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PSU

Penn State 23 at Nebraska 30

NEB
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:39 · Will Levis pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 11 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense+9.2Pregame prior−1.2Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:01: Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 45 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +8.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +13.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:51: Keyvone Lee run for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:34: Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +9.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:20: Devyn Ford run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 6:14NEB 4th & 5 at PSU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:50PSU 4th & 11 at NEB 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:29PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.4%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29PSU 4th & 1 at NEB 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−1.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−7.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:48PSU 4th & 23 at NEB 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48NEB 4th & 16 at PSU 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:35PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:39NEB 4th & 3 at PSU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 3 at PSU 7, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−9.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:39PSU 4th & 8 at NEB 39, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:39NEB 4th & 8 at PSU 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:51NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:01PSU 4th & 10 at NEB 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−8.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:34NEB 4th & 7 at PSU 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−5.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:39PSU 4th & 5 at NEB 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−4.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:48PSU 4th & 10 at NEB 11, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−3.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−9.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:47NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:37PSU 4th & 13 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−1.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−7.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:25NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:01NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:51PSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:20PSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3540% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+25
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 25 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
40.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-5
40.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
40.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 4 yds to the PnSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+13
40.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Kade Warner for 13 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.9%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
42.8%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
43.0%
Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
42.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 6 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+11
42.5%
Sean Clifford run for 11 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
42.5%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-55
42.5%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Cam Taylor-Britt return for 55 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5646% → 47%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
46.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+4
46.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
46.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 4Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
46.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 5Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
46.9%
Connor Culp 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:2054% → 50%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
46.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
46.6%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+9
46.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 9 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
46.4%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
46.2%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+11
46.3%
Devyn Ford run for 11 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
45.9%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Dotson, Jahan, PENALTY NEB holding (Domann, JoJo) 10 yards to the NEB42, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
45.7%
Sean Clifford run for 8 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
45.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
45.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 2 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+14
45.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 14 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
45.2%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
45.4%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the Neb 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
50.5%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
50.3%
Jake Pinegar 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4951% → 60%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
51.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+17
51.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Smith) to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
60.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 45 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:2543% → 28%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
57.3%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
57.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 6 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
57.0%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
57.0%
Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+26
71.8%
Sean Clifford sacked by Deontai Williams for a loss of 13 yards Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by Neb Deontai Williams , return for 0 yards , return for 26 yds (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:4127% → 28%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.9%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
72.4%
Caziah Holmes run for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
72.3%
Will Levis run for no gain to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+36
72.6%
Caziah Holmes run for 36 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
70.8%
Caziah Holmes run for 6 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
70.5%
Caziah Holmes run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
71.3%
Devyn Ford run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
71.3%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
70.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 10 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
70.5%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
70.5%
Devyn Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
71.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson PENN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+40
71.9%
Jake Pinegar 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Alante Brown, broken up by Jesse LuketaSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
72.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Levi Falck for 21 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
73.2%
PENN ST Penalty, offside defense (PJ Mustipher) to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
72.9%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+8
73.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 8 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
73.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
73.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-2
72.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 11
OPP 42
-5
71.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 47Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
71.2%
William Przystup punt for 38 yds, downed at the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
76.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Parker Washington for 19 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
75.1%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
74.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
75.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Devyn FordSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+25
75.8%
Jordan Stout punt for 34 yds , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 25 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
14 plays · 35 yds · 1:3978% → 87%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
77.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
77.5%
Ronald Thompkins run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
76.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for no gain to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+6
76.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
77.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
77.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+14
76.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Marvin Scott III for 14 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
76.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
78.9%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the PnSt 6Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-1
76.3%
Marvin Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 7Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
86.5%
Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1714% → 12%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
86.3%
Will Levis pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 20 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
85.7%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+6
85.5%
Devyn Ford run for 6 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
85.5%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
85.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
85.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Parker Washington, broken up by Deontai WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+34
88.1%
Jordan Stout 56 yd FG MISSED , Cam Taylor-Britt return for 34 yds to the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
90.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 22 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
91.1%
Marvin Scott III run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
91.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 1 yd to the PnSt 42Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
90.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
90.2%
William Przystup punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:5310% → 24%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
90.5%
Will Levis run for 6 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
90.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 2 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+3
90.2%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
90.3%
Levis, Will pass incomplete to Washington, P., PENALTY NEB pass interference (Farmer, Myles) 14 yards to the PSU43, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
90.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 21 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+31
75.7%
Keyvone Lee run for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
81.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Austin Allen for 10 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
81.4%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Ellis Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+21
80.4%
William Przystup punt for 47 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 21 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 5:0321% → 20%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
79.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Parker Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
78.6%
Will Levis run for 11 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
77.5%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
77.7%
Will Levis run for 10 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
77.0%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+5
77.0%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.0%
Will Levis run for no gain to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.0%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
78.2%
Will Levis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
80.1%
Jake Pinegar 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:2781% → 96%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
82.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
84.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
84.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
84.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 9 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
84.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Shaka Toney) to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
87.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 14Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
87.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+2
86.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the PnSt 7Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 2
OPP 7
-5
85.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 12Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
95.7%
Connor Culp 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1410% → 30%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+74
90.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 74 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
86.7%
Will Levis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.8%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0083% → 85%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
82.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted Brandon Smith return for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 37 yds · 3:5123% → 15%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
76.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-SmithSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
77.5%
Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
77.1%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson, broken up by Pheldarius PayneSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
76.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Daniel George, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
77.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Devyn Ford for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+11
78.9%
Will Levis pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 11 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
73.8%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
73.8%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+4
75.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
73.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
73.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
83.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 10
OPP 11
0
85.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Parker Washington, broken up by Marquel DismukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5092% → 93%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
91.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+2
91.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
93.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kade Warner, broken up by Jaquan BriskerSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
92.6%
William Przystup punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 1:5711% → 9%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
89.1%
Will Levis run for 14 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
88.1%
Will Levis pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 4 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
87.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 9 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
86.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Parker Washington for 15 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
83.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson, broken up by Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
85.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+11
85.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Parker Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
86.2%
Will Levis sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
91.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:20
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q3 7:51
Keyvone Lee run for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
-14.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Connor Culp 25 yd FG GOOD
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com