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Louisiana Tech 14 at BYU 45

BYU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2020 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:15 · Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 14 yds to the LATECH 44 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+28.7Blowout margin+12.3Garbage-time factor+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:51: Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 66 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:34: Zach Wilson pass complete to Carter Wheat for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +2.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:07: Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +2.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:59: Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:35: Zach Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:59LT 4th & 4 at LT 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:31BYU 4th & 1 at LT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37LT 4th & 16 at LT 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:37LT 4th & 4 at LT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:36LT 4th & 14 at BYU 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00LT 4th & 15 at LT 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:00LT 4th & 2 at LT 20, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:19BYU 4th & 7 at LT 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:26LT 4th & 2 at LT 35, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15LT 4th & 1 at BYU 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:00LT 4th & 2 at BYU 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:15BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 42, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:02BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:51LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:34BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:07BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:59BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:35BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:25BYU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:58LT Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:556% → 6%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
94.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Justin Henderson for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
94.2%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
94.0%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
94.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:4894% → 94%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
94.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 8 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
93.9%
Gunner Romney run for 1 yd to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
93.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
93.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 16 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
93.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 39 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.9%
Zach Wilson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:096% → 8%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
93.7%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-1
93.7%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+5
93.6%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
93.5%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 4 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
93.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 8 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
93.2%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
93.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+66
92.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 66 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:1492% → 92%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 8 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
92.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 1 yd to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
92.1%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+8
91.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-2
91.5%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:599% → 10%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 3 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
90.7%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.3%
Luke Anthony pass intercepted Troy Warner return for no gain to the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:2291% → 90%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
91.0%
Wilson, Zach pass complete to Katoa, Lopini for 24 yards to the BYU45, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+1
90.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+5
90.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 5 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+11
90.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 11 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
89.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5810% → 10%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.7%
Luke Anthony run for no gain to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
89.5%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-6
89.7%
Anthony, Luke pass complete to Graham, Isaiah for 10 yards to the LATECH28, PENALTY LATECH illegal forward pass (Anthony, Luke) 6 yards to the LATECH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 16
OWN 12
+4
89.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 50 yds , Dax Milne returns for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:4190% → 92%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 6
50
+19
90.0%
Zach Wilson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
90.1%
Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
89.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+6
89.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
91.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Carter Wheat for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:489% → 9%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
90.6%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
90.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Justin Henderson for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.9%
Jacob Barnes punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1891% → 94%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
91.2%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+4
91.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
91.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Carter Wheat for 8 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
91.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+15
91.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 15 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
91.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+22
91.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 22 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:247% → 8%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
92.6%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 7 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
92.3%
Luke Anthony run for 6 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
92.4%
Anthony, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY BYU roughing passer 15 yards to the BYU34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LATECH.Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
92.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
91.6%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-10
92.0%
Anthony, Luke pass complete to Graham, Isaiah for 5 yards to the BYU23, PENALTY LATECH holding 10 yards to the BYU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
92.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
92.4%
Jacob Barnes punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 0:3093% → 98%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
92.7%
Zach Wilson run for 15 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
92.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
93.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
93.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 19 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
97.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 16 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.7%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.5%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Payton WilgarSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
96.8%
Luke Anthony run for 10 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
96.5%
Luke Anthony sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+8
96.9%
Luke Anthony run for 8 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
96.9%
Luke Anthony sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Jacob Barnes punt for 29 yds, downed at the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1098% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Masen Wake for 18 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
97.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 23 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
97.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 18
OPP 42
+10
97.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 10 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+30
97.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 30 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:301% → 0%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.5%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-7
99.5%
Henderson, Justin rush for 5 yards to the LATECH19, PENALTY LATECH holding 7 yards to the LATECH7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+5
99.5%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.6%
Luke Anthony run for 8 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Jacob Barnes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
99.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 23 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.7%
Neil Pau'u run for 5 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-7
99.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
99.7%
Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.7%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 18Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
99.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 7 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.6%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
99.6%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
99.6%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 12 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 21 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Dax Milne run for 8 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
99.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Zach Wilson run for no gain to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Zach Wilson run for 14 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 8:220% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 13 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-3
99.9%
Luke Anthony sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Luke Anthony run for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Justin Henderson for 8 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Adrian Hardy pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 8 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Luke Anthony run for 3 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 15 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Luke Anthony run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 8 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
100.0%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
Miles Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+14
100.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 14 yds to the LATECH 44 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 18 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 16 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
100.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Max Tooley return for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:59
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 5:07
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 10:34
Zach Wilson pass complete to Carter Wheat for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com