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OSU

Ohio State 49 at Clemson 28

CLEM
2020 · Allstate Sugar Bowl - CFP Semifinal · Jan 1, 2021 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:35: Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:12: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:11: Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +13.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:56: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 10 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +13.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 56 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:01OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:51CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:37CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:20CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:07OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:52CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:39OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:43CLEM 4th & 8 at OSU 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:39OSU 4th & 23 at OSU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:30CLEM 4th & 6 at OSU 8, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:10CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:59OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:01CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:36OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:35OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:12OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:11OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:56CLEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:55OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:03OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:42CLEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:4572% → 73%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
72.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 8 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+11
72.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 11 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
72.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 26 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
72.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
72.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+27
72.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 27 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
72.2%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5127% → 27%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.6%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
72.6%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
72.7%
Justin Fields run for no gain to the OhSt 33 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
72.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4173% → 73%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
73.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
73.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+12
72.9%
Will Spiers punt for 57 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 12 yds to the OhSt 33 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyreke Johnson) to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 1:0527% → 30%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
73.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+34
73.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 34 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
70.2%
Trey Sermon run for 32 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5071% → 75%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 15 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
71.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 16 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
71.7%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
71.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 16 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
71.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 9 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+15
71.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 15 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.7%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1927% → 32%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.5%
Justin Fields run for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
73.2%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+47
72.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 47 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
72.2%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
72.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Matthew Jones) to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
72.7%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
68.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3770% → 70%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.4%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
70.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+6
69.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 6 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
70.3%
Will Spiers punt for 43 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 4:0931% → 41%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
68.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
68.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+14
68.0%
Trey Sermon run for 14 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
67.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
67.3%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+12
66.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 12 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
66.3%
Justin Fields run for 17 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
65.6%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
59.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4562% → 60%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
61.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
61.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Travis EtienneSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
60.3%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1640% → 56%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
59.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
58.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 6 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+30
56.3%
Trey Sermon run for 30 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
54.8%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-4
54.6%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+21
54.5%
Justin Fields run for 11 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (James Skalski) to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.7%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
43.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4546% → 46%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
46.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
45.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-5
44.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Carman) to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+15
44.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 15 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
45.7%
Will Spiers punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:5957% → 79%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
43.0%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+10
41.7%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
40.5%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-3
38.4%
Justin Fields sacked by Baylon Spector for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+10
38.2%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
36.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 7 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
35.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 6 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
35.4%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
34.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+26
34.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 26 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
33.7%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
20.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.3%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14INT
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1077% → 85%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.8%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
22.1%
Trey Sermon run for 14 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
20.5%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 8
50
+36
19.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 36 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
19.0%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
16.9%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
15.4%
Justin Fields pass intercepted, touchback. Mike Jones Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4423% → 32%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
22.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 13 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
22.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+8
23.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
50
+8
22.0%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
21.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
21.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
18.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 29 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 10 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 2:5274% → 94%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
26.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
26.0%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the OhSt 9Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+14
24.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Sermon for 14 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
23.6%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+15
22.6%
Miyan Williams run for 15 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.9%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
6.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 56 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:5110% → 10%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
9.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Davis Allen for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
9.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Davis Allen for 24 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
10.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 43 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, forced by Tommy Togiai, recovered by OhSt Justin HilliardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:4095% → 95%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
5.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 11 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for no gain to the Clem 46Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
4.9%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-8
4.5%
Justin Fields sacked by Bryan Bresee for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
4.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:067% → 6%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
6.5%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+1
6.5%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
6.2%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 22
-5
6.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Matt Bockhorst) to the Clem 17Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
5.8%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:4296% → 99%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
3.8%
Trey Sermon run for 14 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
1.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jameson Williams for 45 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:142% → 4%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 4 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Pete Werner) to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 9 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
1.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+15
0.8%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Powell, Cornell, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Wade, Shaun) 15 yards to the OHIOST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
0.6%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 26 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, forced by Jonathon Cooper, recovered by Clem Will Putnam , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 16
OPP 26
0
0.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+26
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 26 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5398% → 98%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.4%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
2.2%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
1.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
1.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 30 yds, downed at the CLEMSON 39 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Pete Werner) to the OhSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:464% → 3%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
3.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-13
3.7%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Tyreke Smith for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 48 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, forced by Tyreke Smith, recovered by Clem Jackson Carman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 23
OPP 48
+15
3.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 15 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
3.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
3.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · -13 yds · 2:5399% → 99%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
1.3%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-10
1.2%
Sermon, Trey rush for 4 yards to the OHIOST46, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Petit-Frere, Nicholas) 10 yards to the OHIOST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-3
1.0%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+3
0.9%
Trey Sermon run for 18 yds to the OhSt 47 OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Trey Sermon) to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-2
0.8%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 13
OWN 30
-5
0.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Justin Hilliard) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 18
OWN 25
-5
0.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 23
OWN 20
0
0.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25INT
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:001% → 1%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
1.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 9 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
1.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 9 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
1.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
1.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+13
1.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 13 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
1.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 5 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+23
1.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 23 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
1.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 8 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-4
1.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 8Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 6
OPP 8
-38
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass intercepted Sevyn Banks return for 38 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.3%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:55
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 56 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q2 0:11
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-13.7
TD · Q3 7:56
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 10 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
+13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com