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Minnesota 44 at Maryland 45

MD
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2020 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+8.9MD 20.2%Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 31 · Q4 7:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:06 · Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 136Pregame prior−6.0Home team on offense−14.9Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:14: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +13.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 7:06: Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +8.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:38: Jake Funk run for 19 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +37.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +21.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Seth Green run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Walker PAT MISSED) — MINN win probability +20.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:07MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:15MD 4th & 1 at MINN 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:08MD 4th & 2 at MINN 43, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:15MD 4th & 9 at MINN 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:32MINN 4th & 1 at MD 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−1.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−7.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:03MINN 4th & 7 at MD 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−7.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:57MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:06MD 4th & 22 at MINN 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:46MINN 4th & 15 at MINN 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:12MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:07MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:42MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:24MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:06MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:42MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:46MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:54MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:14MD Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:38MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:2311% → 15%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
11.4%
Jake Funk run for 7 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+4
11.5%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
11.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+15
12.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
12.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 16 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
12.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
12.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+23
12.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 23 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
12.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+7
13.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 7 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
13.5%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Minn 8Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
14.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jake Funk for 8 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5386% → 84%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
14.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+4
14.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+3
15.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
15.9%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:0216% → 20%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
16.2%
Jake Funk run for 9 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+14
16.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
19.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 39 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 8 (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:4881% → 81%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
18.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+15
19.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
19.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 28 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
19.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
20.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
20.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+4
22.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
24.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 76 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0977% → 77%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
23.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
23.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
24.1%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 8
50
+16
25.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 16 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
25.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
25.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
26.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
27.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+9
27.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
28.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:1626% → 29%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
25.9%
Jake Funk run for 20 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
27.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jake Funk for 4 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
27.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyler BaylorSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
27.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
27.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
29.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 15
50
-21
28.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted DeAngelo Carter return for 21 yds to the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:3675% → 80%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
24.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 28 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.9%
Seth Green run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1224% → 27%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
24.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 16 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
25.3%
Jake Funk run for 11 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
26.4%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
26.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
27.3%
Lance LeGendre run for no gain to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
26.7%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Phillip Howard at the Minn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 2:1476% → 85%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+33
23.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 33 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
22.5%
Treyson Potts run for 29 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
21.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
21.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+10
21.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:1918% → 19%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
17.9%
Jake Funk run for 12 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
19.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 25 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
21.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-5
21.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-9
21.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Minn 24 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
19.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+6
18.8%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
19.1%
Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
16.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:4382% → 90%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
17.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+33
18.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 33 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
16.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+1
17.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
17.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+15
18.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
16.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
10.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 39 yds for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:2912% → 14%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+51
11.7%
Jake Funk run for 51 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
13.4%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
13.6%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+8
13.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 8 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
13.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 18 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.5%
Peny Boone run for no gain Peny Boone fumbled, recovered by MinnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:4290% → 95%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
10.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
9.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+24
10.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 24 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
8.6%
Treyson Potts run for 14 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
8.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 12 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
8.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
8.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
8.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
8.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
7.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Mary 7Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q3 2:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
5.5%
Brock Walker 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:379% → 21%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.8%
Jake Funk run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
9.1%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
8.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 18 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
8.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 9 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+1
9.2%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
8.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+21
7.5%
Jake Funk run for 21 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
20.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4885% → 86%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
14.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
14.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for no gain to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
14.5%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:4415% → 20%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
14.5%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+15
12.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 15 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
14.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-10
15.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+27
13.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 27 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
14.9%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
15.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-16
14.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Boye Mafe and Thomas Rush for a loss of 16 yards to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 22
OPP 34
+51
20.2%
Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:0583% → 85%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
16.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
14.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-9
13.5%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Chance Campbell for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
15.2%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:0022% → 65%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
22.0%
Jake Funk run for 31 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
27.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
65.4%
Jake Funk run for 19 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5851% → 54%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
49.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
45.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
43.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
42.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+29
46.2%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MARYLAND 19 MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:5055% → 55%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
54.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+30
58.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 30 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-15
62.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 25
OWN 46
0
57.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 25
OWN 46
0
56.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 25
OWN 46
+10
54.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jake Funk for 10 yds to the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 83%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
64.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 12 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
64.7%
Jake Funk run for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
64.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jake FunkSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+11
62.2%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Minn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 34%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
80.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
80.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Mary 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+5
86.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.9%
Seth Green run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Walker PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:38
Jake Funk run for 19 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+37.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+34.1
TD · OT 0:00
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+21
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com