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RUTG

Rutgers 27 at Ohio State 49

OSU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:06 · Adam Korsak punt for 50 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for no gain to the OhSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+38.2Home team on offense+18.8Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Justin Fields run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK) — OSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:30: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:42: Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK) — OSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:22: Master Teague III run for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK) — OSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:17: Johnny Langan run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RUTG win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:56RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:11RUTG 4th & 12 at OSU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:37OSU 4th & 7 at RUTG 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:32RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:46RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:25OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 36, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:06RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:43OSU 4th & 11 at RUTG 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:59RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 3, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:31OSU 4th & 16 at RUTG 47, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:19RUTG 4th & 1 at OSU 21, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:45RUTG 4th & 7 at OSU 10, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:46OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 6, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:17RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 17, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54RUTG 4th & 3 at OSU 25, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 10:05OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:30OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:42OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:22OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:08RUTG Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:49OSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:55RUTG Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:15OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:17RUTG Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:441% → 2%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.6%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
98.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-4
98.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+2
98.5%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
98.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:4398% → 98%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
98.4%
Master Teague III run for 25 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 5 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
98.3%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
98.3%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
98.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
98.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 38 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:442% → 2%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
98.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
50
-3
98.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+8
98.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+22
98.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 22 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
98.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 20 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Antwuan Jackson) to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
97.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cedrice Paillant) to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
97.8%
Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
97.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 6:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
97.7%
Guy Fava 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:1898% → 97%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
97.7%
Garrett Wilson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tre Avery) to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
97.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
-6
97.7%
Justin Fields sacked by Robin Jutwreten for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+1
97.6%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:563% → 3%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
97.4%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+1
97.3%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+4
97.3%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+4
97.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 49 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for 4 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:3197% → 98%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
97.1%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
97.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Aaron Lewis) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.0%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 9
50
+9
97.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
97.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 34 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.5%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
97.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
97.4%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
97.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:1197% → 98%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-10
97.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Harry Miller) to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+12
97.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 12 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+38
97.2%
Steele Chambers run for 38 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julius Turner) to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+4
97.4%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 1
OPP 17
-2
97.4%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+12
97.3%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.3%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:092% → 2%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 2 yds Aron Cruickshank fumbled, forced by Justin Hilliard, recovered by OhSt Justin HilliardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:2398% → 99%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
98.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Harry Miller) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+7
98.2%
Steele Chambers run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-11
98.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Harry Miller) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 23
OPP 45
+22
98.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 22 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
98.0%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
98.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
98.0%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+4
98.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
98.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
97.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 50 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for no gain to the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.0%
Justin Fields sacked by CJ Onyechi for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 21Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+12
99.1%
Demario McCall run for 12 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+27
99.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Demario McCall for 27 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 8 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+23
99.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 23 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Master Teague III run for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-8
99.8%
Noah Vedral sacked by Tuf Borland for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 17 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
99.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 20
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+9
99.7%
Justin Fields run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+9
99.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 9 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.7%
Steele Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-5
99.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+6
99.7%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+66
99.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 66 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Raiqwon O'Neal run for 4 yds for a TD RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 8 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:16100% → 100%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Christian Izien) to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.6%
Master Teague III run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+3
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 3 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 6 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
99.6%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 2 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.6%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+26
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 26 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
99.8%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Touching (Bo Melton) to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+7
99.9%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Taron Vincent) to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for no gain to the OhSt 6Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:56100% → 99%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-4
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 14
OWN 2
+2
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+2
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+58
99.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 52 yds , Avery Young returns for no gain Bo Melton return for 58 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Justin Fields run for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
99.5%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:530% → 1%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 7 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Paul Woods for 7 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Paul Woods for 6 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+31
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 31 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+11
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 11 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.6%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 36 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.7%
Steele Chambers run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8 Steele Chambers fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Mike TverdovSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24FUMBLE
25 plays · 82 yds · 3:571% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.5%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
99.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+3
99.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 12 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+10
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Paul Woods for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski run for 8 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski run for no gain to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 7 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+4
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 4 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
99.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 5 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyreke Johnson) to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 7Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.8%
Artur Sitkowski run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 10 Artur Sitkowski fumbled, recovered by OhSt Dallas GantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:42
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 9:30
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q4 7:17
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com