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APSU

Austin Peay 0 at Pittsburgh 55

PITT
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Grant Paulette 35 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+43.3Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+1.4Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 6:07: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 68 yds to the APeay 6 for a 1ST down — APSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:37: Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:36: Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 51 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:56: Vincent Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:35: Todd Sibley Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 9:18APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:54APSU 4th & 10 at PITT 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00APSU 4th & 3 at APSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:48APSU 4th & 6 at APSU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:35APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:22APSU 4th & 17 at APSU 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:00PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 21, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:08APSU 4th & 9 at APSU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:01PITT 4th & 4 at APSU 44, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:47APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 49, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:43PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 45, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:00PITT 4th & 16 at APSU 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:45APSU 4th & 16 at APSU 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:45APSU 4th & 13 at APSU 16, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:28APSU 4th & 1 at PITT 41, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:18PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:37PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:36PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:56PITT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:35PITT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:35PITT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:10PITT Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APSUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 9 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.5%
Brian Snead run for 5 yds to the APeay 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
97.5%
Brian Snead run for a loss of 3 yards to the APeay 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-1
97.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass intercepted Paris Ford return for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 59 yds · 3:4597% → 97%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.2%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
97.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the APeay 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+5
97.2%
A.J. Davis rush for 11 yards to the APSU26 (LUCAS, Terrell), PENALTY APSU offside defense (YOUNG, Jau'von) 5 yards to the APSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
97.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 6 yards to the APSU26, out-of-bounds (NORMAN, Isaiah), PENALTY UP illegal formation 5 yards to the APSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
97.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 8 yds to the APeay 24Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+9
97.2%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the APeay 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
97.2%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the APeay 9Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 17 yds to the APeay 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
96.9%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the APeay 6Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
96.9%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the APeay 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
96.9%
A.J. Davis rush for 1 yard to the APSU3 (VASSEL, Terrell), PENALTY APSU offside defense (MARTIN, Jequaries) 2 yards to the APSU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 6 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
96.9%
Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Brian Snead run for no gain to the APeay 35Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Baniko Harley run for no gain to the APeay 35Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Cole Deeds punt for 39 yds, downed at the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+68
96.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 68 yds to the APeay 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
97.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 57 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
96.8%
CJ Evans Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
96.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Baniko HarleySimilar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
96.8%
Grant Paulette 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1897% → 98%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.0%
DJ Turner run for 9 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
97.0%
Daniel Carter run for 7 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Daniel Carter for 5 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
97.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 5 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.0%
Daniel Carter run for 3 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+51
97.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 51 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.7%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Brandon Lanier for 7 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
97.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete, broken up by Calijah KanceySimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Brian Snead run for no gain to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Cole Deeds punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5598% → 99%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.8%
Jordan Addison run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the APeay 48Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+25
97.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 25 yds to the APeay 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
97.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the APeay 17Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+7
97.9%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the APeay 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
97.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 9 yds to the APeay 1Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.9%
Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the APeay 24Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+8
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 8 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 32
-5
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall sacked by Devin Danielson and Cam Bright for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 27Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Cole Deeds punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:0599% → 99%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Kyi Wright for 16 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.0%
Vincent Davis run for 11 yds to the APeay 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.0%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
99.0%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Kyi WrightSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
99.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for a 1ST down AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive holding (Isaiah Norman) to the APeay 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the APeay 13Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+1
99.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 1 yd to the APeay 12Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+7
99.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 7 yds to the APeay 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.3%
Israel Abanikanda rush for 5 yards to the APSU0, clock 05:41, PENALTY UP illegal shift 5 yards to the APSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.6%
Baniko Harley run for 3 yds to the APeay 30Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
99.6%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the APeay 25Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 7 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Cole Deeds punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+68
99.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 68 yds to the APeay 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 16 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 15
OWN 16
-3
99.7%
CJ Evans Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the APeay 13Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+1
99.7%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 1 yd to the APeay 14Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Cole Deeds punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APeay 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14MISSED FG
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.7%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 6 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Davis Beville pass incomplete, broken up by Coreon JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+4
99.7%
Davis Beville pass complete to Kaymar Mimes for 4 yds to the APeay 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+42
99.7%
Alex Kessman 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Daniel Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-11
99.8%
Joey Yellen sacked by Josephus Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 15 Joey Yellen fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Garrett Bickhart for 6 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+8
99.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 59 yds , Jay Parker returns for 8 yds to the APeay 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 1 yd to the APeay 29Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Baniko Harley, broken up by Deslin AlexandreSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Cole Deeds punt for 32 yds, downed at the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-3
99.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Davis Beville pass complete to Garrett Bickhart for 10 yds to the APeay 44Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Davis Beville pass incomplete to Garrett BickhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo Wilson, broken up by Erick HallettSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 5 yds to the APeay 49Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Cole Deeds punt for 23 yds, downed at the Pitt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 13 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Garrett Bickhart, broken up by Johnathon EdwardsSimilar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds, downed at the APeay 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
99.9%
Kam Williams pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 12Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-14
99.9%
Kam Williams pass intercepted Erick Hallett return for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 11 PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the APeay 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 5:02100% → 100%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.9%
Davis Beville pass complete to Gavin Thomson for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-4
99.9%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 46Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 15
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 47Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22PUNT TD
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Kam Williams pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 4 yds to the APeay 24Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Kam Williams pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 3 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Kam Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Kam Williams pass incomplete to Eugene MinterSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Kam Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Chris MaloneySimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Kam Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Nate TempleSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 31
-6
99.9%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, delay of game (-6 Yards) to the APeay 25Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Todd Sibley Jr. blocked by Todd Sibley Jr. Todd Sibley Jr. return for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
100.0%
Kam Williams sacked by Dayon Hayes for a loss of 8 yards to the APeay 11Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+2
100.0%
Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the APeay 13Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the APeay 16Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 13
OWN 16
+14
100.0%
TEAM punt for no gain , Brandon George returns for 14 yds to the APeay 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the APeay 2Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
100.0%
Joey Yellen run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 4 Joey Yellen fumbled, recovered by Pitt Joey YellenSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 25Uncategorized
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 2 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to Eugene Minter for 4 yds to the APeay 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to Jay Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 30Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Kam Williams pass incomplete to Jack McDonaldSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+20
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to Geordon Pollard for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Kam Williams pass incomplete to Geordon PollardSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
50
+8
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to Baniko Harley for 8 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Kam Williams pass complete to Jack McDonald for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:56
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 1:36
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 51 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 5:37
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com