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IOWA

Iowa 20 at Purdue 24

PUR
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.2PUR 43.6%J.D. Dellinger 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 17 · Q4 8:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:20 · J.D. Dellinger 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Home team on offense−2.6Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor−4.6Score differential−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:21: Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +5.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:42: Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:40: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +14.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:12: Keith Duncan 33 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +10.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:15: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +41.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:15PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:29IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:59PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:21PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:18IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 19, down 3
    Close callPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:57IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:07PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−4.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IOWA 4th & 4 at PUR 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−2.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:12IOWA 4th & 9 at PUR 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−14.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:12PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−4.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−16.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:20PUR 4th & 9 at IOWA 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−13.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.0%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:07PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:21IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:42IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:40PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:15PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
44.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-1
44.6%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-5
44.6%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
44.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
44.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.2%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
45.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
45.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 2
OWN 46
-5
45.1%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
45.0%
Brooks Cormier punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
45.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
45.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
45.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
45.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:5346% → 51%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
45.7%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+16
46.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 16 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
46.2%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+13
46.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
46.3%
Milton Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+13
46.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
46.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 6 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
46.3%
Zander Horvath rush for 1 yard to the IOWA13 (Nixon,Daviyon), PENALTY IOWA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the IOWA9, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
49.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
49.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
48.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+40
49.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 40 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
48.3%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+7
48.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 16 Tyler Goodson fumbled, forced by Jalen Grahm, recovered by Prdue Brennan ThienemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
51.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+16
51.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 16 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
51.7%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
51.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
51.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
51.1%
Brooks Cormier punt for 55 yds, downed at the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:2348% → 47%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
52.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+8
52.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
52.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+16
51.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 16 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
51.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
52.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+8
53.4%
Spencer Petras run for 8 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
52.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Milton Wright at the Prdue 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
54.3%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
54.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-9
53.7%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Barrington Wade for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 15
OWN 2
+25
53.0%
Brooks Cormier punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 35 , Charlie Jones returns for 25 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0348% → 54%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
52.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+20
52.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 20 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
52.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
52.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.1%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
49.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Dane BeltonSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
48.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:5152% → 63%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
47.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 14 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
46.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+16
46.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 16 yds Brandon Smith fumbled, forced by Jaylan Alexander, recovered by Iowa Brandon Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
45.9%
IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ihmir Smith-Marsette) to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
45.7%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 9 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
45.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 15 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
45.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 1 yd to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+15
45.2%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 15 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
44.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
44.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0240% → 57%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.5%
Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
39.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 16 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
41.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+15
42.6%
Zander Horvath run for 15 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
43.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
43.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+13
42.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
57.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3251% → 50%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-9
48.8%
Spencer Petras sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+3
48.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 3 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+6
49.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 6 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
49.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, downed at the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
52.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
52.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Matt Hankins return for no gain to the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:3154% → 62%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
46.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 6 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+28
44.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 28 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
42.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 20 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.1%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
38.3%
Keith Duncan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16INT
9 plays · 73 yds · 0:0045% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
45.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Brents,Julius) 15 yards to the PUR31, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
45.6%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
45.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Riley MossSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+22
44.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 22 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
48.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for no gain to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+33
48.7%
Zander Horvath run for 33 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
50.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jared Sparks for no gain to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-16
50.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Barrington Wade return for 16 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
43.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-5
43.2%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Coy Cronk) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+9
43.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-5
43.5%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Alaric Jackson) to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+8
44.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
43.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+15
43.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 15 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
41.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 17 yds to the PURDUE 37 IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Tyrone Tracy Jr.) to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 13
OWN 43
+4
42.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
41.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
42.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
44.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds, downed at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
43.6%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
44.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 30 yards to the PUR42 (Brents,Julius), PENALTY PUR pass interference (David Bell) 6 yards to the PUR6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 16
OWN 6
0
43.6%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+13
43.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
42.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+5
41.8%
Brooks Cormier punt for 39 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 56%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
39.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
38.9%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Ihmir Smith-Marsette) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+1
40.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
43.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 30 yds, downed at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
43.7%
Zander Horvath rush for 5 yards to the PUR28 (Brents,Julius), PENALTY PUR holding (Payne Durham) 10 yards to the PUR13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 20
OWN 13
0
43.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+15
43.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Maliq Carr for 15 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-10
42.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Daviyon Nixon and Noah Shannon for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+7
40.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 46 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:0162% → 71%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
38.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+12
37.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 12 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
37.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
37.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+4
38.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+17
40.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 17 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
35.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-10
35.2%
Petras,Spencer pass incomplete to Smith,Brandon, PENALTY IOWA holding (Linderbaum,T.) 10 yards to the PUR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 25
0
36.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+10
39.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+33
28.9%
Keith Duncan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 4:5237% → 44%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
37.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
36.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 15 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
37.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
40.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 20 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
42.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-2
45.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
42.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
40.4%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
45.0%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
45.0%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
45.0%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
45.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Maliq CarrSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
42.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Chauncey GolstonSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
43.6%
J.D. Dellinger 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:0066% → 70%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
33.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 21 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
29.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
29.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 13 yds to the Prdue 28 Mekhi Sargent fumbled, forced by Dedrick Mackey, recovered by Prdue Cam AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 3:4540% → 91%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
39.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Maliq CarrSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
38.6%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+10
38.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
43.1%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-1
45.5%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
44.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
45.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
45.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked for loss of 4 yards to the IOWA41 (Golston,C.), PENALTY IOWA face mask (Heflin,Jack) 15 yards to the IOWA22, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
48.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
48.6%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
48.9%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
48.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
90.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0016% → 13%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
84.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 16 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
83.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
84.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyler GoodsonSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
86.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini, broken up by Geovante' HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0294% → 93%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
93.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-2
93.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 13
OPP 47
-1
92.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:15
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+41.6
TD · Q2 1:40
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+14.5
FG · Q4 13:12
Keith Duncan 33 yd FG GOOD
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com