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NU

Northwestern 21 at Iowa 20

IOWA
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:00 · NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:20: Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +9.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:09: Keith Duncan 47 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +5.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:25: Jesse Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +10.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:05: Jesse Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +14.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:52: Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 46 — NU win probability +23.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:39NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47NU 4th & 14 at NU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:43IOWA 4th & 2 at NU 3, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−7.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:11NU 4th & 1 at IOWA 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−3.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−13.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:56IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.6%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 29, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:48NU 4th & 3 at IOWA 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 34, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:32IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:44NU 4th & 26 at NU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−4.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:11NU 4th & 2 at IOWA 44, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−6.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:24IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−4.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:45NU 4th & 4 at NU 45, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:45IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.4%−5.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:55IOWA 4th & 5 at NU 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−6.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:29NU 4th & 11 at NU 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−5.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:36IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:36IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:20NU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:25NU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:05NU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1857% → 56%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
43.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
43.6%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, downed at the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3544% → 44%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
43.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
43.9%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
43.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-8
44.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 7 Kyric McGowan fumbled, recovered by Iowa Terry RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2255% → 54%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
45.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
45.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
46.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 9 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
45.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 45 Isaiah Bowser fumbled, recovered by Iowa Zach VanValkenburgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:5448% → 50%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
47.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 20 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
47.6%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+5
47.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
50.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 15 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:4950% → 48%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
49.6%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
50.0%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+5
50.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
51.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
52.2%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:0453% → 61%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
52.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 5
OWN 41
-1
53.6%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
54.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+11
53.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
54.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
55.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+16
55.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 16 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
56.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
57.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
57.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 7 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
58.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 10Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+7
58.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
58.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+22
60.8%
Keith Duncan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 6:0840% → 44%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.4%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
61.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
62.5%
Jesse Brown run for 3 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
62.4%
Jesse Brown run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+21
63.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 21 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.7%
Jesse Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
62.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+10
63.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
63.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
64.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
65.5%
Jesse Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+5
64.5%
Jesse Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
63.9%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Charlie MangieriSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
56.2%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5958% → 67%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
57.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
57.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
58.6%
Monte Pottebaum run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
58.1%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
61.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 22 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
61.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
61.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
67.0%
Keith Duncan 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 5:3033% → 43%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
67.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
67.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
67.4%
Kyric McGowan run for 6 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
66.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
67.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
66.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
67.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+1
67.9%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+12
68.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 12 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
66.6%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+21
69.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Drake Anderson for 21 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
68.1%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.4%
Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.9%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 41 yds · 1:2062% → 61%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 15 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
62.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
61.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
64.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
63.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
63.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
64.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
63.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+4
62.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
61.3%
Caleb Shudak 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:2062% → 61%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
62.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
62.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for no gain to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
61.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 13 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
63.7%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
61.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
60.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3639% → 35%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
60.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
61.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+17
62.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 17 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-11
60.7%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 19 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, recovered by Nwest Peter Skoronski , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 21
OWN 19
+1
62.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 20
OWN 20
-6
63.5%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 14Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 26
OWN 14
+1
64.6%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-18
67.2%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Brandon Joseph return for 18 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2443% → 57%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
56.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
56.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
56.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+5
58.4%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
56.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+9
57.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 9 yds to the Iowa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Iowa 2Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.2%
Jesse Brown run for no gain to the Iowa 2Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.8%
Jesse Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1948% → 46%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
47.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kyric McGowan at the Nwest 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:0954% → 55%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
46.1%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
46.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Nwest 19Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
48.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
45.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 14 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
42.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for no gain to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
43.2%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
42.2%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
42.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
45.2%
Derek Adams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:3646% → 44%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
45.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 18 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
47.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+7
46.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
48.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
48.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
51.7%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
50
+6
52.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 6 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-10
52.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for no gain to the Iowa 44 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+1
47.8%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-1
46.0%
Spencer Petras sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
43.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kyric McGowan at the Nwest 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0556% → 56%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
44.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
43.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
42.6%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Daviyon Nixon and Jermari Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
44.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Jack Koerner return for 5 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5854% → 53%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
54.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-3
55.8%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
53.3%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Brandon Joseph return for no gain to the Nwest 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:4361% → 61%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
39.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
39.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+16
40.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 16 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
35.5%
Kyric McGowan run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
34.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
36.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
39.4%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:4349% → 51%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
48.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
48.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+9
46.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+2
44.8%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
49.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+11
49.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 11 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
51.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
50.6%
Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to Ragaini, Nico, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference 10 yards to the IOWA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
54.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
55.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
54.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
51.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:2372% → 70%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
28.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
26.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+2
27.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+7
30.5%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2537% → 34%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
36.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
34.1%
Spencer Petras run for 10 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
34.3%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Blake Gallagher return for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25Uncategorized
1 play · -15 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
15.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:52
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 46
-23.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.8
TD · Q3 6:05
Jesse Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com