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MD

Maryland 35 at Penn State 19

PSU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jordan Stout punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+39.6Home team on offense−6.0Score differential−3.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:19: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 62 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +3.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:49: Jake Funk run for 38 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +10.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:45: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +14.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q3 12:55: Sean Clifford sacked by Nick Cross for a loss of 10 yards Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by Mary Chance Campbell , return for 0 yards , return for 34 yds (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +24.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:11: Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:21PSU 4th & 3 at MD 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23MD 4th & 7 at MD 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:15PSU 4th & 19 at PSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32MD 4th & 7 at PSU 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:45PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:10PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29MD 4th & 11 at PSU 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:36PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:34MD 4th & 11 at PSU 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 2 at MD 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16MD 4th & 8 at MD 48, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:05MD 4th & 11 at PSU 46, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:27MD 4th & 1 at MD 41, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:11PSU 4th & 1 at MD 1, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:27MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:19MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:32PSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:45MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:16PSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:11PSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:334% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
96.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 19 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.1%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
96.1%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+42
95.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 42 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
95.4%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+13
95.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 13 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.5%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
95.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 10 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.5%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+13
95.5%
Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
95.5%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+9
95.5%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Jones, TJ, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Deonte Banks) 9 yards to the UMD14, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.5%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
95.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
95.5%
Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 7
0
95.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
93.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 2
OWN 15
-1
93.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 14Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+4
93.5%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for no gain to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
93.5%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
93.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim Jarrett, broken up by Jaquan Brisker MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+11
93.6%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 44 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 11 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
92.5%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
50
0
92.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 6
50
-13
92.5%
Sean Clifford sacked by Chance Campbell and Sam Okuayinonu for a loss of 13 yards to the PnSt 37Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 19
OWN 37
0
92.0%
Jordan Stout punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:319% → 12%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
91.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 12 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
91.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
91.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+62
88.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 62 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1489% → 88%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.5%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
88.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
88.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington, broken up by Nick CrossSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.1%
Jordan Stout punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5113% → 23%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.4%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
87.2%
Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
87.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Peny Boone for 9 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
87.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
87.2%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
87.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 15 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
87.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Shane Simmons for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 38 MARYLAND Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Taulia Tagovailoa) to the PnSt 38Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+38
76.8%
Jake Funk run for 38 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1779% → 80%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 2 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
79.0%
Devyn Ford run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 21Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
78.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 16 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
79.5%
Devyn Ford run for 15 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
80.1%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
80.1%
Caziah Holmes run for 10 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
80.2%
Caziah Holmes run for 1 yd to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
80.1%
Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+17
80.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 17 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
79.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 20 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
77.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 14 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
76.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
76.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 2 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+7
76.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds to the PENNST 44 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
76.3%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
76.3%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
76.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by Jonathan SutherlandSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
77.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 30 yds, downed at the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
71.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth, broken up by Nick CrossSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
71.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson, broken up by Jakorian BennettSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+15
70.8%
Sean Clifford run for 15 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
71.7%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
71.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
71.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
70.8%
Jordan Stout punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 0:5632% → 50%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
67.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jake Funk for 4 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
67.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs, broken up by Curtis JacobsSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+29
68.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 29 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete, broken up by PJ MustipherSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
66.0%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+34
50.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:3556% → 57%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.6%
Sean Clifford sacked by Jordan Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
55.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
54.9%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.7%
Jordan Stout punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
49.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0553% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington, broken up by Tarheeb StillSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
52.5%
Sean Clifford run for 11 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
53.9%
Clifford, Sean pass complete to Dotson, Jahan for 8 yards to the PSU44, PENALTY PSU holding (Fries, Will) 10 yards to the PSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+16
52.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 16 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
55.0%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+34
30.8%
Sean Clifford sacked by Nick Cross for a loss of 10 yards Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by Mary Chance Campbell , return for 0 yards , return for 34 yds (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15MISSED FG
17 plays · 48 yds · 5:2031% → 18%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
30.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 18 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
31.4%
Caziah Holmes run for 6 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
30.1%
Caziah Holmes run for 10 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
33.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-SmithSimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
32.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 13 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
34.4%
PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (Rasheed Walker) to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 15
OPP 38
-5
33.5%
PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+7
33.3%
Sean Clifford run for 7 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+12
32.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 12 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
32.8%
Caziah Holmes run for 2 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
22.9%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
23.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
23.4%
Sean Clifford sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 15
OPP 16
-16
21.2%
Sean Clifford sacked by Ruben Hyppolite II for a loss of 16 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 31
OPP 32
+49
18.4%
Jake Pinegar 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
9.2%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
9.2%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+16
9.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
50
+10
8.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
8.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 1 yd to the PnSt 39Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
8.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
8.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-5
10.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
10.0%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 40 yds, downed at the PnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
11.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
11.1%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete, broken up by TEAMSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+14
11.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 14 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+24
11.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 24 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
12.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 7 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-1
11.5%
Devyn Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
11.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 4
OWN 45
-7
11.3%
Sean Clifford sacked by Ruben Hyppolite II for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
4.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Shane Simmons and Judge Culpepper for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 18
OPP 46
-5
4.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Brandon Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 23
OWN 49
+12
4.2%
Peny Boone run for 12 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
4.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 37 yds, downed at the PnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
18 plays · 98 yds · 5:124% → 5%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
3.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+11
3.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 11 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
3.6%
Sean Clifford sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+8
3.4%
Devyn Ford run for 8 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
3.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
3.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 13 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
3.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
3.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Isaac Lutz, broken up by Tarheeb StillSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+10
3.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 10 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
4.1%
PENN ST Penalty, false start (Rasheed Walker) to the PnSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
3.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
3.6%
Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the PnSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+13
3.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 13 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+7
4.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
4.1%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Strange, B., PENALTY UMD pass interference (A. Richardson) 15 yards to the UMD23, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
4.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Brenton StrangeSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
5.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 23 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
2.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 21 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
2.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+3
2.3%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
2.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
2.4%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
3.1%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Kenny Bennett return for no gain to the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
1.6%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
1.6%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-5
1.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 47Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+1
1.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the PnSt 46 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
1.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
1.6%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to George, Daniel (Justin Brown), PENALTY UMD offside defense (J. Boletepeli) 5 yards to the PSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+4
1.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 4 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+11
1.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 11 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
1.7%
Sean Clifford run for 8 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
1.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
1.3%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Taulia Tagovailoa return for no gain to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
0.8%
Peny Boone run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-5
0.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, illegal procedure (Johari Branch) to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+8
0.9%
Jake Funk run for 8 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+9
0.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
0.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:091% → 3%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
1.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 21 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
1.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 11 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
1.1%
Sean Clifford run for 17 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
1.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 18 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
1.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 8 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.5%
Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.4%
Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q3 12:55
Sean Clifford sacked by Nick Cross for a loss of 10 yards Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by Mary Chance Campbell , return for 0 yards , return for 34 yds (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-24.2
TD · Q2 0:45
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 11:49
Jake Funk run for 38 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com