Try the model
NEB

Nebraska 13 at Northwestern 21

NU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Ryan Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:02 · Charlie Kuhbander 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+10.2Home team on offense+3.0Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.5Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:25: Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +20.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:54: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +14.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:56: Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28 — NU win probability +6.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:53: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +19.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:05: Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 10 — NU win probability +9.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 14 at NU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12NU 4th & 1 at NU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:15NU 4th & 2 at NU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:46NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:02NU 4th & 7 at NEB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−1.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:29NEB 4th & 6 at NU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:54NEB 4th & 17 at NU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:54NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:13NEB 4th & 9 at NU 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−4.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:47NU 4th & 2 at NU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.8
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:54NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:37NU 4th & 12 at NEB 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−2.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:56NU 4th & 3 at NU 27, up 1
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−4.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:24NU 4th & 16 at NU 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:07NEB 4th & 4 at NU 14, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 11.8 ptsWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−11.8
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−16.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:29NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:25NEB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:54NU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:53NU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
63.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
63.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
63.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 14 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
63.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 10 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
63.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-5
63.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Boe Wilson) to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-10
63.1%
Martinez, A. rush for 12 yards to the NU21, out-of-bounds, PENALTY NEB holding (Benhart, Bryce) 10 yards to the NU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 43
0
63.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+4
63.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
63.1%
William Przystup punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4363% → 66%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
63.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
63.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
63.1%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+5
63.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+12
63.1%
Drake Anderson run for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
63.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+41
65.7%
Drake Anderson run for 41 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Matt Farniok) to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
65.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
65.1%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
65.3%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, offside defense (Eku Leota) to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
65.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
65.3%
William Przystup punt for 30 yds, downed at the Nwest 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
65.7%
Kyric McGowan run for 7 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
65.8%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
65.5%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
65.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-7
65.9%
Martinez, A. pass incomplete to Robinson, W., PENALTY NEB holding (Jaimes, Brenden) 7 yards to the NEB8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 13
OWN 8
0
66.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 13
OWN 8
0
66.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 13
OWN 8
+8
66.5%
William Przystup punt for 47 yds , Riley Lees returns for 8 yds to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:4567% → 67%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
67.1%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
67.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+13
66.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 13 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
67.2%
Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-4
66.9%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
66.8%
Charlie Kuhbander 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:3334% → 37%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
66.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+25
66.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 25 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
65.2%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
65.4%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Nwest 45 Dedrick Mills fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian Martinez , return for 9 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
65.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
66.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
65.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
64.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
65.4%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
66.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
64.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Omar Manning, broken up by Chris BerginSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
64.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 4 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
65.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson, broken up by Earnest Brown IVSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
63.4%
Connor Culp 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.1%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-8
64.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Myles Farmer return for 8 yds to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:5738% → 37%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
62.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 28 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
61.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 13 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
61.3%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 13Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
61.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
62.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 12
OPP 13
-5
64.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Ty Robinson) to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 17
OPP 18
+36
63.5%
Connor Culp 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:1638% → 37%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
62.2%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
61.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
61.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
61.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 14 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
61.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 9 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
60.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 8 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
60.6%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
60.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Marcus FlemingSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+2
61.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
62.9%
Connor Culp 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3266% → 64%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.5%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
65.3%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
64.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
65.8%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
65.9%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-37
63.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Myles Farmer return for 37 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3849% → 49%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-8
50.4%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 25 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, recovered by Nwest Peyton Ramsey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.3%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
48.8%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Neb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:3053% → 56%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
46.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
45.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+15
46.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
50
0
43.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
50
0
44.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Marcus FlemingSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
50
0
44.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:5751% → 69%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
50.6%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+13
52.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 13 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.9%
Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman run for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
52.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
53.0%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+11
52.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
54.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
54.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+16
52.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 16 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
54.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Dedrick Mills) to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
63.7%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+21
64.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 6 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal block (Greg Newsome II) to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
61.0%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
62.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek, broken up by Greg Newsome IISimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+7
63.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
63.6%
William Przystup punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
64.3%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
64.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
64.6%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
65.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+20
63.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 43 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
68.0%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
67.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
67.3%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Ethan Wiederkehr) to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
65.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
63.0%
Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
8 plays · 67 yds · 0:0036% → 43%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
63.6%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
64.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+19
65.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
62.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 28 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
58.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+16
58.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive holding (Greg Newsome II) to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
57.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Joseph return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
63.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
65.7%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
63.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
61.5%
Derek Adams punt for 58 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for no gain to the Neb 10 Wan'Dale Robinson fumbled, recovered by Neb Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:4237% → 34%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
63.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 8 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+6
62.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Chris Hickman for 6 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
62.6%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Adetomiwa Adebawore for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 12
-5
63.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Ethan Piper) to the Neb 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 7
-3
63.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Dedrick Mills for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 30
OWN 4
+20
65.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 20 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+36
66.1%
William Przystup punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 44 , Riley Lees returns for 36 yds to the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:1369% → 89%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
68.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Evan Hull for 21 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
69.9%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-4
69.9%
Riley Lees run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+12
68.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
69.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, (Drake Anderson) to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
69.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23INT
12 plays · 70 yds · 0:0014% → 19%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
86.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 5 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+12
84.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Zavier Betts for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
84.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 17 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
82.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 18 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
80.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+15
80.8%
McCaffrey, Luke pass incomplete to Newsome, Q. (Ii,G. Newsome), PENALTY NU pass interference (Ii,G. Newsome) 15 yards to the NU3, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
80.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 8Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
80.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
82.5%
McCaffrey, Luke pass incomplete to Vokolek, Travis (Pace,Jr), PENALTY NU pass interference (Pace,Jr) 4 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
80.8%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 4Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
80.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted Chris Bergin return for 5 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 3:4190% → 95%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
90.4%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-1
90.3%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 9Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+14
89.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 14 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
90.6%
Kyric McGowan run for 24 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
91.6%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 44Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+2
95.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 11
OWN 46
-5
95.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman) to the Nwest 41Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+2
95.2%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Omar Manning returns for 2 yds to the Neb 43 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25DOWNS
15 plays · 78 yds · 2:076% → 7%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
94.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+10
93.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Quinton Newsome for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
93.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Dedrick Mills for no gain to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+8
92.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Quinton Newsome, broken up by Blake GallagherSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
92.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 15 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
89.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 11 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
88.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
88.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Levi Falck, broken up by Greg Newsome IISimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
91.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 6 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 4
OPP 14
0
92.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson, broken up by Cameron MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:25
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-20.4
TD · Q4 9:53
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+19.2
TD · Q3 9:54
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com