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ARMY

Army 10 at Cincinnati 24

CIN
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.4CIN 80.2%Cole Smith 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 10:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:50 · Cole Smith 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+29.8Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:25: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +5.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:20: Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 40 — CIN win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:00: Jerome Ford run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +8.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:56: Landon Salyers 36 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +4.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:55: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 60 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:50CIN 4th & 7 at ARMY 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:43ARMY 4th & 23 at ARMY 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:10ARMY 4th & 3 at CIN 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:35CIN 4th & 2 at CIN 31, down 4
    Close callPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:35ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:48ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:12CIN 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:26ARMY 4th & 16 at ARMY 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:55CIN 4th & 26 at ARMY 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56ARMY 4th & 13 at CIN 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:08CIN 4th & 7 at ARMY 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:09ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46ARMY 4th & 20 at ARMY 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:53ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:08CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:25CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 18, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 7:25CIN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:00CIN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:55CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:4182% → 81%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jadon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
81.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+41
81.3%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by Army Jabari Moore , return for 41 yds (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1181% → 80%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jadon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 4 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
80.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 14 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
80.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 27 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
80.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-4
80.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 17Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
79.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+33
80.2%
Cole Smith 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 15 yds · 4:5720% → 22%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
79.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
79.5%
Christian Parrish run for 4 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
79.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
78.8%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the Army 43Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+10
78.6%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 10 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.1%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Brandon WaltersSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-15
77.9%
Robinson, Tyrell rush for 1 yard to the CINCINNATI46, PENALTY ARMY illegal block 15 yards to the ARMY38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 25
OWN 38
+7
78.0%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 18
OWN 45
-5
78.0%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 40Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 23
OWN 40
0
77.9%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 23
OWN 40
0
78.2%
Zach Harding punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4078% → 77%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
77.5%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 21Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
77.0%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Jabari Moore return for no gain to the Cincy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2023% → 24%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
76.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+16
76.3%
Christian Anderson run for 16 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.8%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
75.8%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+2
75.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 19
-4
76.0%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1376% → 75%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
76.2%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
76.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
75.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 5 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+14
75.4%
James Smith punt for 52 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 14 yds to the Army 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4025% → 25%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
75.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
74.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-5
74.5%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 31Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+60
75.3%
Zach Harding punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the CINCINNATI 18 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the Cincy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 5:5574% → 79%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
74.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
74.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+8
73.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for 8 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
74.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 24Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
73.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 4 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
73.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 7 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
73.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
74.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno LabelleSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
72.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 9 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
73.9%
Jerome Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
72.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josh WhyleSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+45
70.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 45 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
73.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 12Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
79.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:2923% → 22%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.8%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
76.6%
Robinson, Tyrell rush for 8 yards to the ARMY35, PENALTY ARMY illegal block 10 yards to the ARMY17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
76.8%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 7 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
77.2%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Sandon McCoy for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 20Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
77.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Ethan Tucky blocked by Ethan Tucky Ethan Tucky return for no gain to the Army 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1879% → 78%
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
79.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.0%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Army 4Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
78.2%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.7%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 44 yds · 2:2522% → 21%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
77.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 3Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+16
77.9%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 16 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
77.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 20Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+13
77.8%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 13 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
77.3%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+15
76.8%
Anderson, Christian pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference 15 yards to the CINCINNATI49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
75.2%
Anderson, Christian rush for 6 yards to the CINCINNATI43, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the ARMY41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
77.0%
Sandon McCoy run for no gain to the Army 41Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 20
OWN 41
-1
77.8%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 40Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 21
OWN 40
+10
78.4%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 11
50
-5
78.7%
ARMY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Army 45Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 16
OWN 45
+20
79.1%
Zach Harding punt for 37 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 20 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1977% → 76%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
77.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josh WhyleSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
77.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
76.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13Uncategorized
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:0226% → 30%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
74.2%
Anderson, Christian rush for 1 yard to the ARMY26, PENALTY ARMY illegal block 12 yards to the ARMY13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-1
74.3%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 12Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+24
74.3%
Christian Anderson run for 24 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
72.8%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
71.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
70.7%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
70.7%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+9
71.8%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 9 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
70.0%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40 Christian Anderson fumbled, forced by Michael Pitts, recovered by Cincy Joel DublankoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:2076% → 86%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.5%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
75.1%
Charles McClelland run for 9 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
75.9%
Charles McClelland run for 11 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
77.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 16 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
77.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+18
77.5%
Jerome Ford run for 18 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.3%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-19
84.3%
Christian Anderson pass intercepted Ahmad Gardner return for 19 yds to the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · -5 yds · 2:4786% → 85%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
86.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 9 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
86.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
86.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Army 47Similar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 25
OPP 47
+4
86.3%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 21
OPP 43
+5
86.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 17
OPP 38
-4
85.6%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 42Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 21
OPP 42
-5
84.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 47Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 26
OPP 47
0
84.6%
James Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:4014% → 19%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+26
85.6%
Christian Anderson run for 26 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
84.7%
Cade Barnard run for 28 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
83.0%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Michael Roberts for 10 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
81.7%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-5
81.7%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Braheam Murphy) to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+15
82.8%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 15 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
81.7%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-3
82.0%
Artice Hobbs IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-5
83.9%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Luke McCleery) to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+2
86.0%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+36
81.5%
Landon Salyers 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3886% → 87%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
86.8%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
86.7%
Ford, Jerome rush for loss of 2 yards to the CINCINNATI32, PENALTY ARMY illegal use of hands 15 yards to the CINCINNATI49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
88.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+1
87.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Army 48Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+10
86.6%
James Smith punt for 42 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 10 yds to the Army 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5117% → 15%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Army 16Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
84.0%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the Army 16Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+6
85.0%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 6 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+12
85.4%
Zach Harding punt for 52 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 12 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 0:4989% → 86%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-11
88.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Amadeo West for a loss of 11 yards to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 21
OWN 27
0
86.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 21
OWN 27
-5
85.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:5118% → 14%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
81.8%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 37Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
83.6%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-7
85.0%
Christian Anderson sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 20
OWN 30
+3
86.1%
Zach Harding punt for 41 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:3689% → 96%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
88.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+60
96.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 60 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:476% → 5%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.2%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
94.0%
Brandon Walters run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 34Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
94.5%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Zach Harding punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:1296% → 98%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.4%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+10
97.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 10 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.1%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+8
98.3%
James Smith punt for 48 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 8 yds to the Army 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 1:251% → 2%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.6%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
98.6%
Anderson, Christian pass incomplete, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference 15 yards to the ARMY35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
98.5%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Michael Roberts for 23 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
98.4%
Anderson, Christian pass incomplete, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference 15 yards to the CINCINNATI27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
98.1%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Michael Roberts for 13 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.0%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-5
98.1%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 21Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 17
OPP 21
0
98.2%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 17
OPP 21
0
98.3%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.3%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-1
99.3%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 18Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 13
OWN 18
-2
99.2%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:00
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q4 6:55
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 60 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 7:25
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com