Try the model
MICH

Michigan 21 at Indiana 38

IU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:17 · Brad Robbins punt for 66 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense+6.0Pregame prior−7.9Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:56: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +10.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:01: Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +11.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:39: Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +13.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:43: Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 21 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +15.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:40: Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +7.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:27MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50IU 4th & 6 at IU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19IU 4th & 1 at IU 25, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:53IU 4th & 5 at MICH 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23MICH 4th & 23 at MICH 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:58IU 4th & 6 at MICH 46, up 17
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−2.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:11MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:44IU 4th & 4 at IU 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:13IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:07IU 4th & 1 at MICH 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−2.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29IU 4th & 1 at MICH 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:57IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:41IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:56IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:01MICH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:39IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:43MICH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:40IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1763% → 63%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
36.9%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 21Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-3
37.1%
Giles Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 18Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
37.4%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
37.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:2338% → 42%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
37.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 20 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
37.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
38.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 3 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+6
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 6 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
38.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
39.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
39.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
39.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
39.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
40.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
40.0%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Hendershot, Peyton, PENALTY MICHIGAN offside (Vilain, Luiji) 5 yards to the MICHIGAN13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
42.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 13 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0159% → 57%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.3%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
41.7%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 22Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
42.7%
Joe Milton run for 10 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
43.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5543% → 43%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
43.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
43.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
43.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:5856% → 61%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.6%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+24
43.8%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 24 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
43.2%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamar Johnson) to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
39.3%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0241% → 48%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
40.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 12 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+31
41.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 31 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
42.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
43.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 5 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
47.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 24 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5754% → 52%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.3%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.1%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.8%
Brad Robbins punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1448% → 48%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
47.5%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-1
48.0%
Sampson James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
47.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+2
48.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 50 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 2 yds to the Mich 27 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (DJ Turner) to the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1051% → 49%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
48.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
48.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+12
49.3%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
48.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
49.2%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
49.9%
Joe Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+5
51.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 5 yds to the Ind 47 INDIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Thomas Allen) to the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:5351% → 56%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
51.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+16
51.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 16 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
52.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
52.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+10
51.7%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Green, Gemon) 10 yards to the INDIANA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
53.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
53.6%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+22
54.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 22 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
56.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
56.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+52
55.7%
Charles Campbell 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2244% → 41%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
56.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
57.3%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick AllSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
58.8%
Brad Robbins punt for 66 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 4:1557% → 81%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
56.5%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+9
56.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Sampson James for 9 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
57.8%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+18
58.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 18 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+35
60.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 35 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
62.2%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
63.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 10 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
64.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
64.1%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:2425% → 24%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
75.4%
Joe Milton pass complete to Chris Evans for 23 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.7%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
74.4%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-13
75.0%
Joe Milton sacked by Reese Taylor for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 23
OWN 35
0
76.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
79.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:5577% → 80%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.7%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hawkins, Brad) 15 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
77.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
77.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
50
0
78.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 10
50
+4
79.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
80.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4019% → 33%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
80.7%
Corum, Blake rush for 2 yards to the MICHIGAN22, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Vastardis, Andrew) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+23
81.1%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 23 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+52
80.5%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 52 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
78.5%
Joe Milton run for 1 yd to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
79.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
67.4%
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1671% → 90%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 16 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
72.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 10 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
73.6%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mich 48Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+14
74.0%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Gray, Vincent) 14 yards to the MICHIGAN34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
75.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
75.7%
Sampson James run for 7 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
75.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
76.8%
Penix Jr., Michael rush for 2 yards to the MICHIGAN21, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Crider, Harry) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+32
77.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 32 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1711% → 10%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
88.8%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 22 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
88.9%
Joe Milton sacked by D.K. Bonhomme for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Brad Robbins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2191% → 92%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
90.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-15
91.2%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Fryfogle, Ty) 15 yards to the INDIANA14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 25
OWN 14
+13
91.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 13 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+8
91.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
92.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jacolby HewittSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+12
91.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:569% → 24%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.2%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.4%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+22
91.7%
Joe Milton pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 22 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
91.5%
Joe Milton pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
90.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 14 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
75.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 21 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2282% → 80%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22INT
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:3820% → 21%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
80.3%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-36
79.1%
Joe Milton pass intercepted Jaylin Williams return for 36 yds to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:4385% → 96%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
84.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 15 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
85.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
85.3%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Mich 6Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
84.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
84.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mich 2Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24INT
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:274% → 3%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
95.7%
Joe Milton pass complete to Blake Corum for 21 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
95.6%
Milton, Joe pass complete to Corum, Blake for 6 yards to the INDIANA48, PENALTY MICHIGAN unnecessary roughness (Barnhart, Karsen) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+11
96.0%
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 11 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
96.1%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+17
96.2%
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
95.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
95.5%
Joe Milton pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 10 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.7%
Joe Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
96.1%
Milton, Joe pass incomplete to Bell, Ronnie, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Vastardis, Andrew) 10 yards to the INDIANA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 20
OPP 35
-5
96.2%
Joe Milton sacked by James Head Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 25
OPP 40
-24
97.5%
Joe Milton pass intercepted Devon Matthews return for 24 yds to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25Uncategorized
14 plays · 20 yds · 4:3197% → 99%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
97.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
97.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 5
50
+3
98.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
98.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+6
98.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:43
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 21 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-15
TD · Q3 4:39
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
+13.4
TD · Q3 9:01
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com