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USF

South Florida 0 at Notre Dame 52

ND
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:12 · Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense+10.9Score differential+7.4Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:05: Ian Book run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +0.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:06: Chris Tyree run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +0.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q1 4:21: C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down — ND win probability +0.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:25: Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 11:15: C'Bo Flemister run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 10:30USF 4th & 13 at USF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32USF 4th & 5 at ND 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12USF 4th & 9 at USF 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:41USF 4th & 8 at USF 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:19ND 4th & 8 at USF 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:49USF 4th & 6 at USF 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:28USF 4th & 2 at ND 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:55USF 4th & 4 at ND 36, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:12ND 4th & 1 at USF 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:34ND 4th & 4 at USF 4, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:23USF 4th & 12 at ND 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:21USF 4th & 6 at USF 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:12ND 4th & 1 at midfield, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:03USF 4th & 10 at ND 19, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:45ND 4th & 6 at ND 23, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:15USF 4th & 5 at ND 34, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15ND 4th & 5 at USF 5, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:05ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:06ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:25ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:15ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:55ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:15ND Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3993% → 93%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
93.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 24 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
93.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 7 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
93.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
93.0%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
92.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+7
92.9%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.0%
Ian Book run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
92.8%
Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
92.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kelley Joiner for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
92.8%
Trent Schneider punt for 21 yds, downed at the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:1693% → 93%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
92.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 22 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
92.8%
Ian Book run for 3 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
92.7%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
92.6%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
92.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 3 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
92.5%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:177% → 7%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+42
93.0%
Johnny Ford run for 42 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
92.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to DeVontres DukesSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
92.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the NDame 33 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mitchell Brinkman) to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
92.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+4
92.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 4 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 5
OPP 33
-9
92.8%
Jah'Quez Evans sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5693% → 96%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
93.3%
C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
93.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the SFla 41 C'Bo Flemister fumbled, recovered by NDame Robert HainseySimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
93.4%
Braden Lenzy run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
93.2%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
93.3%
Ian Book pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for 9 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+11
93.3%
C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
93.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
93.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+18
93.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 18 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:085% → 4%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
95.4%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-1
95.5%
Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
95.6%
Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:4596% → 98%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
96.0%
Kyren Williams run for 10 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
96.0%
Kyren Williams run for 13 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
96.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
98.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:102% → 2%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
98.0%
Latrell Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 14Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
98.1%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres DukesSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+6
98.2%
Noah Johnson run for 6 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+7
98.1%
Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 7 yds to the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:1198% → 99%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
98.1%
Chris Tyree run for 31 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
98.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 9 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
98.3%
Tommy Tremble run for 4 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 6 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+1
98.6%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the SFla 15Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-5
98.5%
Kyren Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
98.7%
Jonathan Doerer 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.0%
Noah Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 17Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
99.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 12Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+12
99.1%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 12 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 1 yd, downed at the SFla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.1%
Kyren Williams run for 15 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.1%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
99.1%
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.5%
Noah Johnson run for 5 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Noah Johnson run for no gain to the SFla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:551% → 0%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
99.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 14 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 36Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 8 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
99.4%
Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce MillerSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
99.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.6%
Chris Tyree run for 15 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 9 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the SFla 35 Kyren Williams fumbled, forced by Nick Roberts, recovered by NDame Jarrett Patterson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 27 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Brock WrightSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.7%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 4Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Joe WilkinsSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.8%
Jonathan Doerer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15PUNT TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 14 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the SFla 43Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+14
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 14 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Carter for 4 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-6
99.8%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Alexander Ehrensberger for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 12
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Kenny Scribner punt blocked by Osita Ekwonu, Jordan Botelho return for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Noah Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Noah Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres DukesSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jordan McCloud punt for 35 yds, downed at the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kevin Bauman for 5 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 1
50
0
99.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson run for no gain to the SFla 10Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+17
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 17 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+36
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 36 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Terrence Horne for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+22
99.9%
Johnny Ford run for 22 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Latrell WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres DukesSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres DukesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 21 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Johnson) to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+12
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds, downed at the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+14
99.9%
Marsh, Katravis pass incomplete to Berryhill, Logan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Rutherford, Isaiah) 14 yards to the NOTREDAME39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-1
99.9%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incomplete to Logan BerryhillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 6:50100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+31
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 31 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
100.0%
Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
100.0%
Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the SFla 2Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
100.0%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 5Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Goepferich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22Uncategorized
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
100.0%
Odunayo Seriki run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Odunayo Seriki run for 2 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Odunayo Seriki run for no gain to the SFla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:25
Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 11:15
C'Bo Flemister run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q1 7:06
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com