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ILL

Illinois 41 at Nebraska 23

NEB
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:11 · Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:48: Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 28 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +5.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:50: Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +17.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:23: James McCourt 24 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +18.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:48: Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined — NEB win probability +6.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:31: Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +21.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 5:33NEB 4th & 4 at ILL 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:48NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:53ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 26, up 14
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:32NEB 4th & 12 at ILL 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:50NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:49ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:40NEB 4th & 5 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 31, up 18
    Numbers favored punt by 3.0 ptsWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%−3.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:23ILL 4th & 6 at NEB 6, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−11.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:31NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:14ILL 4th & 3 at NEB 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:14NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:49NEB 4th & 18 at ILL 34, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:38ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 17, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:31ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:20NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:39ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:48ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:50ILL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:48NEB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:31ILL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:12NEB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
87.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 21 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by Illin Jake HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:1713% → 13%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
87.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+12
87.3%
Brandon Peters run for 12 yds to the Neb 4 Brandon Peters fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
87.3%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.7%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:0587% → 86%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
86.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
86.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 6 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 9 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
86.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
86.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
86.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 7 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
86.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Illin 5Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
86.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4114% → 18%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Brian Hightower for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 4 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
85.4%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
85.5%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.4%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
85.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 9 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+7
85.4%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
85.4%
Chase Brown run for 35 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
82.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
82.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
82.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
82.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+14
82.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 14 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
83.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
82.9%
Luke McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the Illin 42Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
82.7%
N/A pass intercepted Tarique Barnes return for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4420% → 29%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Kyron Cumby for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
80.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Kyron Cumby) to the Illin 30Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+15
80.2%
Brown,Chase rush up middle for no gain to the ILL30 (Domann, JoJo), PENALTY NEB personal foul (Rogers, Casey) 15 yards to the ILL45, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
79.5%
Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-1
79.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Kyron Cumby for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+17
77.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 17 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
77.1%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
77.2%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+28
71.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 28 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
73.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
73.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Austin Allen, broken up by Khalan TolsonSimilar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
73.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
72.9%
William Przystup punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.7%
Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Illin 18Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
70.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 8 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker, broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+21
71.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 21 yds to the Neb 47 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:0070% → 67%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
69.9%
Marvin Scott III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+16
69.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 16 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
70.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+26
70.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 11 yds to the NEBRASKA 40 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
71.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Oliver Martin for 16 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
71.2%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Illin 5Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
71.2%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Illin 2Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Illin 1Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-11
70.6%
Scott, Marvin rush up middle for 1 yard to the ILL0, PENALTY NEB holding 11 yards to the ILL12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
67.0%
Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:3532% → 51%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
67.6%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+58
67.3%
Mike Epstein run for 58 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
66.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 22 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.7%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.9%
Marvin Scott III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
55.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
55.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
55.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
55.5%
William Przystup punt for 56 yds, downed at the Illin 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:5551% → 58%
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
49.3%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+12
49.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
48.4%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
48.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 4 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-8
43.3%
Brandon Peters sacked by Will Honas for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+1
42.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 23 , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 1 yd to the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
10 plays · 23 yds · 1:1246% → 45%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
46.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+18
46.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 18 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-9
48.2%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+14
46.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
50
+5
48.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the NEBRASKA 45 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-9
49.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 46 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by Neb Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 19
OWN 46
-23
45.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted Tony Adams return for 23 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:0962% → 65%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
50
+6
38.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+25
34.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 25 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:3162% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for no gain to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
38.7%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-1
39.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+14
39.6%
Blake Hayes run for 14 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
37.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
35.9%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
37.6%
Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
36.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
37.0%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+26
37.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 11 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Myles Farmer) to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
35.7%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+5
35.7%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
35.7%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.7%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
36.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
17.7%
James McCourt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3522% → 39%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
22.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 16 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
23.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Oliver Martin for 14 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
25.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 32 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Illin 1Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1769% → 94%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.6%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
30.5%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
29.7%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 35 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike EpsteinSimilar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+25
30.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 25 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
28.6%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+11
28.6%
Brandon Peters run for 11 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+23
27.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 23 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
27.8%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
27.8%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.2%
Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
10.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the Neb 23 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
9.9%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+10
10.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 10 yds to the Neb 44 Wan'Dale Robinson fumbled, forced by Khalan Tolson, recovered by Illin Khalan TolsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 5:4295% → 98%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
5.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+11
5.2%
Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
4.6%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+9
4.7%
Brandon Peters run for 9 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
3.1%
Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
3.0%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
3.0%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
3.1%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.9%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.9%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
3.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
1.8%
James McCourt 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
14 plays · 41 yds · 3:253% → 2%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
3.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
3.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
3.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
3.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
4.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 5 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
3.9%
Luke McCaffrey run for 15 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-14
3.1%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Roderick Perry II and Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 14 yards to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 24
OPP 40
+2
2.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 22
OPP 38
+4
2.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 18
OPP 34
-8
1.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted Jake Hansen return for 8 yds to the Illin 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
2.0%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
1.6%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+2
1.5%
Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+7
1.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds , Oliver Martin returns for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:581% → 5%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
1.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 13 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
1.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Isaiah Gay for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+31
1.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 31 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
1.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 8 yds to the Illin 7Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
1.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
1.6%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
1.6%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+21
1.6%
Mike Epstein run for 21 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
1.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:31
Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)
-21.6
FG · Q3 8:23
James McCourt 24 yd FG GOOD
-18.4
TD · Q2 5:50
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)
-17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com