Try the model
IOWA

Iowa 35 at Minnesota 7

MINN
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2020 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:46 · Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Pregame prior−6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:42: Nico Ragaini run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:31: Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:27: IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Banwart) to the Minn 36 — IOWA win probability +3.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:36: Tyler Goodson run for 45 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +3.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:12: Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan PAT MISSED) — IOWA win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:34IOWA 4th & 6 at MINN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:46MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:56MINN 4th & 7 at IOWA 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:13MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:25IOWA 4th & 19 at MINN 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30IOWA 4th & 16 at MINN 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:47MINN 4th & 13 at MINN 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:45IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:49MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−1.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:49MINN 4th & 7 at IOWA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:00MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 5:42IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:31IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:12IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:56IOWA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:37IOWA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:14MINN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:2157% → 56%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
43.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
43.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
43.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 12 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
43.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
43.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
43.3%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
43.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds , Phillip Howard returns for no gain to the Minn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3944% → 44%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
43.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
43.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 10Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+9
43.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
44.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
44.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5856% → 59%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
44.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 16 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
43.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 12 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
43.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 12 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
43.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
43.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 8 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
43.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 10 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Nico Ragaini run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:4642% → 41%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
41.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 19 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
41.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+6
41.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+3
41.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+15
41.0%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
42.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
42.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
41.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3859% → 61%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
40.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 3
OPP 0
-19
39.1%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted James Gordon IV return for 4 yds to the Minn 26 MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mariano Sori-Marin) to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5842% → 41%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
41.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 5
50
0
42.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 5
50
-5
42.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
40.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 11 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
42.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
42.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
42.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed IbrahimSimilar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
40.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 26 yds, downed at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:2060% → 72%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
40.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
40.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 14 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
39.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+6
39.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
38.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mariano Sori-Marin) to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
38.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
38.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
38.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
37.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
37.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
37.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
37.5%
Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
37.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
28.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0130% → 29%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
30.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
29.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 6 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-2
29.4%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Jack Campbell for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
28.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:3972% → 73%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
27.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
27.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
26.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
26.7%
Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
26.2%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 16
OPP 42
0
26.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 16
OPP 42
-3
26.5%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 19
OPP 45
0
26.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:4326% → 26%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
26.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
26.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 6 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-19
26.0%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Jack Koerner return for 19 yds to the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5777% → 76%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
22.6%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Banwart) to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+4
22.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 16
OPP 32
0
22.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 16
OPP 32
0
22.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+50
24.1%
Keith Duncan 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:2425% → 25%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
24.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
25.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 8 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
26.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
25.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
24.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:5825% → 23%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
24.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
24.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for no gain to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-5
23.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 18Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
22.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds, downed at the Iowa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5579% → 78%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
21.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
20.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
21.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15MISSED FG
19 plays · 74 yds · 10:4823% → 16%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
22.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+5
22.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
21.3%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 12Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+24
20.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 24 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
21.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+13
20.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
21.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
21.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
21.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
20.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Blaise Andries) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+7
19.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Cam Wiley for 7 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+12
19.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
19.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+3
19.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
19.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
19.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-1
16.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
15.6%
Brock Walker 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jack KoernerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:2488% → 97%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+45
12.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 45 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
10.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+18
8.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 18 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
8.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
2.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17INT
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:043% → 3%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
3.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
50
+7
3.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
3.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
3.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
3.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-57
3.0%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Riley Moss return for 57 yds to the Minn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:4398% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+28
1.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 28 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
1.8%
Spencer Petras run for 7 yds to the Minn 1Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd for a TD (T. Goodson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Ko KieftSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
0.2%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+36
0.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 36 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
0.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 14 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:160% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 12 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
0.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
0.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
0.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
0.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
0.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Cam Wiley for 7 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+9
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 10 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:31
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q4 13:12
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan PAT MISSED)
-5.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:27
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Banwart) to the Minn 36
-3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com