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OSU

Ohio State 38 at Penn State 25

PSU
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.8PSU 27.5%Jake Pinegar 31 Yd Field GoalAWAY 14 - HOME 3 · Q1 2:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:57 · Jake Pinegar 31 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense−3.0Pregame prior−19.2Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:23: Jeremy Ruckert 10 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Dominic DiMaccio Kick) — OSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jordan Stout 50 Yd Field Goal — PSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:14: Jahan Dotson 14 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:41: Chris Olave 49 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Dominic DiMaccio Kick) — OSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:30: Jahan Dotson 21 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Sean Clifford Run for Two-Point Conversion) — PSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:21PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:57PSU 4th & 13 at OSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:25OSU 4th & 3 at PSU 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:00PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:02OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:29PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:16PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 36, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:24PSU 4th & 12 at PSU 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:02OSU 4th & 4 at PSU 5, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:59OSU 4th & 1 at PSU 25, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−3.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−11.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:14OSU 4th & 1 at PSU 1, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−10.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:49OSU 4th & 17 at PSU 40, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13OSU 4th & 5 at PSU 5, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:43OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:39OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:23OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:14PSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:41OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:30PSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:14OSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:27PSU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0473% → 73%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
27.2%
Garrett Wilson run for 62 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
27.4%
Master Teague III run for 9 yds to the PnSt 4Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
27.2%
Master Teague III 4 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0427% → 28%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 9 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
27.5%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
27.6%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
27.9%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
28.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
27.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:3673% → 75%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
27.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
27.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
27.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds Chris Olave fumbled, forced by Lance Dixon, recovered by OhSt Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
27.6%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
27.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 7 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
25.1%
Chris Olave 26 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:1926% → 28%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.2%
Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.3%
Sean Clifford sacked by Zach Harrison and Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
26.1%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Freiermuth, Pat, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul 15 yards to the PENNST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
26.6%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+20
26.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 20 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
26.7%
Devyn Ford run for 23 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
26.9%
Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+10
26.9%
Sean Clifford run for 10 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
27.0%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
26.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-5
26.0%
PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+1
25.7%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
27.5%
Jake Pinegar 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:1572% → 74%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
27.5%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
27.2%
Master Teague III run for 14 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
26.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 6 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
26.6%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+28
26.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 20 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the PnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
26.6%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
26.5%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the PnSt 3Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
25.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
26.3%
Blake Haubeil 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1027% → 26%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.9%
Devyn Ford run for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
26.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Devyn FordSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+1
26.0%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
25.8%
Jordan Stout punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4874% → 74%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
26.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 1 yd to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-8
26.3%
Justin Fields sacked by Antonio Shelton for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+6
26.1%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
26.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 37 yds, downed at the PnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1626% → 25%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
25.8%
Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
25.7%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
25.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+54
24.9%
Jordan Stout punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the PENNST 21 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 5:5074% → 87%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
26.0%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OhSt 12Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+7
25.6%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+3
25.6%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Wilson, Garrett, PENALTY PENNST pass interference 3 yards to the OHIOST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
25.0%
Trey Sermon run for 15 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
24.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 16 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
24.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 4 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+16
23.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 16 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
23.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+19
23.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 19 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
23.5%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
23.1%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
23.3%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-13
22.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the PnSt 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OhSt Justin FieldsSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
22.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 4 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
13.3%
Jeremy Ruckert 10 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Dominic DiMaccio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:5716% → 16%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
15.7%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-5
16.9%
Sean Clifford sacked by Tommy Togiai for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 17Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+3
16.0%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
15.8%
Jordan Stout punt for 48 yds, downed at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5987% → 88%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
13.4%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
12.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
12.8%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
12.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 6
OWN 36
-3
12.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+50
21.9%
Jordan Stout 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2119% → 30%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
18.5%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
18.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 18 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
19.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 20 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
19.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 12 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
20.3%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+11
20.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 11 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
19.2%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the OhSt 14Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
29.9%
Jahan Dotson 14 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2476% → 88%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.3%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
24.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
24.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.4%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
23.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
22.6%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
21.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 2 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+49
12.1%
Chris Olave 49 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Dominic DiMaccio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:0716% → 15%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
15.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 6 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.0%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
16.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-2
15.6%
Sean Clifford sacked by Tommy Togiai for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
15.0%
Jordan Stout punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0387% → 95%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
12.6%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
12.4%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+31
12.6%
Master Teague III run for 31 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
11.2%
Fields, Justin pass complete to Smith-Njigba, Jaxon for 13 yards to the PENNST27, PENALTY OHIOST illegal shift 5 yards to the PENNST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
11.3%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+13
10.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 13 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
10.0%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
9.6%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+13
9.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jake Hausmann for 13 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
9.2%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
9.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+4
9.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
5.4%
Dominic DiMaccio 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:268% → 20%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.2%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Washington, Parker, PENALTY PENNST holding (Holmes, Des) 10 yards to the PENNST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+34
7.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 19 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
8.3%
Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 9
50
-8
8.2%
Sean Clifford sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+37
7.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 37 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
19.5%
Jahan Dotson 21 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Sean Clifford Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1086% → 97%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
13.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 13 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
12.8%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
12.7%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+26
12.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 26 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
11.7%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
10.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
9.6%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+17
10.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 17 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
8.9%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the PnSt 1Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
8.8%
Teague III, Master rush for 1 yard to the PENNST0, PENALTY OHIOST illegal formation 5 yards to the PENNST6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
8.7%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the PnSt 2Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
8.6%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the PnSt 1Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic DiMaccio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:364% → 12%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
4.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 31 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
4.6%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+16
4.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 16 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.9%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
4.7%
Sean Clifford run for 11 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
4.4%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-SmithSimilar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
4.4%
PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+20
11.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 20 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 2:0195% → 96%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
5.3%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the PnSt 46Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
5.2%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
5.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 12 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
4.6%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
4.2%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-8
4.1%
Justin Fields sacked by Brandon Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 40Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
4.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-31
2.2%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Marcus Hooker return for 31 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1497% → 99%
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
2.8%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the PnSt 6Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
2.7%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 10Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
2.1%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
1.4%
Dominic DiMaccio 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.6%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
1.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Devyn Ford for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
1.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 10 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
1.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-6
1.6%
Sean Clifford sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+5
1.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 29Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+11
1.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 11 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:30
Jahan Dotson 21 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Sean Clifford Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+11.9
TD · Q3 11:14
Jahan Dotson 14 Yd pass from Sean Clifford (Jake Pinegar Kick)
+10.7
TD · Q3 8:41
Chris Olave 49 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Dominic DiMaccio Kick)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com