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NU

Northwestern 27 at Purdue 20

PUR
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:12 · Brooks Cormier punt for 51 yds, downed at the Nwest 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−1.4Pregame prior−7.2Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:27: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 40 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +8.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:06: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +9.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:39: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +13.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:34: Charlie Kuhbander 42 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +7.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:35: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 14 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +19.1 pts (now 31%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:00PUR 4th & 5 at NU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32NU 4th & 9 at NU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45NU 4th & 10 at NU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:20PUR 4th & 3 at NU 13, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07NU 4th & 11 at PUR 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:07PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:27PUR 4th & 1 at NU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−3.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:06PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:50NU 4th & 7 at NU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:24PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−1.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:09NU 4th & 7 at PUR 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:45PUR 4th & 6 at NU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−5.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:45NU 4th & 2 at PUR 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−3.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:34NU 4th & 16 at PUR 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−6.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:04PUR 4th & 4 at NU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:35NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:38PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:45NU 4th & 3 at NU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:04PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:00NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:27PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:06NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:39NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:35PUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0058% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+16
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 16 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
41.7%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
41.7%
Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
41.7%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+7
41.7%
Kyric McGowan run for 7 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
41.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Jesse Brown for 7 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
41.7%
Jesse Brown run for 2 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
41.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
41.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
40.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 8 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
41.2%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
41.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+16
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 16 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
41.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Zander HorvathSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+5
41.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY NU offside (Adebawore,A) 5 yards to the NU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
41.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
41.3%
Brooks Cormier punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
40.8%
Kyric McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+3
40.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
41.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+4
41.3%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
41.4%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
41.5%
Milton Wright run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
41.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
41.2%
Brooks Cormier punt for 51 yds, downed at the Nwest 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
40.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-2
40.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 1Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
41.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
41.3%
Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0342% → 44%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
42.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 18 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
42.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 1 yd to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
42.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
41.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
43.7%
J.D. Dellinger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1357% → 61%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
43.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 18 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
42.1%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
42.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-4
42.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+11
42.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 11 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
41.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 17 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
41.3%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+3
41.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
42.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+46
38.9%
Charlie Kuhbander 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
39.5%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 22 Zander Horvath fumbled, recovered by Prdue Zander HorvathSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
39.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY NU pass interference (Newsome II, G) 15 yards to the PUR37, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.0%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
40.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-9
39.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
38.3%
Zac Collins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
38.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
38.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete, broken up by Lorenzo NealSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Cam Allen return for no gain to the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:1940% → 49%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
40.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
41.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
41.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
41.0%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+40
49.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 40 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2156% → 67%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
44.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
43.3%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 41 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by DaMarcus Mitchell, recovered by Nwest Drake AndersonSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+12
45.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
43.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 7 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
43.1%
Hull,Evan rush for no gain to the PUR40 (Cory Trice), PENALTY PUR substitution infraction 5 yards to the PUR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+7
42.3%
Kyric McGowan run for 7 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
42.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
42.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 7 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
42.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 9 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 1
OPP 8
-10
42.4%
Mcgowan,Kyric rush for 8 yards to the PUR0, clock 03:13, PENALTY NU holding (Mangieri,C) 10 yards to the PUR18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
32.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
37.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 1 yd to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
36.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Greg Newsome IISimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
35.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Greg Newsome IISimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
35.2%
Zac Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2766% → 64%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-2
32.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 34 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, forced by Marvin Grant,Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
34.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Cory TriceSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
35.8%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1637% → 36%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
37.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
36.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 9 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-2
35.8%
Aidan O'Connell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 3
OWN 33
-2
35.6%
Zac Collins punt for 32 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
33.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
35.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 3 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
35.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+1
34.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
33.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 31 yds, downed at the Nwest 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
31.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 12 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
31.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Brennan ThienemanSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
32.4%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.3%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
33.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY NU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY PUR ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
34.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
32.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY NU pass interference (Newsome II, G) 15 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
34.8%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
35.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
33.9%
Aidan O'Connell run for 4 yds to the Prdue 18 Aidan O'Connell fumbled, forced by Eku Leota, recovered by Nwest Paddy Fisher , return for 22 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:2971% → 84%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
29.2%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+8
29.4%
Malik Washington run for 8 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+7
29.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 7 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
29.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:5419% → 23%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
19.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 19 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
21.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
21.4%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+21
21.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 21 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
22.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-5
22.4%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (DJ Washington) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+14
22.4%
Zander Horvath run for 14 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Earnest Brown IVSimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
23.4%
J.D. Dellinger 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:1177% → 90%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
22.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
22.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 15 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
20.7%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
20.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
21.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+7
22.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 7 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
20.6%
Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
16.9%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+12
17.3%
Kyric McGowan run for 12 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
16.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-6
17.0%
Kyric McGowan run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 24
0
17.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
10.3%
Charlie Kuhbander 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 4:5913% → 31%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jared Sparks (Heard,Rod), PENALTY NU offside (Leota,Eku) 5 yards to the PUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
13.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 17 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
14.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Blake Gallagher for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
12.8%
PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+25
12.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 25 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
15.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
14.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+2
15.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 2 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+6
10.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
11.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson, PENALTY NU substitution infraction 5 yards to the NU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+4
11.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
11.9%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+1
11.3%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
11.9%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Spencer Holstege) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 14
OPP 20
+6
11.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
30.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 14 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
17.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
18.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
19.3%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
19.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
20.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 33
-5
19.3%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (Zac Collins) to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
17.5%
Zac Collins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
12.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
11.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete, broken up by Lorenzo NealSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
13.0%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0120% → 14%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
19.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
19.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
20.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 3 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
21.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by A.J. HamptonSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-7
19.9%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
13.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0494% → 96%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
5.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
4.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
4.3%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-3
4.5%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:35
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 14 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+19.1
TD · Q3 7:39
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-13.5
TD · Q2 3:06
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com