4%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2670% → 68%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
30.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-7
30.6%
Joe Milton sacked by Olakunle Fatukasi for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 26Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
32.2%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
32.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0532% → 34%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
32.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
32.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
33.7%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
33.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for no gain to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
33.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:3966% → 64%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
33.6%
Roman Wilson run for 9 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
33.6%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 23Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
34.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
34.7%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
34.9%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+31
35.5%
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 31 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
33.8%
Milton, Joe pass incomplete to Bell, Ronnie, PENALTY RUTGERS holding (Izien, Christian) 10 yards to the RUTGERS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
33.2%
Joe Milton run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
33.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
35.2%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
36.2%
Quinn Nordin 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:0438% → 51%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
37.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
38.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+13
38.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 13 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
40.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
40.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 7 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
40.3%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+38
42.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down lat. to Shameen Jones for 38 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.8%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.2%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
50.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyreek Maddox-Williams) to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:5751% → 50%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
48.8%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Blake CorumSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
49.2%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-11
49.7%
Joe Milton sacked by Olakunle Fatukasi for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 11Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 21
OWN 11
0
50.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:0751% → 63%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
50.9%
Vedral, Noah rush for no gain to the RUTGERS39, PENALTY RUTGERS holding (Woods, Paul) 10 yards to the RUTGERS29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+5
49.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Paul Woods for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
50.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+21
49.3%
Noah Vedral run for 21 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
52.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
53.2%
Shameen Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 42 Shameen Jones fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Noah VedralSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+22
53.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Christian Dremel for 7 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Gabe Newburg) to the Mich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
54.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
55.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
54.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
62.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:4841% → 54%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
59.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+14
59.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 14 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
46.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 46 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2149% → 51%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
49.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
50.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
52.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
52.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
50.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 1:5048% → 49%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
51.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Chris Evans for 4 yds to the Mich 21Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+6
52.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 6 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
52.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Chris Evans for 3 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
52.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
53.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 3 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
53.5%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Chris EvansSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
54.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+11
55.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
50
+4
52.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+16
54.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 16 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
50.7%
Quinn Nordin 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5544% → 59%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
43.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
45.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
59.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 61 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:2944% → 60%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
56.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
55.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
56.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Giles Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
58.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+14
59.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 14 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
56.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 25 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
56.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
40.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 8 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:0147% → 59%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
48.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
49.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-9
48.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 33 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shameen Jones) to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+32
48.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 32 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
53.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 9 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
54.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 5 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
54.8%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
55.5%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
54.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
59.0%
Valentino Ambrosio 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:2745% → 41%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
55.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 1 yd to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
56.2%
Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
54.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
54.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Nick Eubanks) to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
56.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick AllSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-5
58.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+8
58.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 8 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 10
OWN 36
-2
59.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds , Avery Young returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1064% → 64%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
64.1%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 21 Noah Vedral fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Noah VedralSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
64.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+6
62.7%
Shameen Jones run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
64.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds , Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0642% → 67%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
58.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+20
55.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brendon White) to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
54.8%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
55.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 6 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-2
55.2%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+21
58.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Chris Evans for 21 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
53.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 10 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Ben MasonSimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
33.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 6 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1141% → 40%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
41.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Matt AlaimoSimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
41.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+14
39.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 14 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
43.7%
Noah Vedral sacked by Josh Ross for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+8
41.1%
Noah Vedral run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+5
39.9%
Bo Melton run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
40.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 6:0560% → 92%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
40.5%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
41.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 14 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
38.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+7
37.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 7 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
36.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
36.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
33.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
33.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
31.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+8
30.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
30.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
7.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
21 plays · 75 yds · 4:3213% → 59%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
15.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
15.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 11 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
16.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
16.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
16.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 9 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
13.6%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
13.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+9
11.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 9 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
14.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Raiqwon O'Neal) to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+2
12.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+2
11.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+11
9.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 11 yds to the Mich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
13.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
13.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Mich 11Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
10.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+11
58.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds for a TD Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:27 (N. Vedral Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1452% → 50%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
49.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 52%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan HaskinsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
41.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
42.7%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
48.0%
Quinn Nordin 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27MISSED FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 55%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mich 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-2
64.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-2
61.8%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 27Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
55.1%
Valentino Ambrosio 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 25 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 29TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
82.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Giles Jackson for 17 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 8
OPP 9
+5
79.3%
Haskins, Hassan rush for loss of 1 yard to the RUTGERS9, PENALTY RUTGERS face mask (Fogg, Tyshon) 5 yards to the RUTGERS4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
79.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.5%
Cade McNamara run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 30TD
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 86%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
40.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
40.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
40.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-10
40.5%
Corum, Blake rush for loss of 2 yards to the RUTGERS14, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Filiaga, Chuck) 10 yards to the RUTGERS22, NO PLAY.Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 22
0
42.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
OT3 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 22
+15
46.3%
McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Jackson, Giles, PENALTY RUTGERS pass interference (Young, Avery) 15 yards to the RUTGERS7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
OT3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
40.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
40.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
OT3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.6%
Cade McNamara run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
OT3 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31Uncategorized
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
31.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Mich 21Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
31.5%
Aaron Young pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
OT3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-3
28.8%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:27
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds for a TD Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:27 (N. Vedral Run For Two-point Conversion)
+52.1
TD · OT2 0:00
Cade McNamara run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-33.8
TD · OT2 0:00
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 25 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+31.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com