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PUR

Purdue 31 at Illinois 24

ILL
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:20 · Brooks Cormier punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−35.5Pregame prior−4.7Score differential−17.3Garbage-time factor−10.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:46: Mike Epstein run for 7 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +8.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:47: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +9.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 0:54: Coran Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards Coran Taylor fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jalen Graham for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:44: Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 28 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +10.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:36: Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +20.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:47ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05ILL 4th & 16 at PUR 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:46PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:54ILL 4th & 1 at PUR 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:13PUR 4th & 4 at ILL 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:23ILL 4th & 5 at PUR 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:13ILL 4th & 2 at PUR 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−0.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:33PUR 4th & 2 at ILL 2, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−10.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:20PUR 4th & 23 at PUR 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:55PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:50ILL 4th & 10 at PUR 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−2.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:26PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:01PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:46ILL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:47PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:44ILL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:36ILL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5823% → 25%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
22.8%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-1
23.0%
Matt Robinson sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 21Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+12
23.2%
Matt Robinson pass complete to Daniel Barker for 12 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
23.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
23.6%
Matt Robinson pass complete to Daniel Barker for 1 yd to the Illin 36Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+9
23.9%
Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
24.2%
Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
24.2%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+1
24.4%
Matt Robinson run for 1 yd to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
24.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:1475% → 77%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
24.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 21 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
24.8%
Zander Horvath run for 19 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
24.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
24.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 29 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.5%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:1124% → 24%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.0%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
23.9%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
23.9%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
24.0%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
24.3%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
24.7%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+33
24.3%
Coran Taylor run for 33 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
25.4%
Kyron Cumby run for 9 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
25.6%
Mike Epstein run for no gain to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-15
25.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Casey Washington) to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 16
OPP 33
0
25.0%
Coran Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 16
OPP 33
0
24.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 30 yds, downed at the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1275% → 75%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
24.7%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+11
24.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
24.7%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+5
24.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-6
24.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 15 Aidan O'Connell fumbled, recovered by PrdueSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
25.3%
Brooks Cormier punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:0625% → 27%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
24.8%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
25.0%
Coran Taylor run for 1 yd to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
24.8%
Coran Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+15
24.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Alfred Armour) to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
26.3%
Chase Brown run for 30 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
26.9%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-19
26.9%
Coran Taylor pass intercepted Derrick Barnes return for 9 yds to the Prdue 19 PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:2075% → 81%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
25.1%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+3
25.0%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
25.1%
Aidan O'Connell run for 9 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
24.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
24.7%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Owen Carney Jr.) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
23.9%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+9
24.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
18.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 45 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:3920% → 21%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
19.9%
Coran Taylor run for no gain to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
19.5%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+10
19.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Geovonte' Howard) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
50
+10
20.2%
Mike Epstein run for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
20.2%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 24 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-6
20.5%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 22 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by PrdueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4081% → 82%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
18.7%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
18.7%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+12
18.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jared Sparks for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
17.8%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Owen Carney Jr.) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+4
17.7%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 Zander Horvath fumbled, recovered by IllinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1920% → 29%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
19.8%
Coran Taylor run for 7 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
19.7%
Mike Epstein run for 9 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
20.0%
Coran Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 38 Coran Taylor fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike EpsteinSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+12
19.2%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 12 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
19.6%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+9
19.5%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
19.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Graham) to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
28.6%
Mike Epstein run for 7 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:2776% → 79%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
24.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+11
23.5%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
23.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 14 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
22.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
21.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
20.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 4 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
21.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
21.1%
J.D. Dellinger 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 0:3621% → 27%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
21.4%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 20 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+44
22.7%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 44 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
24.6%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
24.6%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Donny Navarro for 5 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
23.2%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Mike EpsteinSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
26.7%
Caleb Griffin 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:1177% → 77%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
22.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Roderick Perry II for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1676% → 78%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
23.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 21 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
22.6%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
22.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 3 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
22.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
22.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
22.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Owen Carney Jr.) to the Illin 11Similar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 5
OPP 11
+8
22.2%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.1%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Illin 1 Zander Horvath fumbled, recovered by IllinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5826% → 26%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
25.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 6Similar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+2
25.6%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 8
-12
25.6%
Coran Taylor pass intercepted for a 1ST down Cam Allen return for 12 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4778% → 88%
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
22.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Illin 23Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
22.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jared Sparks for 20 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.2%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Illin 1Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
22.2%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 3Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2815% → 16%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
15.0%
Chase Brown run for 18 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
16.0%
Mike Epstein run for 6 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
16.2%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
16.3%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Kyron Cumby for 17 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
16.9%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
17.0%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+2
16.1%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+1
15.7%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:3288% → 90%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
11.9%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
11.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+35
11.6%
Zander Horvath run for 35 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
10.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 30 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
9.9%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (Grant Hermanns) to the Illin 10Similar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
9.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
9.5%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Illin 9Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
9.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 7 yds to the Illin 2Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
10.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Illin 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3212% → 4%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
11.5%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 3Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
3.6%
Coran Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards Coran Taylor fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jalen Graham for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:004% → 13%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
3.5%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Barker for 20 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
3.5%
Coran Taylor run for 1 yd to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
3.4%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 5 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-15
3.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Daniel Barker) to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+21
2.7%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Barker for 21 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.0%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-11
2.7%
Coran Taylor sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell for a loss of 11 yards to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+15
2.3%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 15 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+11
2.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cam Allen) to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
12.6%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 28 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1693% → 95%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
7.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
6.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 13 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
5.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
5.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-13
5.9%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 23
OWN 36
0
4.9%
Brooks Cormier punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:418% → 27%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
7.6%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
7.3%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Barker for 20 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
7.7%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Luke Ford for 4 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
7.4%
Coran Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
7.1%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+5
6.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Robert McWilliams III) to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
7.3%
Mike Epstein run for 14 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
6.6%
Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
27.2%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:3683% → 89%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
16.8%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+10
16.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
14.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.7%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
11.9%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+16
11.4%
Brooks Cormier punt for 28 yds , Donny Navarro returns for 16 yds to the Illin 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:5922% → 16%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
22.4%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 17 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
25.6%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+15
24.0%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cory Trice) to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
24.0%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
25.4%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
19.4%
Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+7
15.8%
Coran Taylor pass complete to Mike Epstein for 7 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24Uncategorized
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
6.1%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
6.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+27
6.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 27 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-1
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-2
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:36
Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+20.6
TD · Q4 11:44
Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 28 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q3 8:47
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com