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ILL

Illinois 23 at Rutgers 20

RUTG
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-4.6RUTG 64.1%James McCourt 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 13 · Q3 8:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:59 · James McCourt 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+6.6Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:45: Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +5.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:43: Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 66 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +11.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:54: Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +18.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 13:02: James McCourt 23 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +9.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: James McCourt 47 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +34.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:03RUTG 4th & 3 at ILL 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:41RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33RUTG 4th & 11 at ILL 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:03RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:46ILL 4th & 9 at RUTG 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:21ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:19RUTG 4th & 4 at ILL 8, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.1%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:12ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:59ILL 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−9.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:53ILL 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−6.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:02ILL 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−12.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:19RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−5.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:20ILL 4th & 2 at RUTG 36, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%−6.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−8.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:07ILL 4th & 5 at RUTG 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−20.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:03RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:45ILL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:43RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:54ILL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4267% → 67%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.6%
Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+32
66.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 32 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
66.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
66.7%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+5
66.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+29
67.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 29 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2833% → 32%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
67.1%
Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+9
67.2%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+15
67.3%
Isaiah Williams run for 15 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
67.2%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
67.4%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
67.7%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
67.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3668% → 68%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
67.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
67.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
67.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 66 yds, downed at the Illin 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4132% → 32%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
68.1%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 6Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+15
68.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Julius Turner) to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
68.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the Illin 29 Isaiah Williams fumbled, forced by Mike Tverdov, recovered by Rutgr Max MeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5769% → 70%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
69.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+26
69.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 26 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
69.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 7Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
69.6%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
69.6%
Noah Vedral sacked by Jake Hansen for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 11Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
69.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 5:3731% → 37%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
69.0%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
69.1%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 18Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+15
70.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Onyechi) to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.5%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
69.9%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Donny Navarro for 15 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
69.3%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
69.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Michael Dwumfour) to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
69.2%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+22
69.3%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Daniel Barker for 22 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
68.1%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
68.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+6
68.9%
Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
68.7%
Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.3%
Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3266% → 64%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
64.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 33 yds, fair catch by James Frenchie Jr. at the Illin 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1435% → 35%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.8%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Chase BrownSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
64.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+19
66.5%
Isaiah Williams run for 19 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
63.8%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-1
63.9%
Isaiah Williams sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
65.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5965% → 64%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
65.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Roderick Perry II) to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
65.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
64.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 7
OWN 29
-5
64.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
63.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro at the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0235% → 34%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
65.0%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
65.0%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
65.1%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Donny NavarroSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
65.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FG
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5166% → 72%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
66.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 6 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
66.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
66.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 23 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
68.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+29
68.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 29 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
69.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
69.0%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+3
68.2%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
72.1%
Valentino Ambrosio 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5831% → 30%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.7%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Kyron CumbySimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
69.5%
Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
69.1%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+59
70.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 59 yds , Avery Young returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
13 plays · 64 yds · 2:4871% → 73%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
71.2%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+15
71.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
72.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
72.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
72.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+10
71.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
50
+6
74.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+8
74.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 8 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.4%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
74.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+7
73.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Christian Dremel for 7 yds to the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:5330% → 36%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
70.3%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
70.6%
Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
71.3%
Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
69.5%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
68.2%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
68.1%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+39
67.7%
Chase Brown run for 39 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
65.6%
Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.6%
Mike Epstein run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.7%
Mike Epstein run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.2%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
68.7%
Williams, Isaiah pass complete to Navarro, Donny for 1 yard to the RUTGERS0, PENALTY ILLINOIS ineligible downfield on pass (Green, Kendrick) 5 yards to the RUTGERS6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
64.1%
James McCourt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:5767% → 80%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
67.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
68.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
67.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+66
79.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 66 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3621% → 41%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
79.0%
Isaiah Williams run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
77.9%
Epstein, Mike rush for 8 yards to the RUTGERS37, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Lowe, Vederian) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+10
79.7%
Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+22
78.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
76.6%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Casey Washington for 20 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Michael Dwumfour) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.8%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.3%
Williams, Isaiah pass incomplete to Imatorbhebhe, Josh, PENALTY RUTGERS pass interference (Young, Avery) 1 yards to the RUTGERS1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.3%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:5267% → 69%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
67.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+8
68.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
68.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 16 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
70.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
70.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-4
68.7%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Jake Hansen return for 4 yds to the Illin 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:2134% → 47%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
65.6%
Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
64.8%
Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
63.1%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
62.9%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
64.1%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
63.0%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+25
64.5%
Isaiah Williams run for 25 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
61.3%
Mike Epstein run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
61.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.2%
Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.0%
Isaiah Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
53.2%
James McCourt 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4160% → 56%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
59.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
59.8%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
60.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-3
61.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Paul Woods for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
57.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
55.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, fair catch by James Frenchie Jr. at the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:2846% → 49%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
53.8%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+20
51.1%
Chase Brown run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
48.7%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-1
48.0%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
49.7%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+54
51.3%
James McCourt 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4262% → 63%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
63.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
62.9%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Devon Witherspoon return for no gain to the Illin 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:3847% → 52%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
52.8%
Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
49.1%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+26
51.0%
Isaiah Williams run for 26 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
44.5%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
44.1%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
46.4%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
48.2%
James McCourt 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:4557% → 63%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
57.4%
Noah Vedral run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
60.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
61.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+16
59.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 16 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-26
63.0%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Nate Hobbs return for 26 yds to the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:0957% → 96%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
43.3%
Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+16
43.8%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Casey Washington for 16 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.7%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 37 Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by Illin Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+16
43.5%
Isaiah Williams pass complete to Casey Washington for 16 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+47
4.3%
James McCourt 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 lat. to Isaih Pacheco for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
James McCourt 47 yd FG GOOD
-34.3
TD · Q3 4:54
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)
-18
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com